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The "January effect" in the U.S. stock market: Truth or myth?
The data supports this strategy, but also indicates that its effectiveness has weakened in recent years. As for 2025, the driving factors behind last year's high returns in the U.S. stock market still exist, but there are also some concerns.
The first Federal Reserve official this year stated: it is difficult to determine the impact of Trump's policies, and MMF policy will depend on economic data.
Federal Reserve Board member Kugler stated, "There is a view that we can slow down and adopt a more gradual approach" while observing data to determine whether stubborn inflationary pressures will begin to ease again. She also mentioned that the current economic situation is good, and although the job market has cooled somewhat, it remains resilient with the unemployment rate at historically low levels.
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