IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On September 24th, 437.72K Contracts Were Traded, With 4.67 Million Open Interest
On September 24th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 437.72K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 37.51%
Federal Reserve Governor Bowman "hawkish": will remain cautious about further interest rate cuts!
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said on Tuesday: "When it comes to the risks of achieving our dual mandate, I continue to believe that there are greater risks to price stability, especially as the labor market approaches estimates of full employment."
Express News | Market expectations for rate cuts at the next meetings of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are increasing.
Rieder Says Recession Pricing in Bonds Was Overdone, Sees Attractive Yields After Rate Cut
U.S. Stock Market Outlook: Continuing to soar! Chinese concept stocks are all high before the market opening, Alibaba surges more than 5%, "Weixiaoli" collectively rises more than 7%; Several high officials of the Federal Reserve collectively adopt a dovi
Large-cap technology stocks mostly rose before the market opened, with Tesla continuing to rise by 1.5%, Microsoft and Amazon slightly down; Taiwan Semiconductor rose nearly 2% before the market opened, Daiwa Securities raised the target price for TSMC and reiterated a 'shareholding' rating; Li Auto Inc. rose over 8% before the market opened, selling a whopping 0.012 million units last week, with weekly sales surpassing Mercedes-Benz and Audi.
From the usa to Germany, the global yield curve inversion phenomenon is gradually disappearing.
The trend of yield curve normalization or steepening first appeared in the United Kingdom bonds market in July, and a month later in the USA bonds market. Now, this trend is also emerging in the Germany and Canada bonds markets.
U.S. stock prospects | Wall Street sings praises! Tesla soared nearly 5%, reaching a two-month high; Chinese concept stocks stepping on the gas? Alibaba's stock price hits a one-year high, ke holdings skyrocketed by over 7% overnight.
Up more than 120% year-to-date! Sea rose more than 10% on the 3rd day, with many major banks setting a high target price of $96; the two-year cumulative increase is as high as 490%! Palantir's overnight stock price hit another record high, rising more than 25% since its inclusion in the s&p 500 index announcement.
Daily options tracking | Chinese concept stocks soar! Alibaba, jd.com options call ratios as high as 80%; tesla recovers all year-to-date declines, overnight call orders earn nearly double.
After the end of the sales ban, the selling pressure intensified, and Trump's media DJT has fallen continuously for six days, with a total decline of over 32%. Options trading has seen three consecutive days of increased volume, recording nearly 0.16 million contracts overnight, with puts accounting for the majority of the decline to 56%.
Goldman Sachs top traders: The US stock market is still in a bull market, but the margin for error is quite small, and the risk/return is not very attractive.
"Capital flows will be the main factor determining market direction. The strategy of buying into the market significantly during the past two years when it has not yet pulled back remains effective. Bullish on the US consumer non-essential sector outperforming the large cap, and believes that technology stocks will regain structural advantage over bonds and defensive stocks."
Countdown to the US presidential election! Bank of America predicts in advance: the US stock market may have major movements in the coming days.
1. Bank of America draws the implied daily trend of the S&P 500 index from now until one day after the election based on the option prices, thereby deducing several important trading days for the US stocks in the next six weeks; 2. On November 6th, the day after the election on November 5th, is usually the time when the preliminary election results are mostly released, and it is also the most important day for the US stock market. At that time, the election results will have a huge impact on the US stock market.
Fed rate cut "to no avail", money market funds still avoid long-term U.S. bonds
Although the Federal Reserve initiated a rate cut cycle last week by 50 basis points, money market funds are still unwilling to purchase longer-term US government bonds.
S&P 500 index hits a new high again! Institutions: Breaking through 6000 points is just around the corner.
According to the latest analysis from DataTrek Research, the US stock market may experience "earnings momentum" in the next year.
Futu Morning Post | Federal Reserve officials speak intensively! Opening the door to another significant interest rate cut; Wall Street strategists: Fed rate cuts increase the possibility of a stock market 'melt-up'.
USA's September business activities stabilized, with rising price pressure; spot gold refreshed historical highs above $2630 on Monday; Tesla surged nearly 5% intraday, hitting a two-month high! Barclays: China market may drive deliveries beyond expectations.
Fed's Goolsbee Signals Multiple Rate Cuts Ahead, Cites Recession Warning Signs As Unemployment Rises
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On September 23rd, 404.64K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.37 Million Open Interest
On September 23rd ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 404.64K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 37.37%
Treasury Yields Have Small Gains Ahead of U.S. Data -- Market Talk
US Stocks, Yields Higher as Fed Policymakers Weigh in
Is the threshold for the Federal Reserve to further cut interest rates significantly low? Morgan Stanley: Cut another 50 basis points in November!
Citigroup analyst pointed out that, given the Federal Reserve's description of a 50 basis point rate cut as a "commitment" to prevent falling behind the curve, we believe the threshold for further substantial rate cuts is very low.
US stock market outlook | The three major futures are all up, with technology giants slightly rising pre-market, Intel up nearly 5%; Goldman Sachs bullish on s&p 500 reaching 6000 points! Expects a rebound after short-term volatility.
Fed senior official Kashkari: Expected to further cut interest rates by 50 basis points within the year; Bank of America warns: Bubble risks resurfacing, recommends buying bonds and gold; Is Harris coming from behind? Poll support rate continues to climb, already leading Trump in all aspects.
Manufacturing panic or preparing ahead? Vice President Pence warns: US debt may fall into a "death spiral"!
Republican vice presidential candidate J.D. Vance warned that if interest rates soar during his term, it could trigger a "death spiral" in the U.S. bonds market, ultimately potentially "destroying the country's finances"; In 2024, the U.S. government's spending on its massive debt interest is expected to surpass defense and medical insurance expenditures, becoming the second largest expenditure after social security.