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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
Is the threshold for the Federal Reserve to further cut interest rates significantly low? Morgan Stanley: Cut another 50 basis points in November!
Citigroup analyst pointed out that, given the Federal Reserve's description of a 50 basis point rate cut as a "commitment" to prevent falling behind the curve, we believe the threshold for further substantial rate cuts is very low.
US stock market outlook | The three major futures are all up, with technology giants slightly rising pre-market, Intel up nearly 5%; Goldman Sachs bullish on s&p 500 reaching 6000 points! Expects a rebound after short-term volatility.
Fed senior official Kashkari: Expected to further cut interest rates by 50 basis points within the year; Bank of America warns: Bubble risks resurfacing, recommends buying bonds and gold; Is Harris coming from behind? Poll support rate continues to climb, already leading Trump in all aspects.
Manufacturing panic or preparing ahead? Vice President Pence warns: US debt may fall into a "death spiral"!
Republican vice presidential candidate J.D. Vance warned that if interest rates soar during his term, it could trigger a "death spiral" in the U.S. bonds market, ultimately potentially "destroying the country's finances"; In 2024, the U.S. government's spending on its massive debt interest is expected to surpass defense and medical insurance expenditures, becoming the second largest expenditure after social security.
US stocks are digging for gold | Microsoft's 'cash power' stimulates the nuclear power sector to soar! CEG skyrocketed over 22% overnight, VST rose over 16%; annual increase reached 200%, surpassing Nvidia! American fast food chain CAVA's stock price hits
It is worth noting that VST's year-to-date increase has exceeded 182%, CEG's cumulative increase exceeds 119%, and NRG's cumulative increase exceeds 70%. At the same time, other electrical utilities stocks are also benefiting, with the public service enterprise group rising by nearly 4%, a year-to-date increase of up to 45%; exelon rose by more than 2%, reaching a new all-time high in stock price.
Daily Options Recap | 'Big players' suspected of fighting for intel! Multiple call contracts make over 10 times profit; nvidia put-to-call ratio rises to 40%, big players spend 80 million US dollars selling call contracts.
Gamestop rose nearly 12% last Friday, with an implied volatility of 80.24%, call options accounting for 82% of the total. The options volume increased by 3.1 times compared to the previous trading day, reaching 0.62 million contracts. The largest outstanding contract in terms of volume is a call option with a $22 strike price expiring this Friday, totaling 0.022 million contracts.
Treasury Yields Nudge Higher as Investors Assess Growth Outlook
Deutsche Bank Cuts Forecasts for U.S. Treasury Yields
The Federal Reserve's "non-recessionary rate cut" means that traditional defensive strategies are no longer effective.
The traditional interest rate reduction trading strategy is to choose defensive stocks and high dividend stocks, but this time the Federal Reserve chose to cut interest rates significantly in a relatively loose financial environment, sending a signal to attack. Investors are shifting from defensive stocks to cyclical stocks and large cap stocks, investing in industries such as banks, technology, real estate, and autos.
Soochow Securities: What to buy after the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve?
Looking back at the past 3 rounds of proactive interest rate cuts, Soochow Securities found that growth stocks such as information technology and medical care, as well as cyclical sectors represented by finance, often performed better before and after the interest rate cuts.
The drastic interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve intensifies valuation anxiety, prompting investors to flock to CSI enterprise bond index.
Investors are pouring a large amount of funds into corporate bonds, causing the risk premium to gradually tighten. The Fed's rate cut has reignited hope for avoiding a recession in the USA.
Harris caught up later? The approval rating has continued to rise, now leading Trump comprehensively.
① Recent polls have shown that Harris' approval ratings have significantly increased in both the United States as a whole and key swing states, surpassing Trump. ② Economists analyze that although Harris is the Vice President, she has successfully avoided public criticism of Biden's policies, and some of her campaign promises have gained the support of voters.
The Fed's unprecedented interest rate cuts have prompted Wall Street to urgently search for a new script.
In the case of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and the economy remaining stable, the overall call is a winning weapon.
Federal Reserve's interest rate cut may not be bullish! Bank of America warns: bubble risks resurface, recommends buying bonds and gold.
The excitement in the stock market intensified the bubble risk after the Fed's rate cut, making bonds and gold attractive tools to resist economic recession or rising inflation.
The Fed finally cut interest rates! But the 'global asset pricing anchor' rose instead?
① The Federal Reserve finally lowered interest rates. However, in the past few trading days, a key indicator of borrowing costs has been rising... ② The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield closed at around 3.73% last Friday, higher than the 3.64% the day before the Fed cut interest rates; ③ This rise in the "anchor of global asset pricing" reminds people that the Fed cannot fully control domestic borrowing costs in the United States at will.
Futu Morning News | JPMorgan CEO questions 'soft landing': inflation fades too easily; Chip industry earthquake? Rumors that Intel will 'sell itself' to Qualcomm.
Apple's stock volume surged at the close, with the turnover jumping to the global number one; Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung are considering building chip factories in the United Arab Emirates, worth over 100 billion US dollars.
A week ahead | Powell and Fed officials speak intensively! The Fed's most favored inflation indicator is about to be released.
Micron Technology, Costco, and many other companies have successively released their financial reports. In addition, the Japanese stock market was closed on Monday for the autumnal equinox; on Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia announced its interest rate decision, and RBA Governor Lowe will then hold a press conference on monetary policy; on Thursday, the Swiss National Bank announced its interest rate decision.
Bank of America's Hartnett: How to determine if the Fed's large interest rate cut is backfiring?
Hartnett believes that the Fed's "panic rate cut" on Wall Street, when there was no panic, triggered investors' excessive optimism.
Is the Fed's interest rate cut actually a risk for the US stock market? Bank of America's suggestion: buy bonds and gold on dips!
①Bank of America Merrill Lynch stated that with the arrival of a new round of loose monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, there is once again a risk of bubbles in some markets; ②The bank recommends that investors should allocate bonds and gold to hedge against bubble risks.
tianfeng Securities: How does the domestic bond market respond to the Fed's 50 basis point interest rate cut?
However, considering that the fundamentals and policies determine that the direction of interest rates has not changed, it seems unnecessary to take profit even if domestic interest rate cuts are implemented.
After the significant rate cut, did the Federal Reserve start a new expectation management?
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman insists that a smaller rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week is more preferable. Bowman is the only member of the Federal Reserve to dissent from the latest rate cut policy decision, stating that she is inclined towards a smaller rate cut (25 basis points) rather than 50 basis points.