The USA CPI is as expected; did the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December become stable?
The latest CPI report indicates that inflation is not worse than expected, and analysts believe this paves the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.
US stock market forecast | November CPI data meets expectations, the three major futures indexes rise sharply; Quantum Computing concept stocks surge before the market, with Rigetti and Quantum both climbing over 10%.
Pre-market up over 1%, Tesla's sales in China for December usher in a "good start": first week sales of 0.0219 million Autos, Cybertruck has completed Energy consumption declaration in China; Google executive: Search AI is the biggest bet, with an expected investment of 50 billion in 2024.
Major Wall Street firms collectively warn: investors' "frenzy" is waning, and the momentum of the U.S. stock market may slow down.
The famous short seller at Morgan Stanley stated, "The kind of fervent sentiment that helps people purchase U.S. stocks will face a reality check next year."
The Bank of Japan's interest rate decision will be announced next week. Will global stock markets repeat 'Black Monday'?
The Bank of Japan will hold its last monetary policy meeting of the year next week.
U.S. Stock Market Insights | Tesla stabilizes at $400! Will it hit a historical high this week? Strong gaming performance + upward adjustment of annual revenue forecast! Sony's stock price reaches a two-year high.
The Industry's fundamentals have shown a strong recovery, American Airlines' stock price has skyrocketed over 60% since the low in August; insiders continue to increase their Shareholding in the company's Stocks! MSCI's stock price has reached an all-time high.
Daily Options Tracking | Google's quantum chip is extremely popular! A call option made a staggering 63 times profit; NVIDIA's stock price is sluggish, with implied volatility of options increasing for four consecutive days.
After the earnings report, C3.ai's stock price experienced significant fluctuations, briefly rising over 7% before turning negative. During the session, the Options Volume surged to nearly 0.4 million contracts, ranking eleventh on the list of individual stock options in the U.S. market, with a Call ratio of 72.4%.
Economists are ringing alarm bells: a tariff storm is quietly brewing.
The US stock market has continued to rise since the election, and the market has clearly welcomed Trump's victory, but if the president-elect of the USA follows through on his tariff threats, turmoil may follow.
Annual Review | The strongest sector in US stocks for 2024 has been revealed! Technology stocks are leading the way, with the "new AI superstar" Applovin skyrocketing over 700%, and NVIDIA rising over 170% at one point becoming the top company by Market C
The three major U.S. stock indices have repeatedly set historical highs this year, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average once breaking the 45,000-point barrier, and the Nasdaq continually approaching the 20,000-point mark. Even more exciting is that the S&P 500 Index has successfully stood above 6,000 points, marking the 57th closing high of the year.
Is the CPI data too variable? The Federal Reserve may implement a "hawkish interest rate cut" this month!
Federal Reserve observers indicate that the November CPI data is likely to present unexpected results, potentially leading to a deviation from the easing policy.
Why do some Analysts pour cold water on the "Trump 2.0" leading U.S. stocks to soar? Understand it in one article.
① After the USA election, the stock market continues to rise, but Analysts advise investors to remain cautious. ② BCA Research predicts that the USA stock market may enter a bear market in the first half of next year, with stock prices potentially dropping by as much as 35%.
Tonight! The last piece of potentially market-exploding data from the USA in 2024 is here.
① The USA's November CPI data, which will be released tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, can be metaphorically described as "the last heavyweight economic Indicator of the USA for 2024", which does not seem exaggerated. ② With the Federal Reserve's December monetary policy meeting scheduled for next week, tonight's CPI is expected to serve as an important basis for the Fed's critical decision on whether or not to cut interest rates...
Goldman Sachs predicts that the core CPI in the USA will increase by 0.28% month-on-month in November, which is below market expectations.
The USA Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the November CPI data on Wednesday, December 11. Goldman Sachs' Research Reports indicate that prices for used cars, airline tickets, and Autos are expected to continue rising in November. Looking ahead, Goldman Sachs expects inflation to further slow down over the next year, with monthly CPI inflation rates between 0.20% and 0.25% in the coming months, mainly influenced by Autos, housing rentals, and the rebalancing of the labor market, although upgraded tariff policies may have some offsetting effect.
Futu Morning Report | Focus on tonight's CPI report! It may become a key factor affecting next week's interest rate decision; Google surged more than 5%! Its quantum chip drove all Concept stocks to soar, with RGTI rising over 45%.
How much computing power does the agent need? Barclays: over 70% of total computing demand, with expenditures amounting to 300 billion; stock prices surged nearly 18%! Reports suggest that USA pharmacy giant Walgreens is in talks with private equity firms for a sale; Bitcoin briefly fell below 95,000 USD! Microsoft Shareholders voted against the Bitcoin investment proposal, stating that returns cannot be guaranteed.
US Stock Index Futures Drift Higher With CPI Data in Focus
Foreign media survey: 90% of economists predict that the Federal Reserve will announce a 25 basis point rate cut next week.
According to a survey by foreign media, 90% of economists predict that the Federal Reserve will announce a 25 basis point rate cut at the policy meeting on December 18, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.25%-4.50%.
Trump's return ignites hope, the confidence Index of small businesses in the USA hits a three-year high.
① In November, the USA's small business confidence Index rose to 101.7, the highest since June 2021; ② Owners expect tax and regulatory policies to benefit economic growth and ease inflation pressure, with 14% of respondents believing that now is a good time to expand their Business; ③ Analysts warn that the expulsion of illegal immigrants and the imposition of tariffs may increase small business costs and suppress overseas sales, with a high risk of rapidly deteriorating sentiment.
U.S. Stock Outlook | The three major futures are mixed, Citigroup predicts the S&P 500 could reach a high of 6900 points next year; Chinese concept stocks and ETFs are generally down in pre-market trading, with YINN falling over 11%.
NVIDIA responds to being investigated: happy to answer any questions regulators have for us; demand for AI Chips is driving growth! Taiwan Semiconductor's sales in November saw a year-on-year increase of 34%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline; deficits are concerning! Bond giant Pimco: cut positions in long-term US Bonds, shifting to medium-term bonds and overseas bonds.
Inflation may rise again next year! Will the Federal Reserve have to slow down the pace of interest rate cuts?
The market may have underestimated the possibility of inflation rising again, and the Federal Reserve may slow down its interest rate cuts in 2025, or even begin to raise interest rates...
The calm before the storm! The year 2025 may be the quietest year for Trump 2.0.
Trump won a second term in the White House because he promised to "burn down" the existing order.
Citi's outlook for 2025: The S&P 500 could reach a maximum of 6900, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle will not be interrupted.
Although Citibank strategists are also bullish on the US stock market, they are concerned about the high valuation starting point.