The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice in 2025, but the probability of worst-case scenarios occurring is relatively high.
The Financial Times team in the United Kingdom believes that the Federal Reserve will remain cautious, and the likelihood of it not lowering interest rates or even raising them is increasing, especially starting in the second half of 2025.
Daily Options Tracking | MSTR Call ratio soared to 76%, a major investor bets nearly 80 million dollars on recent call orders; trading for Pfizer before earnings is hot, with one call order earning over twice the amount.
The options trading volume for cryptocurrency miner MARA was also hot yesterday, increasing by 74% compared to the previous trading day to 0.4 million contracts, with Calls accounting for 76%; on the Options Chain, the bullish forces were very strong, with the highest volumes of Call contracts at strike prices of $20 and $20.5, totaling 45,600 and 32,400 contracts respectively.
Full text of Trump's speech at Davos: Press oil prices, lower interest rates, and initiate a tariff war.
Trump addressed the global business community and political elites, urging Saudi Arabia and OPEC to lower oil prices to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, reiterating the push for tariffs to encourage domestic manufacturing, and committing to actively promote interest rate cuts.
A U.S. judge ruled that Trump's executive order to terminate birthright citizenship is unconstitutional, and the case may be appealed to the Supreme Court.
U.S. Federal Judge Kavanaugh stated that the Fourteenth Amendment clearly guarantees citizenship rights to all children born on American soil, and the legal definition of this issue is "undisputed."
Top 20 in transaction volume | Netflix rose over 3%, soaring nearly 10% on the previous trading day; GE Aviation rose over 6%, with Q4 performance exceeding expectations.
Ranked 6th, Netflix rose by 3.24%, with a trading volume of 7.568 billion USD; ranked 16th, GE Aviation rose by 6.60%, with a trading volume of 2.911 billion USD; ranked 18th, ARM fell by 7.43%, with a trading volume of 2.731 billion USD.
Express News | Trump: China-U.S. relations are very good.
The "Understanding King" is online! Trump speaks intensively at Davos, claiming to understand interest rates better than Powell, discussing tariffs and oil prices.
Trump stated that companies not producing in the USA face tariffs of "hundreds of billions or even trillions of dollars". If produced in the USA, they can enjoy a reduction of corporate tax to 15%. The tariffs in Europe are too high, the regulations are too strict, and the trade deficit with the USA is too large, which will lead to measures being taken to ensure that the USA supplies Energy to Europe. Trump called on OPEC to "lower oil costs", stating that this would pressure Russia to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and demanded that the Saudi Crown Prince increase the promised investment in the USA to 1 trillion dollars. He also mentioned that he would "demand an immediate decrease in interest rates" and plans to have a conversation with Powell at an appropriate time.
U.S. stock market closing | All three major Indexes rose, with the S&P continuing to hit new highs; Nuclear Power stocks performed strongly, with OKLO and SMR rising over 13%; Meta rose over 2% to reach a record closing high.
Trump calls on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates immediately. The chip Index and NVIDIA briefly fell over 2%, but ultimately NVIDIA turned to rise, while Tesla fell. Industrial stock Caterpillar boosted the Dow by 400 points. Quantum computing stock Quantum fell over 6%. Nuclear Power stock Oklo, held by Sam Altman, turned to rise over 13%. Electronic Arts Inc fell nearly 17%. After a 0.7% decline, the Chinese concept Index turned to rise, and TAL Education soared 21%.
U.S. Stocks: Trump calls for continued interest rate cuts as the Dow Jones rises by 408 points, S&P 500 Index hits a new high.
After USA President Trump called for continued interest rate cuts and lower oil prices, the three major US stock indices rose on Thursday. The S&P 500 Index reached a record high for the second consecutive day, closing up 32 points or 0.5%, at 6,118 points; the Dow Jones expanded its gains in the afternoon, closing up 408 points or 0.9%, at 44,565 points. The Nasdaq rallied at the end, ultimately closing up 44 points or 0.2%, at 20,053 points. Technology stocks had mixed performances, with Tesla (TSLA.US) down 0.7%, NVIDIA (NVDA.US) reversing from a drop of over 2% to stabilize, ending slightly up 0.1%; Apple (AAPL.US) was nearly flat.
Express News | The three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher, with the S&P 500 Index reaching a new all-time closing high.
Express News | The S&P 500 Index reached a historic high during the trading session, currently up by 0.28%.
Express News | Trump delivered a speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos, and the S&P 500 Index remained stable.
U.S. stocks in early trading | Bitcoin fluctuated by 4% during the day, with a U.S. senator stating that "something big is coming"; Himax Technologies rose over 16%, and Ming-Chi Kuo mentioned that the company benefits from Taiwan Semiconductor's AI and s
Drone concept stock SES AI Crop surged over 70%, signing a 10 million dollar contract with two Global OEM partners.
U.S. stocks may be brewing a new round of rebound! Fund managers are eyeing the opportunities.
In an atmosphere of "fear of falling seriously behind," the stock market may present a favorable technical window in the coming month...
Express News | U.S. stocks opened slightly lower, with the Dow down 0.05%, the Nasdaq down 0.51%, and the S&P 500 Index down 0.15%. Chip stocks generally fell, with Micron Technology down over 4%, ASML Holding down over 3%, and NVIDIA, AMD, and Taiwan Semiconductor down
Why the Stock Market Loves the Latest Raft of Earnings -- Barrons.com
Last week, the number of people in the USA applying for unemployment benefits for the first time was 0.223 million, higher than expected.
In the week ending January 11, the number of people continuing to claim unemployment benefits increased by 46,000, seasonally adjusted to 1.899 million, also exceeding expectations, the highest since November 2021.
U.S. stock market outlook | Unemployment claims data did not cause a stir, the market focuses on Trump's speech in Davos tonight; GE Aerospace Airlines' performance exceeded expectations, rising more than 7% in pre-market trading.
Growth Tech stocks are mixed in pre-market trading, with ASML Holding down over 2%; Chinese concept stock TAL Education is up nearly 10% in pre-market trading, with performance better than expected.
Express News | The number of initial jobless claims in the USA for the week ending January 18 was 0.223 million people, expected to be 0.22 million people, and the previous value was 0.217 million people.
U.S. Stock Market Gold Mining | Netflix takes off! After earnings, it surged nearly 10% to a historic high; 'Stargate' ignites AI Concept, Arm soared nearly 16%, Taiwan Semiconductor continues to reach new highs.
In the last quarter, Netflix's paid users surged nearly 19 million, skyrocketing nearly 10% post-earnings, reaching an all-time high! The stock price has nearly doubled since last year.