Small cap stocks dance in the wind: market ignited by expectations of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut.
The optimistic sentiment of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points this week has driven the performance of small cap stocks. However, the expectation of a 50 basis point rate cut needs to become a reality in order to avoid a blow to small cap stocks.
Dow Jones, S&P equal weight, and gold all hit new highs, with expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut running high!
The market's expectation for a Fed interest rate cut continues to heat up, leading to an inflow of funds into economically sensitive industries, driving the Dow, S&P, and gold to new historic highs. Currently, traders believe there is a 64% chance of a "50 basis points rate cut."
Sector-wise Weekly ETF Flows - Money Pours Out of Financials and Into Consumer Staples
The suspense of interest rate cuts has intensified! Market divergences before the Fed's decision.
There is a divergence in market expectations for interest rate cuts, and there may be a significant gap between pricing and actual results.
Taking history as a lesson! What will happen after each "50 basis points rate cut" by the Fed?
Nomura Securities pointed out that three months after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, small cap stocks surged, value stocks outperformed growth stocks again, metal prices soared, and the yield curve steepened, indicating a bullish market trend. The Federal Reserve has previously raised interest rates by 75 basis points multiple times, so it is not surprising to start a rate-cutting cycle with a 50 basis point cut, and it may not necessarily trigger market panic.
The US economy is doing well, so why start cutting interest rates? The Wall Street Journal: The Federal Reserve is facing a complex situation.
Analysts believe that after the first interest rate cut on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will remain restrictive. Although it is unclear whether it can stimulate the real estate market to become active again, it is expected to encourage companies to increase equipment investment.