TLT241028C86000
- 6.10
- 0.000.00%
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
This Wednesday, beware of the resurgence of turbulence in the US bond market!
The US Department of the Treasury will announce the quarterly refinancing plan of US bonds on Wednesday, and any indications of imminent borrowing increases could further disrupt the US bond market.
US stocks early trading | Donald Trump concept stocks collectively rose, DJT surged 13%, Rumble rose over 6%; Many popular China concept stocks showed strength, Xiaopeng rose over 7%, Nio Inc rose 5%
Apple rose by 0.8%, the Indonesian government recently announced a ban on selling the iPhone 16 series in the country; Boeing fell by 1.67%, and will issue 90 million shares of stocks and 5 billion US dollars in depositary stocks.
US stock market outlook | Super week is coming! Large technology stocks' earnings reports join hands with PCE, 'non-farm' explosive scene; Morgan Stanley: US stocks will continue to dominate the global market in the next ten years.
Royal Philips Q3 sales were below expectations, lowering full-year sales guidance, down nearly 17% pre-market; Bitcoin back above $68,000, cryptos concept stocks rose pre-market.
Wall Street Is Rewarding Higher Rates and Fewer Rate Cuts - UBS
No matter how the non-farm payrolls and PCE data turn out, will the Federal Reserve still cut interest rates?
The analyst said that no matter what the data says, the Federal Reserve has already cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November.
Chaos at a critical moment! USA economic data may become a mess.
Just as the US presidential election and the November policy meeting of the Federal Reserve are taking place, US employment reports and other economic indicators will be distorted by hurricanes and strikes.
The Fed's big trouble: After the election, all roads lead to inflation!
Economists are more concerned about Trump than Harris. His proposals on immigration, taxation, and trade may lead to higher deficits, inflation, or both. Once price pressures spread, the Fed will find it difficult to stand idly by. At that time, the Fed may change course and resume raising interest rates.
Options Outlook | Apple's heavyweight financial report is coming! The stock price's one-day post-performance change may approach 4%; Will AMD's profit double? Call options ratio reaches seventy percent.
Meta's current implied volatility is ±8.3%, compared to the previous four quarters, the post-earnings stock price change was approximately 9.9%, indicating that the current options value is still underestimated; as the stock price volatility has historically had a 60% chance of exceeding market expectations, the success rate of using a bullish straddle options strategy during earnings season is about 75%.
Buckle up! The next 10 days are crucial to the global market.
Mag7 financial report, US bond refinancing, non-farm, US election, Federal Reserve decision... These heavyweight events will be successively staged in the next 10 days, analysts warn to prepare for potential severe volatility.
Analysis of the 'Fed's Echo Chamber': The hidden dangers of new inflation after the election.
Trump may be heading into a new feud with the Federal Reserve, and any factor that reignites inflation could lead officials to slow down or even halt interest rate cuts.
What will happen if Trump wins the election? Goldman Sachs: Tariffs may be the first to be implemented.
According to Daiwa, once Trump comes to power, tariff reform is likely to take the lead in fiscal policy, immigration control, and tariffs.
Hold your breath! The ten days that will determine the fate of the 'global asset pricing anchor' have arrived.
The U.S. bond market has suffered the most severe selloff in six months, and now is about to enter a crucial two weeks - these two weeks may determine the ultimate fate of the global financial markets by the end of the year; From October 29th to November 7th, a series of important economic data, government bond issuance announcements, central bank interest rate decisions, and even the outcome of the election, will profoundly impact the market trend of the U.S. bond market.
Large amount of data, large number of events! Investors must fasten their seat belts in the next two weeks.
Critical test is coming! Whether you are a trader focusing more on macro or micro levels, you need to be prepared for the next two weeks.
Futu Express | Fierce Competition! The USA presidential election enters the sprint phase, with a record-high early voting rate; NYSE's heavyweight official announcement! Intends to extend US stock trading hours.
The 14th session of the 12th National People's Congress Standing Committee will be held in Beijing from November 4th to 8th; the apple AI feature Apple Intelligence officially launched this week; How difficult is shorting US stocks? Tesla's short positions, which made money this year, were wiped out in just one day.
BofA's Hartnett: The election will strengthen Wall Street's four core trades, but inflation and economic downturn will reverse everything.
Bank of America analyst Hartnett pointed out that the four core trading strategies on Wall Street now are, bearish on bonds, bullish on gold and technology stocks. Tightening immigration policies may trigger inflation, leading to further increase in gold prices. The market is worried that Fed rate cuts may lead to inflation and overheating of the economy, with bond yields unexpectedly rising after the rate cut, causing US stocks to become more concentrated. Now is not a good time to buy bonds and stocks.
Trump's cabinet: 2.0 Observation Guidelines
Minsheng Securities believes that "actions speak louder than words", which may be particularly prominent in political affairs such as the usa election, requiring special attention to the US Treasury Secretary and trade representative.
One-week lookahead | Heavyweight financial reports coming! Technology giants such as apple, microsoft are unveiling one after another; USA economic data bombardment one after another! Non-farm payroll report finale on Friday.
Multiple countries will announce their GDP for the third quarter, with the USA's economy expected to achieve an annualized growth rate of 3.3% in the third quarter; Bank of Japan interest rate decision: expected to maintain short-term interest rates unchanged, gradually reducing the scale of bond purchases.
Non-farm payrolls and election lead the November resolution, the Fed enters another silent period, will there be a leak this time?
Analysts expect that key data such as the September PCE inflation report and the October employment report will not alter the Fed's decision-making path. Economist Matthew Luzzetti said, "In other circumstances, data might influence their decisions, but this year, officials may not waver... The presidential election will not change the Fed's plan to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on November 7th."
Is it a case of making a cocoon for oneself? Research shows: Trump's tariffs have the biggest impact on the Republican strongholds.
①As the US presidential election approaches, the probability of the Republican presidential candidate Trump winning is increasing, and his radical tariff policy will inevitably impact the US and global economy; ②A recent analysis shows that within the US, the areas most severely affected by Trump's tariff policy are the Republican strongholds, as well as the swing states that may determine the election outcome.
DeLarme Wealth Management to SA: Watch for a 'Huge Uptick' in Volatility in Stocks