Will the Federal Reserve pause interest rate cuts in 2025? Investment banks say strong economic growth is key to the US stock market! Four types of Stocks may benefit.
In the early hours of December 19 (this Thursday), the Federal Reserve will announce its decision from the December interest rate meeting. Some Analysts believe that further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could have negative consequences.
U.S. stock market early session | The three major Indexes weakened slightly, while Tesla, Google, and Apple rose against the trend, with stock prices reaching all-time highs; Quantum Concept stocks continue to soar, with QUBT rising nearly 30%.
The market is waiting for the USA Federal Reserve's last monetary policy decision of the year. Retail sales in the USA in November exceeded expectations.
US Stock Market Outlook | Higher than expected! USA retail sales data hits a new high since September, with the declines in the three major futures contracts narrowing; Tesla continues to rise nearly 2% in pre-market trading and is set to hit a new histor
The Quantum Computing concept stocks are seeing an expanded pre-market increase, with Quantum rising over 17%; Pfizer is up nearly 3% in pre-market trading! Revenue is expected to reach 61 billion to 64 billion dollars by 2025.
Retail Sales Topped Estimates. The Holidays Are Off to a Jolly Start
Daily Options Tracking | Broadcom Options Volume has surged for two consecutive days! One Call order made a nearly 10-fold profit; Micron Calls soared to 78%, with large investors spending tens of millions of dollars on L to hedge against downside risks.
Impacting a market cap of 2 trillion dollars! Tesla's overnight close surged over 6% to reach a new high, with implied volatility rising to 80.49%. Options volume reached 3.05 million contracts; for this Friday's expiration, the call option with a strike price of 500 dollars had the highest volume at 0.116 million contracts, with an open interest of 0.044 million contracts.
Short-End Expected to Drive U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Steepening in 2025 -- Market Talk
DWS: Forecasts the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates three times before the end of next year.
DWS has lowered its interest rate cut forecast from 5 times to 3 times before the end of 2025 (including one cut in December).
Wall Street speaks out: The Federal Reserve will pave the way for a pause in interest rate cuts this week.
Wall Street analysts believe that the Federal Reserve's rate cut in December may be the last for a while, and there is even a possibility of resuming rate hikes in 2025.
It's related to the Federal Reserve! The growth in productivity in the USA may continue.
Policymakers hold an open attitude towards the sustained growth of productivity, which may lead the Federal Reserve to reconsider its outlook on the economy and interest rate cuts.
Wall Street awaits the Fed's "hawkish interest rate cut": a pause in easing in January, and possibly a maximum of three cuts next year?
① The industry generally expects the Federal Reserve to stage a "hawkish rate cut" this week; ② While cutting rates by 25 basis points in December, Fed policymakers may be preparing to taper the easing trend in 2025 in response to the anticipated inflation rebound following the Trump administration's assumption of office.
Futu Morning Report | Goldman Sachs expects the Fed to "skip" interest rate cuts in January! Powell's speech may impact the market; Tesla surged over 6%, boosting the Nasdaq, and Quantum Concept stocks collectively exploded.
China's central bank has recently announced to appropriately reduce the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates. The State Council Meeting proposed to develop and strengthen long-term capital and patient capital; Bitcoin has surpassed 107,700 dollars, setting a new historical high, Ethereum has returned to 4,000 dollars, and most cryptocurrency concept stocks have risen.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On December 16th, 326.27K Contracts Were Traded, With 6.62 Million Open Interest
On December 16th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 326.27K options for the day, of which put options accounted for 33.17% of
Stock Market Today: Stocks Are Mixed Ahead of the Fed
Treasury Yields Change Little Ahead of Retail Data, Fed Move -- Market Talk
SA Asks: Is the Fed More Focused on Inflation or Jobs?
U.S. stock market morning | The three major Indexes are collectively rising, Broadcom surged nearly 9%, Tesla and Google both hit historical highs; Cryptos Concept stocks are strongly rising, MARA climbed nearly 7%, Coinbase rose nearly 4%.
On the evening of the 16th in Beijing time, several central banks will hold meetings this week and a large amount of important economic data will be released. Investors will focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting in December.
Trump's new policy pressures Wall Street, leading to a pessimistic outlook—A major prediction for the dollar's trend in 2025.
Wall Street is starting to Put on the US dollar as the policies of President-elect Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts may put pressure on the dollar in the second half of 2025.
Allianz Investment: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, leaning towards holding anti-inflation Bonds.
From a strategy perspective, Allianz Investment tends to trade duration technically, currently preferring to Hold short-term USA Bonds over the European Bonds market.
U.S. Stock Outlook | Three major futures indexes rose collectively, with Tesla pre-market up nearly 1%, poised to set a historical high at the open; Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve will "skip" a rate cut in January, and may signal a slowdown in easing
Super Micro Computer fell nearly 14% before the market and was removed from the NASDAQ 100 Index component; Broadcom continues to rise 3% before the market, as Bank of America raised the Target Price to $250.
Annual Outlook | 7100 points! Wall Street refreshes the Target Price for the S&P, is a bull market in US stocks continuing in 2025?
Overall, major banks are optimistic, with the highest target for the S&P reaching 7,100 points, while the average target point according to Bloomberg Statistics is 6,496.17 points, indicating more than a 7% upside potential from the current latest closing price; many bears have flipped their positions, and only two Institutions remain cautious about the direction of the U.S. stock market.