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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
US stock morning market | September CPI shows inflation exceeding expectations, with slight declines in the three major indices; growth tech stocks generally fell, tesla down nearly 3%.
US stocks opened lower on Thursday, with both month-on-month and year-on-year increases in the US CPI in September exceeding expectations. The number of initial jobless claims last week hit a one-year high, leading the market to believe that these data reinforce the reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the November meeting.
Across the board exceeding expectations! In September, usa's CPI increased by 2.4% year-on-year, while core CPI rose by 0.3% month-on-month.
Traders are betting that there is a higher possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points next month.
USA's September CPI has dropped for the sixth consecutive month, will the Federal Reserve slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in November?
The CPI report exceeded expectations across the board but still showed a downward trend, with traders believing even more that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next month.
Will two hurricanes disrupt the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut plan?
"Heleni" and "Milton" successively land in the USA, which may lead to a decrease in the number of employed people and a decline in the GDP growth rate of the USA.
U.S. stock market outlook | U.S. CPI annual rate in September dropped to 2.4% but higher than expected! Short-term plunge in the three major index futures; highly anticipated! tesla Robotaxi is about to debut.
Xpeng's stock rose nearly 3% in pre-market trading, with the new model P7+ set to begin pre-sale on October 14; Bernstein reiterates its tactical shareholding position in the Chinese stock market.
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates in November? Tonight's usa CPI is particularly important "suddenly".
After the non-farm payroll data, CPI data needs to be even weaker than before to have a relieving effect on the market; inflation higher than expected may reverse the current narrative of the 'Goldilocks' and have a greater negative impact on the market.
Daily options recap | Apple closes up nearly 2%, Friday's call options with the highest profit reaching 150%; SPY, QQQ put options ratio increases, now tens of millions of dollars large order selling call options.
Nvidia fell slightly by 0.18%, the call ratio rose to 62.7%; In Nvidia options, the highest number of unclosed call options with a strike price of $110 expiring on December 30 this year reached 0.203 million contracts.
The most important CPI data of the year will be released tonight at 8:30 PM! Will the expectations for a rate cut cool down further?
This is the most significant inflation data before the November meeting of the Federal Reserve, and also the last CPI report before the 2024 USA presidential election.
As long as employment remains strong, it will be difficult for the Federal Reserve to implement another "50 basis points rate cut", what the U.S. Treasury fears is "no rate cut in November".
Minutes of the Fed meeting show that the dissent on the substantial rate cut in September is larger than expected. If the CPI data released on Thursday fails to show further cooling of inflation, it may weaken the possibility of the Fed cutting rates by more than 25 basis points this year.
The US stock market hit a new high again! For the first time in two years, one of the biggest bears on Wall Street has changed their attitude.
①Since October 2022, JPMorgan's strategist has been bearish on the US stock market; ②However, according to the report released by the bank's chief global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas on Tuesday, this situation seems to be changing; ③Although he did not update the year-end target price of 4200 points for the S&P 500 index, he did suggest investors not to be so bearish on the market.
CICC: The "turning point" of the Sino-US cycle has emerged, where are the new opportunities for asset allocation?
The changes in the economic cycles of China and the USA have already given birth to the assets' "crossing point". The more certain crossing points brought by changes in the economic cycles of China and the USA are the short-term debts in the USA, the real estate chain, and the Chinese export chain, with Hong Kong stocks (especially growth) outperforming A-shares.
The 10-year US Treasury yield hit a new 10-week high during the trading day, with mixed emotions about the long-term US Treasury auction.
The US Department of the Treasury auctioned 10-year Treasury bonds with a bid yield of 4.066%, a significant increase from last month's 3.648%, and the bid-to-cover ratio was lower than the recent average. Unexpectedly strong overseas demand. Before the auction results were announced, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose to an intraday high of 4.07%, and after the results were announced, the yield remained largely unchanged.
Futu Morning Post | The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting 'extinguished' expectations of a significant interest rate cut, with serious internal divisions within FOMC; gtja's absorption and merger of haitong sec proposal is finalized, both will resume
Federal Reserve voting committee members expect one or two more rate cuts this year, while next year they reiterate caution; Huang Renxun: The future of AI lies in 'reasoning', significant reduction in chip costs is key.
US stocks closed | Dow and S&P hit new closing highs again, nvidia slightly down; Nasdaq China Index narrowed its losses, Xiaopeng rose more than 3%
The medical, technology, and industrial sectors led the gains, with the financial sector also showing good growth before the third quarter report, while the utilities, communication, and real estate sectors lagged behind.
Transaction volume TOP20 | Super micro computer rises by over 4% again, with a cumulative increase of over 13% since October; Google fell by 1.53%, with the US Department of Justice considering splitting the company.
Nvidia, ranked first in trading volume on Wall Street on Wednesday, fell by 0.18%, with a turnover of $32.622 billion; Tesla, ranked second, fell by 1.41%, with a turnover of $16.092 billion; Apple, ranked third, rose by 1.67%, with a turnover of $7.67 billion.
The minutes of the Fed meeting revealed significant dissent in September: "some" policymakers are more willing to cut only 25 basis points.
The resolution shows that only one person voted against a 50 basis point rate cut, while the minutes show that the "vast majority" of participants supported a 50 basis point cut. "Some" participants believed there was reason to cut 25 basis points in the July meeting, and "some" believed that a 25 basis point cut was in line with the gradual normalization of policy. "Several" individuals may have supported a 25 basis point cut in September. Almost all decision-makers believe that the downside risks to employment outlook have increased.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On October 9th, 563.67K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.24 Million Open Interest
On October 9th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 563.67K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 60.8% of
USA Dallas Fed President Logan: The Fed should "gradually" cut interest rates amid economic uncertainty.
USA Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated that she supports lowering interest rates at a slower pace. There is still disagreement on the extent of future interest rate cuts, and the US September CPI data will be released tomorrow.
US stock market morning session | The three major indexes are mixed, with the Dow rising and the Nasdaq slightly falling; Chinese concept stocks generally trend lower, with Netease falling nearly 6% and Alibaba dropping over 2%.
On the evening of the 9th, the US stock market opened basically flat. The Federal Reserve is about to release the minutes of the September monetary policy meeting. The market will also focus on CPI inflation data and US stock earnings reports this week. Chinese concept stocks in the US stock market generally fell.
Preview of US stocks | Focus tonight! The minutes of the Fed meeting with a series of official speeches are coming; the three major futures are generally down before the market, nvidia continues to rise by more than 1%, and Chinese concept stocks continue
Set! On Saturday morning at ten o'clock, the highly anticipated press conference by the Ministry of Finance will take place; ai chips maintain strong demand! Taiwan Semiconductor's Q3 revenue exceeded expectations, with a significant increase of 39%; the US Department of Justice is considering recommending that Google sell off parts of its business.