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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
Just two days! Rate cut of 50 basis points expectation shattered, 10-year US Treasury yield back above 4%.
①On Monday this week, the sharp decline in the US Treasury bond market further intensified, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond returning above the 4% level, reaching the highest level since August; ②Due to the unexpectedly strong US employment report released last Friday, traders were forced to reevaluate their predictions for the outlook of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
"Hot non-farm payroll data suppresses the market's expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and the 'global assets pricing anchor' returns to 4%."
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points has plummeted, leading to intensified selling of U.S. Treasury bonds, pushing the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to break through the important 4% level; the market bets that the interest rate cut before the end of the year will be less than 50 basis points.
Futu Morning Post | Breaking news! The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference at 10 a.m. today, A-shares will open today; join the call on the Chinese stock market! Citigroup: There is still huge room for growth.
Overseas investors are pouring into Chinese stocks, with related funds attracting billions of dollars to set a new record; senior officials of the Federal Reserve temporarily withhold buying, eye-catching non-farm payroll data: overall risk balance slightly leaning towards labor market facing headwinds.
US stocks closed with the three major indices falling by about 1%, while nvidia rose over 2% against the market; Chinese concept stocks index saw a "V"-shaped reversal, with Li Auto rising by over 4%.
The only remaining Wall Street giant Citigroup, which still expects a 50 basis point rate cut in November, has also thrown in the towel. The market has reduced the Fed rate cut expectations to less than 50 basis points by the end of the year.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On October 7th, 669.38K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.17 Million Open Interest
On October 7th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 669.38K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 51.1% of
The Fed May Not Cut Rates In November. What to Do With Treasury Bonds Now. -- Barrons.com
After the unexpectedly strong non-farm data, bond traders are preparing to deal with the scenario of the US economy not landing.
The unexpectedly strong September non-farm employment report in the USA has led to a sharp rise in US bond yields, making the 'no landing' scenario once again a hot topic in the bond market. The 'no landing' scenario is constraining the Fed's room for interest rate cuts, further dampening the buying frenzy for US bonds.
Survey: The Fed has opened the curtain on interest rate cuts, and the csi enterprise bond index is expected to steal the spotlight from US stocks.
A survey found that as the Federal Reserve began to cut interest rates, the outlook for enterprise bonds is improving. Among the 203 respondents, 54% believe that enterprise bonds are more attractive than stocks. In the crediting field, investors prefer high-quality bonds over riskier varieties. They are also extending the duration of their positions. The survey results show that investors are becoming increasingly tired of the high valuation of the stock market and are looking for returns from other sources. Investing in high-grade bonds can provide fund managers with additional income, while extending the duration reflects the sensitivity of bonds to interest rate changes. When benchmark interest rates fall, blue chip stocks and so on.
November Rate Cut Will Be 'Less of a Sure Thing' If September CPI Print Is Very Strong
Strategist angrily criticized: Fed's move is too hasty! Cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is "too stupid"
The latest non-farm data may suggest that the Federal Reserve's significant rate cut is not only foolish but also creating panic...
US stock market morning session | The three major indices all fell, with amazon falling more than 3%; Chinese concept stocks continued last week's upward trend, Alibaba rising more than 2%, li auto inc rose 5%
On the evening of the 7th Beijing time, the US stock market opened lower on Monday. The rise in US Treasury yields put pressure on the stock market, with the 10-year Treasury yield exceeding 4% for the first time since August. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East dampened market sentiment and boosted oil prices. This week, the market is focused on the Fed meeting minutes, CPI inflation data, and earnings reports.
Treasury Yields Rise As Fed Repricing Goes On -- Market Talk
U.S. Stock Market Outlook: Wall Street strategists are bullish on U.S. stocks, with s&p 500 expected to rise by another 10%! China assets etf continue to rise before the market opens, doubling the long positions in the csi 300 index, up more than 9%.
Apple plans to release Apple Intelligence and iOS 18.1 on October 28; amazon was downgraded by wells fargo & co, indicating limited visibility for short-term profit recovery, dropping 1.80% pre-market.
Amid unexpectedly strong non-farm data, the benchmark US bond yield touched 4% for the first time since August.
Usa Treasury bonds continued last week's decline, falling on Monday, with the yield on 10-year US bonds rising by 4 basis points to 4.01% and the yield on 2-year US bonds rising by 8 basis points to 4%.
U.S. stocks | Chinese concept stocks continue to surge! Ctrip, full truck alliance, jd.com hit new stage highs again; AI video models explode on the scene! Meta rises by more than 2% with stock prices approaching $600.
In terms of US stock market innovation leaders, american express rose 3.02% to the top of the list, Meta rose 2.26%, exxon mobil rose 1.84%.
Futu Morning Post | Hang Seng Index's annual increase shines globally! Chinese stocks and funds are soaring overseas; Goldman Sachs cheers 'overweight' Chinese stock market! Can rise another 15%-18%.
Wall Street analysts are calling out: buying China is the most important market call right now, the csi 300 index could hit 6000 points within a year! Chen Maobo: Hong Kong's market cap has risen to 39.4 trillion Hong Kong dollars, expecting many companies to expedite their listing process in Hong Kong; With the "star effect" from Wall Street, the "China Dragon" etf is about to directly confront the seven giants of the US stock market.
Non-farm payrolls greatly exceeded expectations, "no more interest rate cuts this year" enters Wall Street discussion.
After the non-farm payroll data was released, the expectation for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate cuts in the next four meetings is less than 100 basis points. Wall Street veteran Ed Yardeni believes that the Fed's monetary easing policy for the year may have already come to an end, considering the market's aggressive rate-cut pricing, any additional easing policy could increase the probability of a stock market crash.
September's strong non-farm employment pusher behind the scenes: Before the election, record seasonally adjusted and "civil servant" positions.
The seasonal adjustment amplitude in September has refreshed the highest record, while excluding the abnormal values after the outbreak of the new crown epidemic in June 2020. This is also the largest monthly increase for government workers on record.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On October 4th, 877.11K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.12 Million Open Interest
On October 4th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 877.11K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 54.1% of
U.S. stock market morning session | September non-farm payroll data far exceeded expectations, with the three major indices opening higher before falling back slightly; most technology stocks rose, with AMD, tesla, and amazon up more than 2%.
As of press time, the Dow rose by 0.63%, the Nasdaq rose by 1.03%, and the s&p 500 index rose by 0.68%.