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Famous Analyst warns: the Technology bubble is approaching a "critical point", be wary of large hedge funds selling off.
Kaplan, the CEO of True Contrarian blog and newsletter, believes that the current technology bubble in U.S. stocks has grown larger... the current bear market may have already begun. He also stated that if stocks like QQQ drop by 20%, those funds worth trillions of dollars will sell off at the same time.
U.S. bonds: The first stab in the back of Trump?
Shao Xiang from Minsheng Macro stated that since his election victory, Trump has been concerned about the U.S. stock market and values the U.S. dollar, but seems to be particularly unconcerned about U.S. Treasury bonds, which could bring significant trouble to both the Trump administration and the market next year. The pressure from maturing U.S. debt next year is considerable (approximately 7.8 trillion U.S. dollars for the whole year), and the already high term premium may worsen the situation, with the Federal Reserve potentially making matters worse.
Futu Morning Report | Powell's "Christmas gift"! U.S. long-term bond yields hit a seven-month high; Hong Kong stocks continue to be closed for the Christmas holiday today, U.S. stocks open.
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year is 91.4%; the State Council: Expand the areas of special Bonds investment, incorporating low-altitude economy, computing equipment, and supporting infrastructure into the project capital requirements; in 2024, a "wave of resignations" among CEOs of publicly listed companies in the USA will occur.
Morgan Stanley selected the "Top 10 Surprises for 2025": The depreciation of the dollar ranks first.
Morgan Stanley believes that the fiscal deficit in the USA is expected to decrease next year, while the fiscal deficits in China and Germany are likely to increase, which may lead to a convergence of interest rates between the USA and Europe, subsequently triggering a significant depreciation of the dollar. In addition, Morgan Stanley also anticipates a strong recovery in the demand for US Treasury bonds, that the euro is expected to "shine brightly," and that the Bank of England may shorten the interest rate cut cycle.
Beware of hedge fund sell-offs! The Technology bubble in the US stock market is becoming terrifying, and these Sectors may benefit greatly.
Analysts indicate that there was no obvious triggering factor that led to the collapse during the Internet Plus-Related bubble burst in 2000, "except for a few people eventually starting to Sell."
Daily Options Tracking | The "Christmas Market" has arrived as expected! MSTR's Call ratio has surged to 61%, and multiple Tesla Call orders have earned over 5 times; Apple is set to hit 4 trillion dollars, with trading in Call Options heating up.
Bitcoin ETF - IBIT rose over 6% overnight, with an Options Chain Volume of 0.19 million contracts, and Call options accounting for 76%; on the Options Chain, bulls are the market Block Orders, with the highest transaction volume for next year's expiry with a strike price of $55, totaling 8,600 contracts.