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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes suggest a pause in interest rate cuts, with "almost all" policymakers believing that Trump's policies may drive up inflation.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": The minutes suggest that Fed officials will temporarily keep interest rates unchanged, partly due to Trump's intention to impose tariffs, and they anticipate the risk of inflation being higher than expected.
Research on Stocks has lost its allure, and the salaries of sell-side Analysts on Wall Street have sharply decreased by 30%.
Analysis suggests that the main reasons for the decline of the Stocks research and analysis Industry include the rise of passive investment, the development of AI, a decrease in the number of publicly listed companies, and changes in regulatory policies. The decline of the Industry has also led to a decrease in the coverage of small Stocks in the US market, resulting in inaccurate valuations of small companies by investors, which in turn increases the Company Valuation financing costs, reduces Stocks liquidity, and affects market efficiency.
Henry Hub Natural Gas stocks have kicked off the new year with a "good start," while the S&P 500 Energy Sector leads the way in a turnaround.
The Energy Sector goes from "worst" in the S&P 500 Index to "first" by 2025.
The Global bond market is experiencing a frantic sell-off, with US Treasury yields quickly approaching 5%.
The 20-year US Treasury yield has already broken through 5%, while the UK 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield has also risen to 4.82%, reaching a new high since 2008. Inflation worries have prompted traders to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England this year, and at the same time, the market is weighing the impact of President Trump's policies.
The last time the US bonds dropped like this, the US stock market also crashed.
Recently, the rise of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is similar to the situation in 2022 and 2023, when the stock market experienced a substantial decline. Goldman Sachs stated that although the U.S. stock market is relatively stable now, the correlation between stock and bond yields has turned negative. If economic data falls short of expectations, the risk of a market correction in the short term may increase.
S&P 500 Starts January With Gains After Santa Rally Busts. What to Watch for Next.
Futu Daily Report | Will the Federal Reserve pause interest rate cuts? Meeting minutes show officials are eager to slow down the pace of rate cuts; U.S. stocks are closed today in mourning for the death of former President Carter's.
The Trump team is reportedly considering declaring a national economic emergency to implement high and widespread tariffs; Bearish surprise! A single remark from NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang triggered a collective drop in USA quantum computing stocks.
1/9 [Strong and Weak Materials]
[Bullish and Bearish Indicators] Bullish indicators: Dow Jones Industrial Average is rising (42,635.20, +106.84); 1 dollar = 158.30-40 yen; VIX index is decreasing (17.70, -0.12); active Share Buyback; requests from the Tokyo Stock Exchange for corporate value enhancement. Bearish indicators: Nasdaq Composite Index is falling (19,478.88, -10.80); Nikkei average is falling (39,981.06, -102.24); Chicago Nikkei Futures are falling (39,935, -25); SOX index is falling (5,162.35, -49).
U.S. stock market closing | Jensen Huang caused a collapse in quantum computing stocks, QUBT fell over 43%; China Concept Stocks fell, Xiaopeng Autos dropped over 5%.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.67%, with most China Concept Stocks declining; ② Wildfires ravaged California, and Electrical Utilities provider Edison International fell by 10%; ③ Jensen Huang stated that a "very useful" quantum computer may take several decades to arrive; ④ Intel: will continue to focus on the independent graphics card market.
Wall Street Closes Mixed Amid Rising Treasury Yields And Tariff Speculation
Top 20 Transaction Amount | Quantum Computing concept stocks have significantly pulled back, with IONQ dropping 39%, RGTI falling over 45%, and Jensen Huang stating that commercialization will require at least another 15 years.
On Wednesday, the stock with the highest trading volume in the US market was NVIDIA, which closed down 0.02%, with a trading volume of 31.802 billion USD. The second was Tesla, which closed up 0.15%, with a trading volume of 28.804 billion USD. The third was Apple, which closed up 0.20%, with a trading volume of 9.105 billion USD.
The Trump team is moving to restructure the leadership of the Federal Reserve, with Bowman likely being promoted to Vice Chair for Financial Regulation, and adjustments made to the list of Powell's successors.
According to media reports citing informed sources, Waller, who became a member of the Federal Reserve Board during Trump's first presidential term, has seen his "advantage" for becoming the chairman of the Federal Reserve significantly decline, as Trump is unhappy with his support for a substantial rate cut last September. Trump's advisory team will closely monitor the current Federal Reserve officials' statements on interest rates to assess who is suitable to take on the role of the next central bank leader.
The market is in dire straits! The stocks most favored by retail investors face a "settlement day."
On Wednesday, the speculative Stocks that a large number of retail investors favored suffered a dramatic decline, and the market was in a dire state.
Fed Isn't Certain Where Interest Rates Will Head, Minutes Show. Inflation and Trump Are Concerns
Oak Tree Capital's Marks: New things are prone to bubbles, currently private equity buying S&P 500, with a 10-year yield of only ±2%.
Max recently released a memorandum titled "Revisiting the Bubble," stating that investors are currently betting on the leading high-tech companies to maintain their dominance. However, he believes that it is not easy to stay ahead, as new technologies and competitors can surpass existing market leaders at any time. When people assume that "things can only get better" and Buy based on that, the impact of negative news can be particularly severe. He specifically pointed out the frenzy over AI and how this positive sentiment may spread to other Technology sectors.
What would it mean for the market if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpasses 5%?
Bank of America believes that if U.S. Treasury yields exceed 5%, investors may reassess the valuation of risk Assets, putting pressure on the stock market.
Initial claims for unemployment benefits have dropped to the lowest level in 11 months! The market is starting to bet that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in 2025.
Last week, the number of first-time applicants for unemployment benefits in the USA unexpectedly decreased, reaching the lowest level in 11 months, indicating that the labor market in the USA remains resilient as of early 2025.
Fed's "hot" committee member Waller: Inflation is declining, supporting further interest rate cuts.
On Wednesday, Fed "super voter" and long-time FOMC voting member, Fed Governor Waller stated that he believes inflation will continue moving towards the central...
U.S. stock market early session | All three major Indexes fell, most Growth Tech stocks weakened, NVIDIA and Microsoft rose nearly 1% against the trend, while AMD dropped over 4%.
On the evening of the 8th in Peking time, US stocks opened lower on Wednesday. Concerns regarding the interest rate cut path led to a decline in US stocks yesterday, and the market is focusing on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes in December. The December ADP private employment data in the USA was below market expectations. The President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to promote new tariff policies.
Are they going to detonate a tariff nuclear bomb again? It is said that the Trump team is considering declaring a national economic emergency.
The Trump team has not made a final decision on whether to declare a national emergency and is still exploring other legal avenues to support the tariff policy.