One-week lookahead | Earnings season is entering its peak! Tesla's list is coming soon; European and American PMI data is coming, and the People's Bank of China has announced that the new LPR will be lowered in the next period.
This Thursday, the Federal Reserve will make a significant announcement of the Beige Book. Meanwhile, many Fed policymakers will also deliver speeches, which could increase market volatility.
No rush to cut interest rates! Federal Reserve's Bostic: Slowing down the pace can achieve dual goals.
①The Federal Reserve should patiently and gradually lower its policy interest rates, so that it can reduce the inflation rate to the target level of 2% and also prevent the US economy from falling into recession; ②Bostic expects that by the end of 2025, the inflation rate in the USA may decrease to the target of 2% set by the Federal Reserve.
Top 20 Transaction Volume | Cryptos all rise, MSTR up over 11%, COIN nearly 8%.
Nvidia topped the US stock market turnover on Friday, closing up 0.78% with a turnover of $24.318 billion; Netflix, the second-largest streaming giant, closed sharply up 11.09%, reaching a historical new high in stock price with a turnover of $12.071 billion; Tesla, the third, fell 0.09% with a turnover of $10.964 billion.
US stocks closed | S&P, Dow hit new closing highs, Netflix soared more than 11% after earnings; Chinese concept stocks rose across the board, li auto inc rose more than 6%
1. China concept stocks are up across the board, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index in China rising by 3.03%; 2. The US federal government has started investigating Tesla's FSD; 3. The US Federal Aviation Administration said it will launch a new round of safety reviews on Boeing; 4. Netflix hits a new all-time high, with the company's third-quarter performance and fourth-quarter performance guidance both exceeding market expectations.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On October 18th, 459.87K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.76 Million Open Interest
On October 18th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 459.87K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 40.63% of
Behind the bull market in US stocks, are there still 'undercurrents'? JPMorgan: The rise of the US dollar is a major threat!
①Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer at Morgan Stanley, stated that if the US dollar rises again, the bull market in the USA stock market may slow down; ②Due to investors' expectations of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's easing cycle, the US dollar has already risen by about 2% this month.
The Fed's new indicators give the green light: QT can still move forward!
A monthly indicator released for the first time by the New York Fed shows that the reserves in the bank of america system are still abundant, indicating that the Fed can continue with algo tightening.
US stock morning market | Leading stocks soar! Netflix, Intuitive Surgical hit record highs together; Chinese concept stocks and etfs surge together, YINN jumps more than 12%, ke holdings rises more than 7%
As of press time, the three major indices show differentiated trends, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.45%, the S&P 500 rising by 0.19%, and the Nasdaq rising by 0.66%.
US stock market outlook: Chinese assets collectively rise before the market! YINN surged more than 15%, bilibili rose more than 7%; Goldman Sachs: debt conversion is the first step in China's fiscal big move, which will stimulate economic growth.
Trump claimed to have received a 'plea for help' call from Cook, involving Apple being fined heavily by the European Union; Is there still an 'undercurrent' behind the bull market of US stocks? Goldman Sachs: The rise of the US dollar is a major threat; The gold price continues to hit new highs! As risk aversion heats up, spot gold rises above $2,700.
Daily options tracking | Semiconductors stocks are full of profit potential! Taiwan Semiconductor's performance sets a new high, call options skyrocketed by 400%, nvidia call options accounted for nearly 70%.
Alibaba fell over 2% last night, rebounded over 3% in pre-market trading, and options volume slightly spiked overnight, with the most active call option being the one expiring this Friday with a strike price of $105, with a trading volume and open interest of about 0.02 million contracts each.
Breaking through the $2700 mark! Has gold replaced US debt as the safest 'safe haven'?
Driven by various factors such as geopolitics, the US presidential election, and central bank bids, the gold price hit a new high again intraday. Bank of America believes that considering the possibility of the federal deficit continuing to increase after the election, putting pressure on the US bond market, gold may become more attractive, with the potential to rise further to $3000.
US Treasury bonds have exceeded 35.7 trillion US dollars! Bank of America CEO: The United States may lose its position as the 'global economic hegemon'.
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan warned that the US national debt has exceeded 35.7 trillion US dollars, the USA may lose its position as global economic superpower, and called on the US government to address this hidden danger.
First increase in four months! The top "creditor" usa increased its holdings of US bonds in August, while china's holdings of bonds approached their lowest level since 2009.
According to data from the USA Department of the Treasury, in August when the yen rebounded by over 2% and supported the easing of pressure on the local currency, Japan's holdings of US bonds increased by 13.5 billion US dollars, with the total holdings coming out of a nine-month low; China's holdings decreased by 1.9 billion US dollars, marking the sixth consecutive month of decline in the year.
Futu Morning Post | The US economy remains strong! Expectations for a Fed rate cut this year suffered another blow; the Dow continues to hit record highs! Taiwan Semiconductor surges nearly 10% after earnings, with a market cap exceeding $1 trillion.
After hours, it rose nearly 5%! Netflix's Q3 revenue and profits both exceed expectations, with unexpectedly more paying users; Insider: Tesla's FSD has not yet been approved for entry into China, Musk has sought to obtain some data.
The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 7 basis points, with retail sales and weekly employment data released intraday.
On Thursday (October 17th), the New York closing rate, the US 10-year benchmark Treasury yield rose by 7.45 basis points to 4.0866%, trading within the range of 4.0161% - 4.0964% during the session.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On October 17th, 760.54K Contracts Were Traded, With 5.68 Million Open Interest
On October 17th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 760.54K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 53.91% of
Treasury Yields Rise on Robust U.S. Labor, Retail Data -- Market Talk
On the eve of the USA general election, economic prosperity cannot conceal the weak confidence of the people. Can Harris take advantage to surpass Trump?
As the usa election day approaches, the American economy is showing a prosperity seen rarely in the modern history of any presidential election eve.
US stocks early market | The three major indexes rose together, with the Dow breaking through a historical high in midday trading; Chip stocks rose together, with Taiwan Semiconductor soaring more than 10% after its performance, and Nvidia rising nearly 4
As of the time of publication, the three major indices had divergent trends, with the Dow Jones up 0.22%, the S&P 500 up 0.24%, and the Nasdaq up 0.37%.
The "fear data" exceeded expectations, and the Fed's interest rate cut expectations for the year suffered another blow.
U.S. retail sales growth in September shows the economy is still on track, which may not prevent the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates next month, but the magnitude of the rate cut is likely to be reduced.