Former Federal Reserve "Hawk King": Interest rates should be cut by 25 basis points tonight, otherwise there will be no defense.
Brad believes that the Federal Reserve cannot defend a 50 basis point rate cut. The former 'Fed gossip agency' also stated that the communication of a 50 basis point rate cut is more challenging.
US Stock Market Outlook: The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is coming tonight; Pre-market soars nearly 53%! US space concept stock LUNR secures nearly $5 billion contract.
Apple has been surpassed by Xiaomi again after 3 years, falling to the third largest mobile phone brand in the world in August; United States Steel rose nearly 4% in pre-market trading, and the CEO said he is confident that the acquisition deal will eventually be approved by the US government; Another major bank is strongly bullish on gold: it will rise to $2900 next year.
What risks will the market face if the Federal Reserve doesn't cut interest rates by 50 basis points?
Goldman Sachs pointed out that the current market pricing is aggressive, with the risk of expectations falling short, which may have a negative impact on market sentiment and asset prices. The pace of future interest rate cuts may also be slower than market expectations. The market will focus on the released "dot plot" for more specific guidance from the Federal Reserve on future interest rate cuts and scope.
Bullish on US stocks | More policy support! Li Auto Inc. jumped over 12% overnight; Rate cut expectations boost credit card companies to hit new historical highs.
Heavy investment! Blackrock joined hands with Microsoft to bet on the AI track, reaching the $900 mark overnight and hitting a new historical high, with a 1.04% increase; target price was raised by major bank analysts! Applovin, a mobile advertising technology company, soared more than 6% overnight, surging more than 40% in the past 5 trading days, and has risen more than 200% so far this year, creating a new historical high again.
Difficult to sleep tonight! The suspense of interest rate cut is soaring, the market's divergence is intensifying, what script will the interest rate debate perform tonight?
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September is a done deal, but there is a fierce debate over the magnitude of the rate cut. The camps advocating for a 50 basis point cut and a 25 basis point cut continue to argue with each other.
Daily options tracking | Bullish signals everywhere! Intel's multiple call options have doubled in premium and surged; Gold ETF trading is hot, with the call-to-put ratio climbing to 63%.
Tesla's trading volume yesterday surged 30% compared to the previous trading day, reaching 1.22 million shares. The call option chain skyrocketed to 65%. Among the options chain, the long positions occupy the main position, with the largest volume being the call option with a strike price of $235 expiring this Friday, with a volume of 0.1 million shares.
Morgan Stanley fund: When will the convertible bond market reach a turning point?
Overall, the long-term value of convertible bond assets is gradually becoming apparent.
Tonight, the world is paying close attention! The "giant ship" of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will officially set sail.
①For the global financial markets, tonight is destined to be a sleepless night... ②As scheduled, the Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce the September interest rate decision at 2:00 AM Beijing time on Thursday; ③It is generally expected in the industry that the Federal Reserve will announce the first rate cut in 4 years at this meeting, with little suspense, but at the same time, this is also the most 'mysterious' or uncertain Federal Reserve interest rate night in recent years.
The historically 'most difficult to predict' Federal Reserve meeting is here! Dalio supports the CEO of Morgan Stanley: the magnitude of the interest rate cut is not important.
① Dalio emphasized that in the long run, the Fed's actions this week will ultimately "have no impact"; ② According to him, based on the overall situation of the US economy, a slight interest rate cut by the Fed this week, with a magnitude of 25 basis points, is appropriate.
How much will the Federal Reserve cut tonight? New Bond King: 50 basis points, Dalio: 25 basis points, Damon: None of this matters.
Before, the new bond king called for support for a 50 basis point rate cut, the Fed is already 'behind the curve'; while Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater, stated that 'a 25 basis point rate cut is the right move', JPMorgan CEO Dimon has taken a 'cool' attitude: 'Whether it's a 25 basis point cut or a 50 basis point cut, this move 'will not be earth-shattering'.
U.S. Treasury Curve Tends to Steepen Into and During Rate-Cutting Cycle -- Market Talk
The Fed's interest rate cut is coming tonight! Wall Street economists: It will start the era of dollar depreciation.
On Thursday morning Beijing time, the global market will witness a significant moment: the announcement of the September interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Point72 Asset Management's strategist and economist Sofia Delrosso believes that this rate cut by the Fed will be a major moment, marking the official entry of the US dollar into a downward trend and providing a boost to the economies in other parts of the world.
Hold your breath! The Fed's interest rate cut is about to be final, and this article reviews how previous interest rate cuts have affected the market.
With the Federal Reserve once again standing at the crossroads of a major monetary policy shift, historically speaking, what kind of impact will a Fed rate cut have on the stock market, bond market, and forex market? Multiple sets of historical statistics show that this may primarily depend on one factor: the health of the U.S. economy.
The pace of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in the United States is taking off! The market is placing a "big bet", will it succeed or lead to disaster?
① From the perspective of market expectations, tonight will undoubtedly be the most stimulating Federal Reserve interest rate night in over a decade. ② If Federal Reserve officials "unexpectedly" choose to start the easing with the standard method (a 25 basis point interest rate cut), then fixed income traders who have made record-breaking bets may face huge losses.
On the eve of the 'first cut', there is a huge divergence in the market! 'New Bond King' Gundlach bets on a 50 basis point rate cut.
① Goldman Sachs is betting that the Fed will start a rate-cutting cycle with a 50 basis point cut; ② "I think they will cut rates by 50 basis points - this seems excessive," he added. "The Fed is far behind the curve and they should take unified action."
Technology stocks sold off? Value stock ETFs absorbed a whopping $6.9 billion on the eve of the Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
With the market expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, investors are turning to undervalued stocks in hopes of a recovery.
Amazing! The Biden administration's budget deficit in August set a new record for this year. Analysts say that the interest on US Treasury bonds will exceed 1 trillion US dollars for the first time.
Market analysts say that the Biden administration's August deficit hit a record high for the year, and the interest on US government debt exceeded 1 trillion dollars for the first time.
Bond traders bet on the "bold move" of the Federal Reserve, with a 50 basis point rate cut becoming a popular expectation.
Bond traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to start a rate-cutting cycle this week, with a possible rate cut of up to half a percentage point.
Futu Morning News | Rate cut countdown! US stocks continue to break records; Bank of America: Long the seven giants of US stocks is still the most crowded trade.
"New美联储通讯社": The situation is complex, and there are still doubts about the magnitude of the Fed's first rate cut; if the Fed's first cut is done "properly", the record-breaking betting on a significant rate cut may face huge risks; Apple's iPhone 16 series pre-order sales in the first weekend fell short of expectations, analysts: the long-term outlook remains optimistic.
The ultimate prospect of the "Fed megaphone": the extent of the interest rate cut is still uncertain, and the suspense remains until the end.
①Timi Laus once again stated in a post that the Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates this week, but it is still uncertain whether the rate cut will be a larger 50 basis points or the traditional 25 basis points; ②This week's policy decision is a difficult choice, with 12 decision makers voting on the policy, there may be opposing votes.