US stock early market | USA PPI data is below expectations! Market sentiment has improved, stocks related to Chinese concepts, quantum computing, Drones, and Robot Concept all surged, with Richtech Robotics soaring nearly 50%.
On the evening of the 14th Beijing time, the US stock market opened higher on Tuesday. The PPI in the USA for December rose less than expected, indicating a reduction in inflationary pressure. It is reported that the Trump team is considering gradually increasing import taxes to prevent a sudden spike in inflation.
US Stock Outlook | The three major index futures have surged in the short term! The USA PPI data was lower than expected; China Concept Stocks are rising in pre-market trading, with XPeng Autos up over 9%.
Tesla's pre-market shares continued to rise over 1%, with Morgan Stanley raising the Target Price to $430 and reiterating it as a top pick; Applied Digital soared over 20% in pre-market trading, with Macquarie investing up to $5 billion to build an AI Datacenter.
Tesla is experiencing high-level fluctuations! The debate between bulls and bears on Wall Street is intensifying. Can the 'autonomous driving and Siasun Robot&Automation story' stimulate a surge in stock prices?
Recently, two events have sparked differing views among major investment banks regarding Tesla, and Wall Street's major investment banks have been in a heated debate over the future direction of Tesla's stock price.
The CPI "appetizer" has arrived! The leading indicator PPI will be announced tonight at 21:30.
The market focus has shifted to inflation data, but strong non-farm payrolls may strengthen the market's ability to withstand high inflation. How will Gold respond?
Is a strong economy becoming a "stumbling block" for the U.S. stock market? The shadow of inflation is looming over Wall Street.
This week's data is likely to intensify Wall Street's concerns...
U.S. stock market opportunities | News of huge mergers brings Bullish sentiment! ITCI soared 34% overnight, and several Medical stocks surged on the news; Oil & Gas prices rose together! The Oil & Gas Sector collectively went up.
A multi-million dollar deal has been signed! The Israeli Ministry of Defense and the defense company Elbit Systems have had a strong start to the year, with overnight stock prices rising nearly 3%, setting new records.
Daily Options Tracking | Is the "Trump Trade" making a comeback? DJT made a 24-fold profit on a call option; NVIDIA Options trading is experiencing a tug-of-war, with a large investor purchasing nearly 20 million dollars in long-term call options.
Quantum computing stock RGTI dropped over 32% in the previous trading day, with Options Chain Volume slightly rising to 0.37 million contracts, implied volatility soaring to 211%, and the Put ratio at 52.8%. On the Options Chain, the bearish position is the market Block Orders, with the highest volume for the put option set to expire this Friday at a strike price of $6, totaling 0.014 million contracts, and an open interest of 3,700 contracts.
What is the impact of Trump's "gradual" tariff plan on inflation? UBS Group: The Federal Reserve will be in a tricky situation.
Dr. Arend Kapteyn, an executive at UBS Group, stated that Trump's gradual tariff plan will pose challenges for the Federal Reserve as it struggles against inflation; He pointed out that rolling tariffs could lead to a significant rise in peak inflation, making it more difficult for the central bank to respond; Currently, investors are eagerly awaiting the USA's inflation data, which will indicate whether the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of interest rate cuts this year.
The bear market for U.S. bonds has entered its sixth year!
The U.S. Bonds are about to enter the sixth year of the third major bear market of the past 240 years, with the previous two bear markets lasting 21 years and 35 years respectively, and this bear market market cycle may be shorter.
Higher-Than-Expected U.S. CPI Could Add Next Leg to Bond-Market Selloff -- Market Talk
Optimism Out of the Window?
What is the likelihood of the USA declaring a national emergency and imposing tariffs?
CITIC SEC believes that Trump may threaten other countries by declaring a national emergency to push the USA towards achieving its political goals, but the probability of this initiative being implemented is relatively low.
It is 2025, and this is the Federal Reserve's latest "hawk-dove distribution", showing significant internal divergence.
According to the updated "dove-hawk distribution" chart, the policy inclination of the voting committee in 2025 is similar to that in 2024, with an average score close to neutral policy. However, in 2025, the score differences among committee members are greater than last year. Analysis suggests that this significant divergence in policy inclination may lead to more disagreements within the 2025 committee, especially in light of the changes in trade and immigration policies following Trump's administration, which could have a major impact on the USA supply chain.
Futu Morning Report | Major new regulations impact AI Chip stocks! NVIDIA and Oracle strongly oppose; Is there a bet that the yield has peaked? Call Bid in U.S. Treasury ETF surges.
Media: NVIDIA's Blackwell chip rack has encountered issues, leading major customers like Microsoft to reduce some Orders; Trump's advisers have proposed a new tariff idea: use the Emergency Economic Powers Act to increase rates by 2-5% monthly; the new US Treasury Secretary's Hold Positions include the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin.
Breaking news about Trump! Bloomberg exclusively reveals Trump's team's new tariff proposal.
According to exclusive reports from Bloomberg, members of the economic team of USA President-elect Trump, who is set to take office, are discussing a gradual monthly increase in tariffs to enhance negotiating leverage while helping to avoid soaring inflation. One of the ideas being considered is to develop a progressive tariff schedule that would raise tariffs by about 2% to 5% each month. This plan would also require reliance on the executive powers granted by the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
Options trading investors are "buying the dip" in the U.S. Treasury market, betting that yields have peaked.
As the volatility in the USA bond market intensifies, some Options Trading participants begin to boldly "buy the dip."
[US Stock Market Closing Review] The crucial CPI data is about to be released, and US stocks are showing mixed results with Technology stocks under pressure.
On Monday (January 13), U.S. stocks showed mixed performance. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 358 points, an increase of 0.86%, benefiting from strong performance in the Energy and other non-Technology sectors; the Nasdaq fell by 0.38% due to a pullback in Technology stocks, with Large Cap stocks like NVIDIA and Apple under pressure. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose to 4.79%, reaching a 14-month high, as the market is highly attentive to the upcoming December CPI report, which may influence expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
Ten-Year Treasury Yield Forecast to Remain High Into 2026 -- Market Talk
Federal Reserve survey: USA's medium-term inflation expectations rise, and the probability of debt delinquency reaches a new high since the pandemic.
On Monday, the latest survey released by the New York Federal Reserve indicated that inflation expectations in the USA for one-year and three-year periods in December both increased, while five-year inflation expectations decreased.
When will the US stock market, US bonds, and the US dollar reach a turning point?
Why do the pricing of these three sets of assets—USA bonds, US stocks, and the USD—consistently deviate from the general market expectations? What is the main logic behind the pricing of USA assets, and how should we grasp the main contradictions in the pricing of USA assets?