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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
Now's the Time for Investors to Add More Bonds to Their Portfolios. Here's Why.
US stock early market | The three major indices are mixed, with Apple up nearly 2%; Chinese concept stocks continue to soar, Tal Education up nearly 20%, Nio Inc up over 13%
On the evening of the 30th peking time, the US stock market opened slightly lower on Monday. Chinese concept stocks rose across the board. It is expected that the US stock market will record gains in September and the third quarter. JPMorgan is expected to adjust its options position, which may increase market volatility. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech on Monday.
Is August turmoil replayed? The non-farm payrolls on Friday will reveal the outcome.
If the employment data is too strong, investors may reduce their expectations of future monetary policy easing and return to the scenario of 'good economic news is bad news for the stock market.' However, employment data that is significantly weaker than expected may also be seen as a negative signal for the market, potentially leading to a resurgence of recession fears. Therefore, employment data meeting expectations is the best scenario.
US Stock Market Outlook: Chinese concept stocks continue to rise! Ke Holdings, Nio Inc. surged more than 14% before the market opens; Powell will take the stage tonight, the US stock market will face another big test of 'non-farm' this week.
China concept etfs continue to soar, with china's small and medium-sized enterprise board and gem etf surging by over 15%; goldman sachs points out that as the economy normalizes, the premium on quality usa stocks is decreasing.
One image to understand | The list of bull and bear stocks in the US stock market in September is out! Chinese concept stocks have surged, nio inc and Xiaopeng soared over 60% this month; this year skyrocketed more than 2 times! Electrical utilities giant
This month, the Federal Reserve significantly lowered interest rates by 50 basis points to start a loose cycle, greatly alleviating the market's concerns about a US stock economic recession. The expectation of a 'soft landing' continues to heat up, with all three major US stock indices recording gains. As of now, the Nasdaq has risen 2.29% this month, the S&P 500 has risen 1.59%, and the Dow has risen 1.8%.
Overtaking on the bend? The Fed cuts interest rates, mid-cap stocks will significantly outperform the market!
The analyst pointed out that history indicates that once the Federal Reserve truly begins to cut interest rates, mid-cap stocks will significantly outperform the market.
Daily options tracking | Chinese concept stocks continue to soar! Nio Inc's multiple call options exploded by more than 2 times; Tesla extended volatility level raised to the highest of the year, with major players selling over 0.1 billion US dollars wort
"Whale holders" MSTR rose more than 6% on the previous trading day, the put options accounted for 36.7% ; Among the outstanding contracts, the highest volume of call options with a strike price of $200 expiring this Friday, was 0.012 million contracts.
Fed rate cut assistance! US bonds expected to set a record for the longest monthly consecutive increase in 14 years.
①As the Federal Reserve seeks to achieve a soft landing for the economy, it may cut interest rates by a total of 100 basis points this year, and US Treasuries are currently on the rise; ②According to the Bloomberg US Treasury Total Return Index, US Treasuries have brought investors a return of 1.2% so far in September, and are poised for a fifth consecutive month of gains, making it the longest rising trend since 2010.
Senior officials of the Federal Reserve called for a gradual resumption of interest rate cuts!
St. Louis Fed President Bullard is concerned that looser financial conditions may stimulate demand and weaken anti-inflation efforts.
Futu Morning Post | Sleepless night in real estate! Existing housing loans hit rock bottom, shanghai shenzhen guangzhou respond to new policy "combination punch"; Funds rushing into the market! ICBC Silver Certificate Transfer Net Value Index Soars
The Dow hit a new high, Chinese concept stocks rose across the board, with the Golden Dragon Index soaring by about 24% last week; The Federal Reserve's Mousalem: The Federal Reserve should "gradually" cut interest rates; Consumer confidence in the United States has risen to a five-month high, strengthening optimism about the economy.
Under the tide of Fed rate cuts, U.S. stocks are bullish to lead the way for the whole year, while U.S. bonds and the U.S. dollar are being neglected!
With the continuous rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, most respondents predict that the performance of the US stock market for the remaining time this year will surpass the government and corporate bonds market.
SA Asks: When Will the Fed Cut Rates Again?
One-week outlook | Powell joins hands with non-farm data to 'explode the market'! Multiple Fed officials speak intensively; Hong Kong stocks closed for one day for National Day holiday, A shares closed for seven days
China's manufacturing and service PMI will be released; Europe's September CPI data will be released, inflation data meeting expectations or accelerating the European Central Bank's interest rate cut; Japan will release the August unemployment rate; Carnival Cruise Line, Nike, McCormick & Co will release financial reports.
How many basis points will the Fed cut interest rates in November? Next week is very crucial.
The probability of a 75 basis point rate cut within the year is 100%.
U.S. Treasury Liquidity Shifts to Month-end as Passive Funds Dominate: NY Fed Research
Guosen Securities: Will the Fed "stabilize the dollar" or "stabilize US bonds"? Global funds' views on US assets may change.
CICC Securities stated that looking ahead, the Federal Reserve's decisions may continue to be 'tight', and after a period of 'stabilizing US bonds', it is not ruled out that 'stabilizing the US dollar' may once again push the Federal Reserve to adjust its policy direction. These factors may affect the global perception of US assets.
After the surprise rate cut, Federal Reserve officials are pushing for a "steady loosening" of the monetary floodgates.
①Mussalem told the media that the US economy may react "very strongly" to overly loose financial conditions, which will stimulate demand and extend the time needed to bring inflation back to 2%; ② He acknowledged that the US labor market has cooled down in recent months, but given the low layoff rate and overall strong economy, he remains optimistic about the prospects.
Economists: The employment market in the usa is approaching a turning point, and the pace of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will "accelerate".
Founder of Rosenberg Research and top economist David Rosenberg said that the US employment market is facing a key turning point, which may mean that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates faster than expected.
US stocks are on a gold rush | Chinese concept stocks surged for several days, with Alibaba's stock price hitting a new high for the year! nio inc, xpeng work hand in hand to lead the way; Golden Week sparks tourism stock frenzy, trip.com rises nearly 20%
Stock price hits a new high! american express stops falling and turns positive, rising over 45% since 2024, achieving the best performance in 15 years.
US stocks close | US PCE inflation cools down, S&P Nasdaq falls but Dow hits new high; China concept index surges 24% for the whole week, jd.com hits fourteen-month high.
US PCE inflation cooling solidifies the confidence of the Fed in rate cuts, but US stocks fell in the afternoon, with nvidia dropping nearly 4% at one point. China's stimulus policies drove the Chinese concept index up by 4%, nio inc rose by nearly 13%, pan-European stock indexes and German stocks hit new highs for two consecutive days, luxury goods stocks rose again. The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq have all risen for three consecutive weeks, with two China-focused ETFs achieving the best weekly gains in history.