The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes suggest a pause in interest rate cuts, with "almost all" policymakers believing that Trump's policies may drive up inflation.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": The minutes suggest that Fed officials will temporarily keep interest rates unchanged, partly due to Trump's intention to impose tariffs, and they anticipate the risk of inflation being higher than expected.
Philadelphia Fed President: Will lower interest rates as planned, do not "act hastily."
Hack pointed out that the Federal Reserve is still on the path of lowering interest rates, "I will not deviate from this path or turn back."
Minister Ma candidly stated that reducing federal spending by 2 trillion is an overly idealistic goal.
① Musk stated that the proposed "Department of Government Efficiency" in the USA may not be able to achieve its preset highest goal of cutting federal government spending by 2 trillion dollars; ② Musk emphasized in an exclusive interview that this is not an admission of failure in advance, and he can still help Trump achieve "epic results."
The S&P 500 Index has released a bullish signal for the entire year, due to TA.
Analysts from Fundstrat and Bank of America have stated that this Wednesday (January 8) is the last day of the first five trading days window of 2025. If the S&P 500 Index can close above 5,881.63 points, it will send a Call signal for the market for the entire year.
Fed's Harker: Fed Still on Rate-cut Path, Future Moves Driven by Data
The Federal Reserve shifts to "market-based" inflation Indicators, adding optimistic grounds for the economic outlook.
Including Chairman Jerome Powell, senior officials of the Federal Reserve are increasingly relying on a lesser-known price indicator - "market-based" inflation, as a basis for their optimistic economic outlook.
USA officials expect that negotiations between Russia and Ukraine may begin early this year!
On the eve of leaving office, the Biden administration released another 0.5 billion USD in aid to Ukraine, to increase Ukraine's "potential bargaining chips."
Danger! U.S. Treasury yields are approaching the critical level of 5%, and a new wave of stock market sell-off may be coming.
The yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is rapidly rising to its highest level since October 2023, approaching a critical threshold that has historically triggered stock market sell-offs, causing panic in the market.
The deep recession alert has been sounded! USA credit card debt unexpectedly plummets.
In November, USA consumer credit decreased significantly by 7.5 billion dollars, with unpaid credit card and other revolving debt balances plummeting by 13.8 billion dollars, marking the largest monthly drop since the economic shutdown triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysis suggests that whenever there is such a sharp decline in revolving credit, the USA economy is often on the brink of recession or already in recession.
Federal Reserve's Collins: The number of interest rate cuts in 2025 will be lower than previously expected.
Due to strong employment data and persistent inflation, Boston Federal Reserve President Collins is inclined to expect smaller rate cuts in 2025 than previously anticipated a few months ago.
The bond market is making a scene, and US stocks may be in for a tough time.
The stock market may once again shift to a "good news is bad news" pattern......
AI has triggered a wave of layoffs on Wall Street! The number of unemployed individuals in the next three years may exceed 200,000.
The report indicated that in the next 3 to 5 years, due to AI 'encroaching' on human jobs, Global Banks will lay off up to 200,000 people, with backend, mid-office, and Operation positions facing the highest risks. At the same time, 80% of respondents expect that generative AI will increase productivity and income by at least 5% during this period.
US Stock Digging for Gold | Meta Makes Concessions Under EU Antitrust! eBay Soars Nearly 10% Overnight; Henry Hub Natural Gas Stocks Make a Comeback in the New Year! Stocks like EQT Corp Continue to Rise.
Milestone development! Streaming company Roku revealed that in the first week of 2025, it gained 90 million household users, and the stock price has risen over 11% within five trading days this year.
The US stock market is closed today, and US Treasury bonds closed early.
Glory Exchange, January 9 | In mourning for the late former President Carter, the US stock market will be closed for one day on January 9 (Thursday). The Equity Index Trading under CME will end early at 22:30 Beijing time; Interest rates and Shenzhen Agricultural Products Group futures trading will end early at 02:15 on the 10th; Treasury futures trading will end early at 03:30 on the 10th; Precious Metals, Energy, Forex, and Cryptos futures trading will proceed as usual, please be aware.
Fed Signals Delayed Rate Cuts as Inflation Concerns Linger, Goldman Sachs Says
The "Trump tariffs" are imminent! Bank of America: The FED has likely completed the "final rate cut."
① According to the latest forecast from Bank of America, if the Trump administration implements aggressive tariff policies, the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts this year; ② The bank pointed out that signs of sticky inflation are increasing, and considering the timing of the Trump administration's arrival, the Federal Reserve may have already completed the "last cut" of this round of interest rate cuts in December.
Daily Options Tracking | Quantum Computing stocks RGTI and IONQ experienced massive fluctuations! The highest put option made a profit of 177 times; NVIDIA basically closed flat overnight, and Call options were again snatched up.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang's remarks led to a significant pullback in Quantum Computing concept stocks, with a surge in Volume for RGTI and IONQ Options, and multiple put options making substantial profits.
Strong dividends are on the rise: a new peak in growth is expected in 2025!
S&P 500 companies' dividends are expected to set new records in 2025, with a growth rate projected to reach 7%-12%, higher than last year's 6%.
Bank of America warns: If Trump triggers a tariff bomb, the Federal Reserve may halt interest rate cuts.
USA Silver economists believe that Trump's tariff plan will intensify inflation concerns, forcing the Federal Reserve to end the interest rate cut cycle.
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 (SPX) Looking for a Double Correction [Video]