Entering the Christmas month! The Christmas market may continue to drive the U.S. stock market to new highs, with these sectors expected to become the "hottest opportunities"
Historically, in the seven trading days after Christmas, which include the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year, investors tend to be more bullish, with a high probability of an uptrend in the U.S. stock market. This seven-day period is known as the 'Santa Claus rally.' Data shows that over the past 70 years, there has been an 80% chance of the S&P 500 index rising during these seven trading days.
BofA Merrill Lynch's Hartnett Outlook 2025: Q1 US Dollar, US stocks, Q2 non-US stocks, gold and commodities for the whole year, US bonds bottoming at 5%.
Hartnett advises to take a chance in 2025, buy 'usa prosperity' in Q1, especially small cap stocks; buy non-US stocks in Q2, betting on Europe/Asia moving towards easing; inflation may rise higher than expected, bullish on csi commodity equity index, US bond yields reaching 5% is a huge opportunity, buy chinese stocks to hedge the AI bubble.
Dalio: Trump coming to power will push the global community into a "survival of the fittest" new era!
①Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Fund, believes that Trump's second term will bring about a significant shift in global order; ②Dalio said that based on Trump's choice of key positions, his team will promote a more selfish and ruthless global order; ③Dalio refers to Trump's team as a 'corporate raiders'-style reform and indicates the end of an era dominated by the USA.
The first year of 'Trump 2.0', goldman sachs and the key disagreement with the market: the Federal Reserve!
Goldman Sachs does not agree with the market's hawkish expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut path next year. On one hand, Goldman Sachs believes that the Trump administration's policies are unlikely to lead to significant inflation that would prevent rate cuts; on the other hand, Goldman Sachs thinks that the market underestimates the significant impact risks that substantial policy changes could have on the financial markets, which could trigger a response similar to the 'insurance-style rate cuts' seen in 2019.
How will the US stock market perform in December? The answer lies in historical data! Here are 5 things worth investors' attention.
Aristotle once said, "To appreciate the beauty of snowflakes, one must endure the cold of winter." So, as the US stock market is about to enter the end of the year, in what manner will investors be able to appreciate a magnificent snowy landscape?
Another relative of Trump has been reemployed! The father of the son-in-law will serve as a senior advisor for Arab and Middle Eastern affairs.
On Sunday, the elected president of the usa, Trump, stated that he would appoint Lebanese-American businessman Massad Blos as his senior advisor for Arab and Middle Eastern affairs; Blos is the father of Trump's youngest son-in-law. This means that Trump’s foreign policy team has added another person with a familial relationship.