TLT250108P80000
- 0.01
- 0.000.00%
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
Krugman: Is the crazy nature of U.S. debt due to the market believing that Trump will go insane?
Krugman proposed that the rise in long-term interest rates, such as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, may reflect a terrifying, quietly spreading doubt that Trump actually believes the crazy things he says about economic policy and might put them into practice.
The Global bond market is experiencing a frantic sell-off, with US Treasury yields quickly approaching 5%.
The 20-year US Treasury yield has already broken through 5%, while the UK 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield has also risen to 4.82%, reaching a new high since 2008. Inflation worries have prompted traders to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England this year, and at the same time, the market is weighing the impact of President Trump's policies.
The last time the US bonds dropped like this, the US stock market also crashed.
Recently, the rise of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is similar to the situation in 2022 and 2023, when the stock market experienced a substantial decline. Goldman Sachs stated that although the U.S. stock market is relatively stable now, the correlation between stock and bond yields has turned negative. If economic data falls short of expectations, the risk of a market correction in the short term may increase.
Futu Daily Report | Will the Federal Reserve pause interest rate cuts? Meeting minutes show officials are eager to slow down the pace of rate cuts; U.S. stocks are closed today in mourning for the death of former President Carter's.
The Trump team is reportedly considering declaring a national economic emergency to implement high and widespread tariffs; Bearish surprise! A single remark from NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang triggered a collective drop in USA quantum computing stocks.
Yellen: Biden's pandemic spending may "slightly" drive up inflation, a stronger economy fuels U.S. debt selling.
Yellen stated that the government spending following the pandemic is necessary, and that high inflation mainly stems from supply chain issues; she is confident that inflation remains on a downward trajectory; the current sell-off of U.S. Bonds is due to the economy being stronger than expected, leading to a repricing of market interest rate expectations, but the term premium has begun to normalize; she hopes the Trump administration will take the deficit seriously and does not wish to see the 'Bond Vigilantes' make a comeback; after leaving her position as Treasury Secretary, she may return to the Brookings Institution.
IShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Options Spot-On: On January 8th, 1.35 Million Contracts Were Traded, With 5.4 Million Open Interest
On January 8th ET, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 1.35 million options for the day, of which put options accounted for 42.17%
Continuing with the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, the newly released 30-year U.S. Treasury bond auction rate has also reached the highest level since 2007.
On Wednesday, the USA Treasury auctioned 22 billion dollars of 30-year government bonds, with the results similar to the Tuesday auction of 10-year bonds, both receiving winning rates that reached new highs since 2007.
Fed Isn't Certain Where Interest Rates Will Head, Minutes Show. Inflation and Trump Are Concerns
US10Y Soars About 100 Bps Since Fed Rate Cuts, Signaling a Diverging Inflation Outlook
What would it mean for the market if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpasses 5%?
Bank of America believes that if U.S. Treasury yields exceed 5%, investors may reassess the valuation of risk Assets, putting pressure on the stock market.
Initial claims for unemployment benefits have dropped to the lowest level in 11 months! The market is starting to bet that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in 2025.
Last week, the number of first-time applicants for unemployment benefits in the USA unexpectedly decreased, reaching the lowest level in 11 months, indicating that the labor market in the USA remains resilient as of early 2025.
Fed's "hot" committee member Waller: Inflation is declining, supporting further interest rate cuts.
On Wednesday, Fed "super voter" and long-time FOMC voting member, Fed Governor Waller stated that he believes inflation will continue moving towards the central...
U.S. stock market early session | All three major Indexes fell, most Growth Tech stocks weakened, NVIDIA and Microsoft rose nearly 1% against the trend, while AMD dropped over 4%.
On the evening of the 8th in Peking time, US stocks opened lower on Wednesday. Concerns regarding the interest rate cut path led to a decline in US stocks yesterday, and the market is focusing on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting minutes in December. The December ADP private employment data in the USA was below market expectations. The President-elect Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to promote new tariff policies.
Are they going to detonate a tariff nuclear bomb again? It is said that the Trump team is considering declaring a national economic emergency.
The Trump team has not made a final decision on whether to declare a national emergency and is still exploring other legal avenues to support the tariff policy.
Will the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes release tonight continue to signal a "hawkish" stance?
This meeting summary focuses on the level of disagreement among Federal Reserve officials regarding the persistence of inflation and the degree of weakness in the labor market, as well as discussions about the neutral interest rate rising to a higher level.
Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to pave the way for the tariff plan.
In 2019, Trump used this trick to threaten Mexico with tariffs, and his advisors were also exploring other legal avenues to support the tariffs.
US Stock Outlook | "ADP Employment Report" falls short of expectations! The three major futures indices show slight gains; boosted by AMD's bullish investment, AI startup ABSI rises over 40% in pre-market trading.
According to informed sources, Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to launch a new tariff plan; Federal Reserve Governor Waller: supports further interest rate cuts this year; Federal Reserve's Bostic: inflation will gradually decline, policymakers should remain cautious in their decision-making.
The three major U.S. stock index futures all turned to decline amid rumors of tariffs from Trump affecting risk appetite | Highlights for tonight.
① It is reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to introduce tariffs; ② NASDAQ 100 Index futures dropped over 0.5% in pre-market trading; ③ Meta ended its fact-checking program to extend an olive branch to Trump; ④ The Indonesian government warned that if Apple does not comply with local investment regulations, it may face "sanctions" in the worst-case scenario.
Pre-Market Trading Key Points | Is Trump's tariff plan changing? The December "small non-farm" data will be announced soon.
The three major Equity Index futures in the USA all dropped, with Nasdaq futures down 0.6%, S&P 500 Index futures down 0.45%, and Dow futures down 0.29%.
The surge in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is causing "pain" in the market, with U.S. stocks facing further downside risk.
As the 10-year US Treasury yield approaches levels that have caused significant pain in the stock market in recent years, there is still room for further declines in the US stock market.