Non-farm payrolls greatly exceeded expectations, "no more interest rate cuts this year" enters Wall Street discussion.
After the non-farm payroll data was released, the expectation for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate cuts in the next four meetings is less than 100 basis points. Wall Street veteran Ed Yardeni believes that the Fed's monetary easing policy for the year may have already come to an end, considering the market's aggressive rate-cut pricing, any additional easing policy could increase the probability of a stock market crash.
September's strong non-farm employment pusher behind the scenes: Before the election, record seasonally adjusted and "civil servant" positions.
The seasonal adjustment amplitude in September has refreshed the highest record, while excluding the abnormal values after the outbreak of the new crown epidemic in June 2020. This is also the largest monthly increase for government workers on record.
U.S. stock market morning session | September non-farm payroll data far exceeded expectations, with the three major indices opening higher before falling back slightly; most technology stocks rose, with AMD, tesla, and amazon up more than 2%.
As of press time, the Dow rose by 0.63%, the Nasdaq rose by 1.03%, and the s&p 500 index rose by 0.68%.
US stock market outlook: US September non-farm data higher than expected! Three major futures indicators surge in a straight line; will Chinese concept stocks continue to climb? Morgan Stanley: If short positions cover, it will push up the upward trend.
Bank of America: China stock fund saw the second highest inflow scale in history in the past week; European Central Bank Governing Council: inflation is under control, concerns arise as labor market cools down; spirit airlines plunged 33% before the market, the company is discussing potential bankruptcy application terms.
Is the market dovishness too loud? Non-farm will be a key element of the expected adjustment!
The market is more dovish than the Federal Reserve, and ultimately both sides will have to adjust their expectations. Tonight's non-farm payrolls report is a key data point.
The major strike at the ports in the USA has finally come to an end! Democrats can finally breathe a sigh of relief during this critical election period.
①On Thursday (October 3rd) local time, dock workers in the usa announced the end of a three-day strike; ②The temporary agreement reached by both labor and management includes a 62% salary increase for workers over the next six years; ③The end of the strike has eased the public's panic and also eliminated a potential political issue for Vice President Kamala Harris's campaign.