Biden speaks again: The Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates!
①Biden expects the Fed to continue cutting interest rates; ②He said the Fed's 0.5 percentage point rate cut on Wednesday "is good news for consumers".
Why did the US stock market rebound on Thursday? The hope of a soft landing, the trading characteristics of Powell, and the catalyst of zero-date options.
Unemployment data strengthens confidence in a soft landing; the market's immediate trend after the Federal Reserve announces interest rate cuts is often unstable and irrational; since Powell took office, the stock market usually declines in the last hour of Federal Reserve decision days; market maker funds flow analysis shows that on Thursday, the S&P was supported at 5700 points, driven mainly by zero-date options 0DTE positions.
Did you really think there was only one dissenting vote? There may be far more Federal Reserve officials opposed to a large interest rate cut than you imagine.
① The Federal Reserve launched this round of easing cycle with a bold 50 basis point rate cut on Wednesday; ② From their forecasts on the dot plot interest rate path, this move may have only received strong support from a slim majority of the 19 Fed policymakers.
Another "Triple Witching Day" for US stocks! After the interest rate cut frenzy, Wall Street faces a $5.1 trillion test.
The market is at a critical moment of pricing, coinciding with the "Triple Witching" of the U.S. stock market!
Futu Morning Post | US Stock Carnival! Yellen praised the interest rate cut as injecting a “positive sign” into the US economy; Chinese securities have exploded! The general index surged by more than 4%
Yellen praised the interest rate cut as a "positive sign" for the US economy, emphasizing that the primary task is to ensure that the job market "remains strong"; Summers, the former US Treasury Secretary and whistleblower on high inflation, said that the future interest rate cut is expected to be less than the Federal Reserve's forecast.
Top 20 turnover | Tesla soared over 7%, with a high target of $310 from Morgan Stanley; Bitcoin rose above $0.062 million, and the holding stock MicroStrategy surged over 9%
On Thursday, Nvidia, ranked first in trading volume in the U.S. stock market, rose by 3.97%, with a trading volume of $34.744 billion. Tesla, ranked second, rose by 7.36%, with a trading volume of $24.69 billion. Apple, ranked third, rose by 3.71%, with a trading volume of $15.249 billion. MicroStrategy, ranked twelfth, rose by 9.04%, with a trading volume of $2.917 billion.
U.S. stocks hit a new high again! Wall Street's highest target: s&p 500 is expected to soar to 6100 points by the end of the year.
S&P, Dow both hit record highs, Wall Street traders bet that the Federal Reserve will achieve a soft landing, and the crazy rise of US stocks is far from over.
Will the volatility come back? Goldman Sachs expects increased risk and recommends buying VIX call options.
According to Goldman Sachs' model estimation, based on the current macro environment, the VIX level should be 24.5, significantly higher than the current level; and over the past 30 years, the VIX has averaged a 6% increase from September to October each year; the US stock market also faces macro/macro catalysts such as the election, Fed meeting, and October earnings season.
US "initial claims" data hits a four-month low, enhancing the Fed's vision of a "soft landing"
① In the week ending September 14, the number of people who applied for unemployment benefits for the first time after seasonal adjustment was 0.219 million, the lowest figure since May 25 this year; ② Jefferies Financial analyst wrote that although this number has been gradually increasing this year, the increase is very moderate and it is difficult to be seen as a sign of economic contraction.
The Federal Reserve's first rate cut in four years, with Bank of America predicting a further 75 basis point cut before the end of the year.
Bank of America Global Research Company said on Wednesday (September 18th) that it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 basis points for the remaining time this year, which is higher than previously estimated. Bank of America also pointed out that the Federal Reserve may further reduce interest rates by 125 basis points by 2025. On the same day, Goldman Sachs predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points multiple times until mid-2025.
Is the Federal Reserve starting an interest rate cut cycle on the cusp of a wave, possibly revealing the outcome of the election in advance?
Taking history as a lesson, in an election year with declining interest rates, the probability of the incumbent president or challenger winning is greater.
5.1 trillion US dollars of options will expire! The "Triple Witching Hour" of US stocks will hit tomorrow night, what impact will it have on the market?
According to derivative analysis company Asym 500 estimates, approximately $5.1 trillion of index, stocks, and ETF options will expire on Friday.
US stock market preview | All three major futures indexes rose, Nasdaq futures rose more than 2%; technology stocks and Chinese concept stocks rose collectively before the market, Alibaba rose more than 4%, Nvidia and Tesla rose more than 3%
Bitcoin surpassed $63,000 today, with pre-market gains in crypto-related stocks. MSTR and MARA rose over 5%; Tesla rose nearly 3% pre-market, with Robotaxi set to debut soon, and bullish views from Wall Street institutions.
US stocks mining | The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates more than expected! Multiple real estate-related stocks reach new highs for the year; Accelerate the acquisition plan, US private equity giant KKR rises more than 9% in five days
Soft landing expected to ignite! ai optical communication company Coherent rose nearly 4% on the previous trading day, with a cumulative increase of nearly 90% within the year; ai cloud computing service platform servicenow hit another historical high intraday, with a total annual increase of over 26%.
Daily options tracking | Strong surge of over 38%! Intuitive machine with multiple call options makes over 10 times the profit; Interest rate cut stimulates bullish, emerging markets ETF call options surge to 80%
Apple rose nearly 2% overnight, with options volume increasing by nearly double to 1.318 million contracts compared to the previous trading day. The highest volume was for a call option expiring tomorrow with a strike price of $222.5, totaling 0.13 million contracts. In addition, several call options expiring on Friday saw significant gains, with the most impressive increase exceeding twice the initial investment.
The interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has become the focus of the market again, with the narrative of the US economy's soft landing.
This week, the Federal Reserve held its most important meeting in recent history, with all investors' attention focused on one question: Did the Federal Reserve initiate a timely rate-cutting cycle to prevent the economy from slowing down too quickly?
Loose cycle begins! Take history as a lesson: There is a hidden connection between FED interest rate adjustments and election results.
①There is less than 7 weeks until the November 5th election. ②When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the party in control of the White House has lost 5 out of 6 elections.
Futu Morning News | The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, and the US stock market sees a roller coaster market! Powell: Don't think this is a new pace of interest rate cuts.
"Fed Horn": The Federal Reserve is actually making up for lost time; Polls: Harris leads Trump in swing states Pennsylvania and Michigan; Apple is up nearly 2%, and Morgan Stanley is expected to take over its credit card project from Goldman Sachs.
TOP 20 transaction volume | Nvidia fell nearly 2%, with a transaction volume of over 35.5 billion US dollars; Apple rose nearly 2%, and Goldman Sachs is expected to take over its credit card project from Goldman Sachs.
On Wednesday, Nvidia, ranking first in trading volume, fell 1.92% with a turnover of $35.556 billion. Tesla, ranking second, fell 0.29% with a turnover of $17.913 billion. Apple, ranking third, rose 1.80% with a turnover of $13.189 billion.
A review of Powell's speech: There is no fixed interest rate path, and there is currently no sign of a recession in the US economy.
①Powell said that there are currently no signs of a recession in the US economy, and he does not believe that an economic recession is imminent; ②Powell emphasized that no fixed interest rate path has been set and decisions will be made progressively through meetings.