US Stock Outlook | "ADP Employment Report" falls short of expectations! The three major futures indices show slight gains; boosted by AMD's bullish investment, AI startup ABSI rises over 40% in pre-market trading.
According to informed sources, Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to launch a new tariff plan; Federal Reserve Governor Waller: supports further interest rate cuts this year; Federal Reserve's Bostic: inflation will gradually decline, policymakers should remain cautious in their decision-making.
Fed's "hot" committee member Waller: Inflation is declining, supporting further interest rate cuts.
On Wednesday, Fed "super voter" and long-time FOMC voting member, Fed Governor Waller stated that he believes inflation will continue moving towards the central...
U.S. stock market early session | All three major Indexes fell, most Growth Tech stocks weakened, NVIDIA and Microsoft rose nearly 1% against the trend, while AMD dropped over 4%.
On the evening of the 8th in Peking time, US stocks opened lower on Wednesday. Concerns regarding the interest rate cut path led to a decline in US stocks yesterday, and the market is focusing on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes in December. The December ADP private employment data in the USA was below market expectations. The President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to promote new tariff policies.
The overseas market will not stop for the Spring Festival! Looking back at the performance of Hong Kong and U.S. stocks during the Spring Festival in the past, will the New Year market see an explosive growth?
According to the News organized by Futu, since 2018, the average probability of an increase in Hong Kong stocks during the New Year period is as high as 80%, while U.S. stocks and Chinese concept stocks have a 70% increase probability.
U.S. Stock Market Gold Rush | Riding the NVIDIA Wave! Autonomous driving company AUR's stock price surged nearly 30% overnight; concerns over gas shortages arise again in Europe, with several Oil & Gas stocks reaching new highs for the year.
The Bird Flu virus is rampant, and the USA reports the first death case! Vaccine manufacturer Moderna surged by 11% upon hearing the news; bullish factors are stacking up! Xiaopeng Autos rose over 9% overnight, and the stock price has increased for three consecutive days.
Daily Options Tracking | NVIDIA fell 6% after the CES press conference! A large investor bought Call options worth 12.62 million dollars, bullish against the trend; trading volume of options on China Large Cap stock ETFs surged, with a concentration of op
Bitcoin has fallen to $97,000, with "whale" MSTR dropping nearly 10%, and several Put Options with strike prices around $340 have more than doubled overnight this Friday.
Nomura's Global Macro Research Director: The Federal Reserve will only cut interest rates once in 2025, and it is even possible that there may be a rate increase?
Is the interest rate cut no longer happening.
With U.S. Treasury yields rising like this, should concern be raised for the U.S. stock market?
According to Morgan Stanley's analysis, as the yield on 10-year U.S. treasury bonds rises above 4.5%, it has created pressure on U.S. stock valuations. The correlation between the S&P 500 Index and U.S. treasury yields has turned into a "significant negative correlation." Considering the poor market breadth, the downward pressure on the dollar, and the Federal Reserve's hawkish policy outlook, U.S. stocks may face severe challenges in the next six months.
2024 "Capitol Hill Stock God" performance: dozens of members of Congress outperform the Large Cap stock market, with the highest yield reaching 149%!
① According to a new report, in the recently passed year of 2024, the stock investment portfolios of over 20 USA lawmakers outperformed the Large Cap; ② Congressman David Rouzer had the highest investment portfolio return, reaching 149%; ③ This has once again raised concerns about insider trading among congressional members.
Futu Morning Report | Expectations for interest rate cuts weaken! Rising inflation concerns trigger market fluctuations; NVIDIA turns to decline after hitting a new high, while Xiaopeng Autos rise over 9%.
Microsoft will reinvest 3 billion dollars to expand AI computing power, aiming to cultivate 10 million AI talents by 2030; Apple's spring "budget version" iPhone new model is about to go into production and will be launched before April.
U.S. stocks closed | All three major Indexes fell, with the Nasdaq down nearly 2%; Technology stocks declined, with NVIDIA dropping over 6% and Tesla falling over 4%; some Chinese concept stocks went against the trend, with Xiaopeng rising over 9%.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.2%, with China Concept Stocks showing mixed results; ② NVIDIA launched its personal computing product Project DIGITS; ③ XPENG Huaitian: Flying cars will be mass-produced and delivered in 2026; ④ Vaccine stocks soared, with Moderna rising nearly 12% and Novavax increasing by nearly 11%.
Is inflation returning? Economic data causes market fluctuations, with the NASDAQ and S&P 500 Index experiencing corrections.
The release of two economic data points led to a surge in yields and a sharp decline in the stock market.
U.S. stock market in the early session | The three major Indexes opened high and fell, while the Biotechnology Sector rose against the trend, with MRNA up over 10%; Fubo continued to increase by more than 10%, partnering with Disney for streaming services
On the evening of the 7th Beijing time, US stocks opened slightly higher on Tuesday. The Semiconductors Sector saw a general rise after NVIDIA announced the launch of the RTX5090 and the world's smallest personal AI supercomputer. The US stock market will be closed on Thursday in memory of former President Jimmy Carter.
U.S. stocks preview | "CES Technology Spring Festival" is buzzing! NVIDIA reached a historic high in pre-market trading; the "golden touch magic" is back, with NVIDIA concept stock Aurora soaring nearly 40%.
The investment director at Morgan Stanley states that US stocks may face severe challenges in the next six months due to rising bond yields and the strengthening dollar raising concerns about inflation; a Wall Street bond short seller predicts that the yield on ten-year USA Bonds will rise to 5.5% by the end of the year; under the impact of high interest rates, the bankruptcy rate of American companies has reached its highest level since the financial crisis.
Under the impact of high interest rates, the bankruptcy rate of companies in the USA has risen to the highest level since the financial crisis.
Despite the fact that the Federal Reserve began lowering interest rates at the end of last year, the number of bankrupt companies in the USA continues to rise.
Is the market too optimistic? Economists warn: The Federal Reserve has paused rate cuts, and there may only be one cut this year!
According to Morgan Stanley, the Federal Reserve has sent a signal of a "hard pause" in December. Senior economists from the Obama administration believe that if the labor market remains healthy, the Fed may only cut interest rates once this year, and if the CPI rises back above 3%, the possibility of a rate hike in 2025 cannot be ruled out.
Daily Options Tracking | The CES conference boosts a frenzy in chip stocks! NVIDIA and AMD Call Options are being aggressively bought; FuboTV skyrocketed 251% overnight, with one Call yielding an astonishing 300 times increase.
MicroStrategy has seen a strong rebound for two consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of over 26%. Yesterday, the Options Volume remained high, with the Call ratio exceeding 70%, and volatility continued to rise.
Take on the risks yourself! Institutions warn: the more optimistic one is about the US stock market, the greater the risks.
Investor enthusiasm for the US stock market and the US economy in 2025 may backfire...
Rare! Federal Reserve officials explicitly state that market valuations are too high.
Cook's remarks remind people of former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan's warning about "irrational exuberance" in 1996.
Goldman Sachs has discovered a "major warning signal": hedge funds are suddenly and unusually shorting in large numbers.
The market may have undergone significant changes, just on the day the Federal Reserve shifted to a hawkish stance on December 18...