Is it stable? The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates next month has reached 80%.
① Last night, the completely market-expected usa October CPI data did not cause much of a stir in the market; ② However, the data performance still boosted market confidence in the Fed's interest rate cut next month, and stimulated a rebound in short-term US government bonds.
The Republican Party won a majority of seats in the House, but the slim advantage brings challenges.
House Republicans are expected to win a majority of seats in the next Congress, giving them unified control that allows Trump to have more say in budget and tax battles. However, given that the Republican majority is expected to be narrow and internal consensus may be difficult to achieve, this could hinder their efforts to advance Trump's agenda.
Futu Morning Post | Interest rate cut in December stabilized? Fed officials said inflation is developing in the right direction; The market didn't stop spinning for the first time! Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited stated that it remains fully oper
The usa October CPI met expectations, Wall Street indicates that a rate cut next month is basically certain, with a potential slowdown next year; Trump nominated candidates for Secretary of State and several other important positions, and the Republican Party nearly secured control of the House of Representatives.
Is the continued interest rate cut stable in December? Federal Reserve officials say inflation is moving in the right direction.
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari expressed confidence in the inflation heading in the right direction just minutes after the CPI was released, stating that it will take six weeks to analyze the data. Dallas Fed President Kaplan said that more rate cuts may be needed in the future, but it is best to act cautiously, as there are risks of inflation due to demand and geopolitical factors. Comments suggest she prefers to slow down rate cuts sooner rather than later. St. Louis Fed President Bullard said that if inflation continues to decline, rate cuts should be gradual and monetary policy should remain 'slightly restrictive.' Kansas City Fed President George said it is uncertain how much the rate cuts will be in the future.
US stock market early trading | The three major indices are mixed, with outstanding stock prices showing a promising trend! The fintech company Dave rose by over 45%, while "SpaceX competitor" RKLB rose by over 30%.
As of press time, the Dow Jones fell by 0.12%, the Nasdaq fell by 0.38%, and the s&p 500 index fell by 0.23%.
US stock market outlook | October CPI data meets expectations, the three major futures indexes rise before the market opens; high-performing stocks soar! Spotify rises over 8%.
usa October CPI will be released tonight: core inflation is expected to remain strong, overall inflation will rebound; signs of a bubble in high-risk areas of the stock market, market excitement and concerns coexist after Trump's victory; super micro computer delays the submission of the 10-Q quarterly report, stating the need for more time to find a new audit firm.