Will there be a rate cut in December? The Federal Reserve's voting members this year have been "playing Tai Chi": regardless of whether they lower rates or not, interest rates should continue to decline.
This year, as with other Federal Reserve officials who spoke on Monday, Fed Chair Daly expected future rate cuts to continue, but did not commit to taking further action this month, stating that inflation continues to trend down towards the 2% target, and even with another rate cut, monetary policy would remain restrictive.
What signal? Two major technology giants' stock prices have reached historical highs together, apple has achieved 'seven consecutive increases', and Meta has risen nearly 8% over three days.
Apple and Meta's strong performance is due to their status as members of the 'Big Seven.' Currently, Apple is the company with the highest global market cap, reaching $3.67 trillion; Meta's total market cap is $1.55 trillion, ranking seventh in the US stock market. In terms of the macro environment, further Fed interest rate cuts are bullish for technology stocks.
Looking back at 2024: Why did the rising trend of US stocks shock Wall Street?
①The US stock market has shown strong performance this year, with the s&p 500 index rising by about 27% year-to-date, expected to achieve the best performance in many years, far exceeding Wall Street's expectations at the beginning of the year. ②So, what are the factors that the US stock market relies on to achieve such a strong increase?
nvidia is no longer the exclusive darling of AI? apple endorses amazon: considering using its chips to train models
①Apple is leveraging custom AI chips from AWS to enhance its search and other services, and evaluating the feasibility of using the latest AI chips for pre-training the 'Apple Asia vets' model; ②Apple revealed at the AWS Reinvent conference that it uses Amazon's proprietary chips, and stated that its infrastructure is reliable and stable, meeting the needs of global customers.
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Intel is seeking an external "parachute" CEO.
According to reports, intel is looking for a new CEO, focusing on external candidates, and has hired the executive headhunting company Spencer Stuart to assist in finding new leadership.
Vanguard warns: The AI boom on Wall Street is facing a pullback.
Vanguard economist Joe Davis stated that the market has overestimated the short-term potential of AI technology, with current valuation levels approaching those of 1997, increasing the risk of a stock price "pullback". It is difficult to determine the timing of the pullback, and it is unknown whether it will start in 2025.
Futu Morning Post | South Korea's president announced 'emergency martial law' late at night, stirring up the market; high-performance stocks collectively celebrate after hours! Marvell Technology, salesforce surged more than 10%.
Will the interest rate be cut in December? The Fed's voting members this year are "doing Tai Chi": regardless of cutting or not, interest rates should continue to decline; Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs again! Apple has risen for seven consecutive days to create a new historical high; Palantir rose nearly 7% to create a new historical high again, with the company's cloud computing service receiving a "highly authorized" certification.
Trading volume TOP 20 | Apple rises over 1% again, stock price continues to hit a historical high; palantir rises nearly 7%, the company's cloud computing service receives 'high authorization' certification
On Tuesday, the top trading volume of US stocks was nvidia, up 1.18%, with a turnover of $22.843 billion. The second was Tesla, down 1.59%, with a turnover of $20.39 billion. The third was apple, up 1.28%, hitting a new historical high in stock price, with a turnover of $9.384 billion.
U.S. stock market close | The Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs! Apple has risen for seven consecutive days, reaching a historic high, while palantir soared nearly 7% to refresh its historical high.
Citigroup strategists point out that as the s&p 500 index repeatedly hits new highs, bearish investors are surrendering. Investors are overwhelmingly long in s&p 500 index futures positions, with a decrease in bearish sentiment.
AI shopping assistants have contributed to usa's "Cyber Monday" sales surpassing 13 billion dollars, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%.
According to a report by adobe, usa consumers reached an online spending of 13.3 billion dollars this year on "Cyber Monday", which is a 7.3% increase compared to Cyber Monday in 2023, surpassing the 10.8 billion dollars spent online on Black Friday. Caila Schwartz, director of consumer research at Salesforce, stated that generative ai tools can answer basic product queries from online shoppers, helping retailers protect their profit margins despite rising costs.
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The Nasdaq index reached a new high, French stocks rose, the south korea etf narrowed after a 7% drop, and the offshore yuan briefly fell below 7.31 yuan.
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol abruptly declared a state of emergency, boosting safe-haven assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds, Japanese yen, and gold, while cryptos on the South Korean exchange plunged. The South Korean parliament quickly passed a resolution to lift the state of emergency, with the Ministry of Finance and the central bank actively working on market rescue measures. After a 2.7% drop to a two-year low, the won’s decline was cut in half, South Korean etfs fell by 1.6%, and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds turned to increase after hitting a new low in over a month. France is set to vote on dissolving the government as early as Wednesday, with French stocks following European markets upward, although they had previously declined during the day. The Dow Jones, small cap stocks, and semiconductor indices fell, while the China concept index once rose by 1.9%. The yuan hit a new low in a year during the day, and U.S. oil rose nearly 3% testing the $70 mark.
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Spending more money to eliminate disasters: Apple is willing to invest 1 billion US dollars in Indonesia to lift the sales ban on iPhone 16.
The iPhone 16 has been banned from sale in Indonesia due to not meeting the local component localization requirements. Last week, the Indonesian Ministry of Industry stated that Apple's proposal to invest 0.1 billion dollars to establish a factory did not meet the principle of fairness. The Indonesian Minister of Investment said that Apple's investment in Indonesia must be larger than that in Vietnam.
Tesla's major shareholder, Liao Kaiyuan, warns: the 1929 stock market crash is about to repeat, no longer fully investing in Tesla, switching to short-term US Treasury bonds.
Tesla's major shareholder, Liao Kaiyuan, recently posted that a stock market crash similar to that of 1929 is approaching. He wants to hedge his investment portfolio's risks, and due to concerns that Tesla stocks may be about to be sold off, he chose to sell part of his Tesla stocks and invest in relatively safer short-term treasury bills to protect his investments.
U.S. stocks closed: The S&P reached a historic high for the 55th time this year, while the index of Chinese concept stocks had four consecutive days of gains.
① The S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs, but the momentum is weak; ② A "nightmare" occurred with the south korea etf; ③ Tesla's "bullish investors" announced they will no longer go ALL-IN; ④ Apple is assessing the use of amazon chips to train AI models.
Express News | The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 70.3%.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Options Spot-On: On December 3rd, 5.66 Million Contracts Were Traded, With 18.16 Million Open Interest
On December 3rd ET, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 5.66 million options for the day, of which put options accounted for 56.36% of the total