The historically 'most difficult to predict' Federal Reserve meeting is here! Dalio supports the CEO of Morgan Stanley: the magnitude of the interest rate cut is not important.
① Dalio emphasized that in the long run, the Fed's actions this week will ultimately "have no impact"; ② According to him, based on the overall situation of the US economy, a slight interest rate cut by the Fed this week, with a magnitude of 25 basis points, is appropriate.
How much will the Federal Reserve cut tonight? New Bond King: 50 basis points, Dalio: 25 basis points, Damon: None of this matters.
Before, the new bond king called for support for a 50 basis point rate cut, the Fed is already 'behind the curve'; while Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater, stated that 'a 25 basis point rate cut is the right move', JPMorgan CEO Dimon has taken a 'cool' attitude: 'Whether it's a 25 basis point cut or a 50 basis point cut, this move 'will not be earth-shattering'.
The Fed's interest rate cut is coming tonight! Wall Street economists: It will start the era of dollar depreciation.
On Thursday morning Beijing time, the global market will witness a significant moment: the announcement of the September interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Point72 Asset Management's strategist and economist Sofia Delrosso believes that this rate cut by the Fed will be a major moment, marking the official entry of the US dollar into a downward trend and providing a boost to the economies in other parts of the world.
Wall Street's "short god": If Harris is elected, he will hold gold and cash.
During the financial crisis, the Wall Street 'God of the Void' Paulson warned that Harris's economic policies would cause investors to panic and lead to the collapse of american financial. If she wins, he will withdraw his money from the market.
Employment data are all declining! The proponent of the "Sam Rule": the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points this week.
The proponent of the famous decline warning indicator 'Sam rule', Sam, said on Tuesday that the softness of the labor market may make the Fed worried, leading to a 50 basis points rate cut at this week's interest rate meeting; Sam pointed out that there are quite a lot of labor market data running in one direction, and it's not good, the Fed has been very supportive of its dual mandate to achieve the goal of maximizing employment.
Express News | Market Analysis: The Federal Reserve may disappoint extreme dovish investors.
Futu Morning News | Rate cut countdown! US stocks continue to break records; Bank of America: Long the seven giants of US stocks is still the most crowded trade.
"New美联储通讯社": The situation is complex, and there are still doubts about the magnitude of the Fed's first rate cut; if the Fed's first cut is done "properly", the record-breaking betting on a significant rate cut may face huge risks; Apple's iPhone 16 series pre-order sales in the first weekend fell short of expectations, analysts: the long-term outlook remains optimistic.
Top 20 transaction volume | Microsoft rose nearly 1%, planning to buy back up to 60 billion US dollars and increase dividend; Walmart fell more than 2%, has cleared all the shares of Dada holdings.
Microsoft, the top trading volume in the US stock market on Tuesday, fell by 1.02%, with a trading volume of $26.993 billion. Tesla, the second place, rose by 0.48%, with a trading volume of $15.367 billion. Apple, the third place, rose by 0.22%, with a trading volume of $9.84 billion.
US stocks in early trading | The three major indexes rose collectively, Chinese concept stocks and technology stocks strengthened collectively, Li Auto Inc rose nearly 9%, Tesla rose over 3%.
USA retail sales exceeded expectations in August, indicating that the consumer situation in the USA remains healthy. The Federal Reserve will begin its two-day monetary policy meeting today and announce the meeting results tomorrow. Wedbush brokerage stated that AI stocks like Nvidia will benefit from the Fed's rate cut.
Does this scene of the Fed seem familiar? Traders turn back the script of 1995.
Traders are optimistic that the Federal Reserve will achieve a soft landing reminiscent of 1995, but it is worth noting that the presidential election could overturn this historical experience.
U.S. retail sales in August exceeded expectations, and violent bets on a Fed rate cut still have the upper hand.
The last important data before the Federal Reserve interest rate decision has been released, analysts do not expect it to have a significant impact on this week's meeting.
Preview of US stocks | August retail sales data exceeds expectations, three major futures indices slightly rise; Bullish news frequently! Intel pre-market up nearly 7%.
Microsoft is giving out "red envelopes": dividend increase of 10%, planning to repurchase up to 60 billion US dollars; "New Fed Communication Agency" reiterated uncertainty: the magnitude of the first interest rate cut is still suspenseful.
Bank of America survey: The prospect of Fed rate cuts boosts investor confidence, cyclic stocks are expected to benefit significantly from the rate cuts.
A global survey by Bank of America shows that the optimistic sentiment surrounding the highly anticipated rate cut by the Federal Reserve has boosted investor confidence, marking the first time since June.
Wall Street is 'guessing the intention': will it be a 50 or 25 basis point rate cut? The next 12 hours will reveal the answer.
If there is no media report about a 25 basis point interest rate hike before Wednesday, the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate hike on Wednesday will increase further. The media trend in the next 12 hours is crucial and may ultimately determine market pricing.
Focus on today at 20:30! The "last important data" before the September Federal Reserve decision is coming.
Some analysts believe that if retail sales in August are too bad, the Fed may cut interest rates by 50 basis points this week.
Dow Jones, S&P equal weight, and gold all hit new highs, with expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut running high!
The market's expectation for a Fed interest rate cut continues to heat up, leading to an inflow of funds into economically sensitive industries, driving the Dow, S&P, and gold to new historic highs. Currently, traders believe there is a 64% chance of a "50 basis points rate cut."
Futu Morning Post | Senators jointly write to Powell, urging a 75 basis point rate cut this week; Intel to customize AI chips for amazon, with stock soaring over 11% after hours.
Barclays argues that if Trump implements unilateral forex intervention to weaken the US dollar, the cost will be too high; Ultraman has left the OpenAI safety and security committee, which will be chaired by Zico Kolter.
US stock market preview | Three major futures show mixed trends, Apple falls more than 2% before the market; Has the expectation of interest rate cuts changed again? Multiple senior central bank journalists speak out: There should be a 50 basis point rate
Trump Media Technology Group's pre-market rose nearly 2%, Trump suspected of being targeted for "assassination attempt" again; Intel pre-market rose more than 1%, news said it received a $3.5 billion subsidy to produce chips for the U.S. military; U.S. stocks survived the "summer storm", but this time it all relied on "S&P 493".
The US stock market survived the "summer storm", but this time it relied entirely on the "S&P 493".
Since mid-July, the seven major technology stocks in the US stock market have fallen by 5.3%, while the S&P 500 index has fallen by less than 1%. The rise of other companies outside the 'Big Seven' has offset most of the decline in technology stocks, with the real estate and utilities sectors both rising by 11%.
After two reports shook the market last week, another senior central bank journalist has spoken out: interest rates should be cut by 50 basis points!
Senior reporter Greg Ip believes that the current actual short-term interest rate has reached 3.2% to 3.5%, while the "neutral" actual interest rate range considered by the Federal Reserve officials is only 0.5% to 1.5%. The Federal Reserve should start cutting interest rates in July. If this time they only cut by 25 basis points, and if there are more weak data released in the future, the Federal Reserve will fall further behind market expectations.