US stock market outlook | Market focuses on PPI and Powell's speech in the early morning! The three major futures indices are mixed; strong performance! Disney rises over 9% in pre-market trading, while netease increases nearly 5%.
Federal Reserve Governor Kugle: Must focus on both inflation and employment targets; Uncertainties increase in the prospect of rate cuts, Federal Reserve officials urge cautious action; taiwan semiconductor rose more than 1% before the market, institutions expect the full load of operation of 3 and 5 nanometers to be maintained in the first half of next year.
Powell will take the stage again in the early morning! Will he make the market happy this time?
Powell is likely to discuss recent economic data, be careful as the market may face another "bloodbath".
Daily options tracking | Cryptos concept stocks strengthen again before the market opens! MSTR's volatility has been rising for several days; amazon hits a historic high! Call options within the week have doubled their profits.
Claiming to be a "SpaceX competitor," Rocket Lab surged 28% after earnings, with options volume skyrocketing threefold month-on-month to 0.4 million contracts. Call options accounted for 76.5%, among which the call options expiring this Friday with a strike price of $20 were the most active, with a volume exceeding 0.02 million contracts, and several call options saw premiums increase by over 200%.
The International Finance Association warns: U.S. debt will 'explode' after Trump takes office!
The International Finance Association pointed out that Trump is very likely to make the US debt reach over 150% of GDP...
Where is the end point of this round of Fed rate cuts? Goldman Sachs: Around 3.25-3.5%, 100 basis points higher than the peak of the previous cycle.
Goldman Sachs pointed out that there are two main reasons for the adjustment of the neutral rate, including the rise in interest rates in the bonds market and the updated estimates of the neutral rate by economic models. Furthermore, the adjustment is also supported by current strong fiscal spending and non-monetary policy factors such as risk appetite.
The International Financial Association warns: During Trump's term, the usa national debt will "explode in growth".
①The analyst of IIF stated that the incoming President Trump has already planned to cut taxes without reducing spending, which will increase the US national debt from the current 100% of GDP to over 135% in the next 10 years; ② Musk had previously boasted that he could save 2 trillion dollars for the US government. However, economists are skeptical of the feasibility of this approach.