One-week outlook | Powell joins hands with non-farm data to 'explode the market'! Multiple Fed officials speak intensively; Hong Kong stocks closed for one day for National Day holiday, A shares closed for seven days
China's manufacturing and service PMI will be released; Europe's September CPI data will be released, inflation data meeting expectations or accelerating the European Central Bank's interest rate cut; Japan will release the August unemployment rate; Carnival Cruise Line, Nike, McCormick & Co will release financial reports.
How many basis points will the Fed cut interest rates in November? Next week is very crucial.
The probability of a 75 basis point rate cut within the year is 100%.
U.S. Treasury Liquidity Shifts to Month-end as Passive Funds Dominate: NY Fed Research
Guosen Securities: Will the Fed "stabilize the dollar" or "stabilize US bonds"? Global funds' views on US assets may change.
CICC Securities stated that looking ahead, the Federal Reserve's decisions may continue to be 'tight', and after a period of 'stabilizing US bonds', it is not ruled out that 'stabilizing the US dollar' may once again push the Federal Reserve to adjust its policy direction. These factors may affect the global perception of US assets.
US stocks close | US PCE inflation cools down, S&P Nasdaq falls but Dow hits new high; China concept index surges 24% for the whole week, jd.com hits fourteen-month high.
US PCE inflation cooling solidifies the confidence of the Fed in rate cuts, but US stocks fell in the afternoon, with nvidia dropping nearly 4% at one point. China's stimulus policies drove the Chinese concept index up by 4%, nio inc rose by nearly 13%, pan-European stock indexes and German stocks hit new highs for two consecutive days, luxury goods stocks rose again. The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq have all risen for three consecutive weeks, with two China-focused ETFs achieving the best weekly gains in history.
TOP 20 transaction volume | Chinese concept stocks continue to rise, pdd holdings surged 35.5% this week; Musk claims that China's industrial capacity has far exceeded the usa.
On Friday, the turnover of the US stock market ranked first with nvidia falling by 2.13%, trading at $32.833 billion; tesla ranked second, rising by 2.45%, trading at $18.333 billion; apple, ranking third, rose by 0.12%, trading at $7.762 billion.
USA's core PCE in August hit a new low since May, lower than market expectations.
"The New York Fed communicator" Nick Timiraos commented on this month's PCE data, saying that the PCE indicator favored by the Fed is not far from the Fed's target.
US stock market outlook | As expected! USA's core PCE in August rose by 2.7% year-on-year, short-term pull-up of the three major index futures; Making a fortune! Well-known major short sellers bet on Chinese concept stocks to usher in a glorious moment
Before the market opened on Friday, the three major equity index futures fell slightly, with the market waiting for PCE data; tesla's 0-interest car purchase event was postponed again; jd.com continued to rise by over 2% before the market, Alibaba and jd.com will open up to each other.
This week in the US stock market | China's assets experience a "big carnival", goldman sachs and other major banks are all bullish! Ke Holdings surged nearly 40% during the week, with jd.com and pdd holdings rising by about 30%.
This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.27% to 42175.11 points; during the same period, the S&P 500 index rose by 0.75% to 5745.37 points; the Nasdaq index rose by 1.35% to 18190.29 points during the same period.
Daily Options Recap | Chinese index continues to soar! KWEB call option hits nearly a hundredfold profit; AI wave ignites storage demand, micron technology trading is hot.
Under investigation by the US Department of Justice! Super Micro Computer fell more than 12% the previous trading day, put options surged to 52.6%, options volume increased significantly by 3.7 times to 0.617 million contracts compared to last night; on the options chain, the highest trading volume belongs to put options with a strike price of $400 expiring today, reaching 0.028 million contracts.
SA Sentiment: What's the Best Way to Address America's $35T Debt Load?
Yellen speaks out strongly: Believes the economy can achieve a "soft landing" and publicly criticizes Trump.
american financial the treasury secretary said that the u.s. economy is moving towards a "soft landing" and controlled inflation; She believes that, moving in this direction, the federal reserve policy rate will approach the neutral rate; Janet Yellen also criticized the trump administration for undermining the stability of the american financial system in a public speech.
Futu Express | Soaring 11%! Chinese concept index surges again, Goldman Sachs: The recovery of China's stock market may finally be coming; It's about interest rates! High-ranking officials of the Federal Reserve, Yellen, and others speak intensively.
The director of the monetary policy department of the People's Bank of China stated that they will speed up the introduction of documents on financial increment policy measures; US Treasury Secretary Yellen predicts a decrease in housing costs, driving towards achieving the 2% inflation target.
Powell delivered a speech at the US bond market annual meeting, emphasizing regulatory cooperation and communication, drawing lessons from the "flash crash" in the bond market ten years ago.
Powell mentioned the opportunity of the annual conference - the rare liquidity 'flash crash' in the US Treasury market in October 2014. It was because of that event that regulators such as the Fed realized the significant changes in the structure of the US Treasury market, how electronic trading has a big impact on the market, and how crucial the cooperation and communication among various regulatory institutions are.
Trading Volume TOP20 | Chinese concept stocks continue to soar! PDD Holdings surged nearly 14%, Alibaba rose over 10%; Super Micro Computer fell more than 12% due to investigation by the US Department of Justice.
nvidia, the top stock on Thursday's US stock market, rose by 0.43%, with a trading volume of 37.626 billion US dollars. tesla, the second place, fell by 1.09%, with a trading volume of 17.154 billion US dollars.
US stocks closed | The three major indexes rose together, with the S&P hitting a new high again, while super micro computer was investigated and fell more than 12%; the China concept index surged nearly 11%, pdd holdings rose over 13%.
Chinese concept stocks are in a frenzy, Bilibili's stock price rose by over 15%, fangdd network doubled, Gaotu education increased by over 27%. London copper rose by over 2.7% breaking $0.01 million, offshore renminbi rose above 6.98 yuan, reaching a 16-month high. WTI crude oil fell by about 3%.
US Stock Outlook | Chinese securities are booming across the board! Pinduoduo, JD, and Station B soared by more than 11% before the market; Micron exploited “AI faith”! Pre-market riots in chip stocks
Optimism continues to spread, with strong gains in the Asia-Pacific stock markets and pre-market trading in US stocks on the rise. As of the time of publication, the Dow Jones futures rose by 0.37%, the s&p 500 index futures rose by 0.75%, and the Nasdaq futures rose by 1.41%. Chinese ETFs surged in pre-market trading, with 3 times leverage on the rise of the FTSE China ETF by over 25%.
How do young Americans view the election? Latest polls: they are more supportive of Harris!
①The latest opinion polls show that young voters in the usa seem to be more enthusiastic about Vice President Harris than former President Trump; ②This young voting group holds strong critical attitudes towards the recent presidents.
US stocks are mining | Crazier than Nvidia! American electric power giant Vistra achieved 13 consecutive gains, more than doubled year-to-date; up over 67% since August! Many neighboring countries' stock prices hit record highs, praised by many major bank
Hewlett Packard Enterprise, a cloud computing service company, saw a more than 20% increase on the 10th day! Barclays raised its target price to $24, which means it could rise another 20%.
Daily Options Tracker | Two major catalysts for Tesla coming in October! Goldman Sachs recommends buying call options; Bulls rejoice! Bullish sentiment for Chinese tech index ETF reaches 70 percent.
Micron Technology's pre-market increase reached 16%. The pre-earnings options trading volume of the stock expanded to 0.57 million contracts, about three times the daily average volume, with a bullish sentiment of nearly seventy percent, and call options are being snapped up in succession.