US Stock Outlook | Is the unemployment rate in the USA showing warning signs? Societe Generale warns: there will be a risk of recession next year; AI chip stocks are soaring in pre-market, Broadcom has risen over 17% after earnings.
Meta has released a new AI model that will enhance the Metaverse experience; with multiple Bullish factors combined, Taiwan Semiconductor rose over 2% in pre-market trading; Eli Lilly and Co's Mounjaro has replaced Novo-Nordisk A/S's Wegovy, becoming the new favorite weight loss drug in the United Kingdom.
U.S. stock market early session | The Nasdaq rose slightly, reaching a new high during the session! Most Cryptos concept stocks increased, with RIOT rising by 6%.
On the evening of the 13th in Peking, the US stock market opened higher on Friday. After Broadcom released its Earnings Reports, its stock price surged, leading to a widespread increase in Technology stocks. The USA's import price Index for November was higher than expected. The market focus shifts to next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week seems very likely! The market is focusing on the latest economic forecast.
Investors generally believe that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the meeting on December 17-18, and will focus more on the new economic forecasts released by decision-makers at the same time they make their decision.
Trump discusses the possibility of war between the US and Iran: anything is possible, the situation is very unstable.
① The elected President Trump of the USA stated in a recent interview that he does not rule out the possibility of war between the USA and Iran; ② According to previous media reports, Trump will continue to exert maximum pressure on Iran during his second term.
Annual Review | The top ten soaring ETFs in the US stock market have been released! Cryptos ETFs surged over 210%, and Large Cap Index ETFs have become the "money-absorbing champion."
US stocks have plenty of highlights in various ETFs. These ETFs not only track the performance of various Indexes and Global Sectors, but also offer different leverage multiples for investors to choose from. Their earning potential and capital-raising capacity are both very strong, attracting attention and popularity in the market.
Daily Options Tracking | Broadcom surged over 14% before the market opens! Multiple Call orders are being placed in advance; the popularity of the Bitcoin mining company RIOT suddenly increased! The Options market is bullish up to 20 dollars.
Overnight, the Nasdaq fell from its historical Top Reversal, and major Technology stocks in the US generally declined, with a decrease in trading activity in the Options Chain. NVIDIA dropped over 1%, with Options Volume falling to 2.7 million contracts, while the Call ratio slightly decreased to 66.6%. On the Options Chain, the Calls expiring today with strike prices of $140/$138/$137 were the most popular, each with a Volume of over 0.11 million contracts.
Can global central banks transition from draining to releasing liquidity, allowing the stock market to surge again?
If the drying up of liquidity has not posed a significant obstacle to the market this year, will the improvement of liquidity next year become a tailwind for driving the market?
Criticism from two Democrats: Musk's Government Efficiency Department is "doomed to fail."
In the view of Democrats, Musk's DOGE Department of Government Efficiency is destined to fail because it focuses on the wrong objectives, employs the wrong methods, and has leadership issues. They believe that if DOGE wants to make a contribution, it should abandon its absolute monetary goals and instead focus on improving the Institutions' efficiency of government projects.
The short sellers in the US stock market have almost all turned bullish! Now only two Institutions remain bearish.
Wall Street is generally optimistic about the US stock market in 2025. Will these two Institutions become the "right minority"?
The Fed Is Poised to Cut Rates Next Week. But 2025 Is Another Matter
The Federal Reserve needs to be cautious, as Trump's tariff policy may cause a "permanent shock" to the CPI!
BNP Paribas stated that Trump will implement his tariff policy, and the Federal Reserve's inaction along with a stronger dollar is expected to suppress Gold prices in the second half of 2025.
Trump's new move! Seeking to reduce or eliminate Banks regulatory Institutions, supporting USA dockworkers.
In the financial sector, there are reports that Trump's advisers are seeking to reduce or eliminate Banks regulatory Institutions.
Interest rate cuts! Global central banks are competing to prepare for Trump 2.0, summarizing the monetary policy tone of the G10 central banks in one article.
On Thursday, the policymakers of the European Central Bank, Swiss Franc Central Bank, and Danish Central Bank all announced interest rate cuts; this undoubtedly instills confidence that they may continue to adopt easing policies in the coming year to mitigate the impacts of unknown factors such as trade tensions and geopolitical-induced currency fluctuations.
Futu Morning News | The Central Economic Work Conference has set the tone! Next year, the fiscal deficit rate needs to be increased; Broadcom soared over 15% after hours! Q4 profit exceeded expectations.
Inflation unexpectedly accelerates! In November, the USA PPI month-on-month growth rate reached the highest increase since June; AI transformation faces challenges! Adobe's performance forecast fell short of expectations, dropping more than 13% after the earnings report.
Inflation unexpectedly accelerated! The USA's November PPI month-on-month growth rate achieved the largest increase since June, according to interpretations from Wall Street.
With the rise in food costs, inflation in the USA unexpectedly accelerated in November. The PPI increased by 3% year-on-year, exceeding expectations, marking the largest increase since February 2023, and a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, the highest since June. The significant rise in egg prices overshadowed more moderate cost increases in other areas. The relatively mild increases in other categories suggest that the price indicators favored by the Federal Reserve will also see mild growth. Economists generally believe that this week's CPI and PPI inflation data are basically benign, still pointing to sufficient cooling of inflation.
Dow Futures Are Little Changed After Index Posts Longest Losing Streak Since April: Live Updates
Forex Today: US PPI Inflation Uptick Keeps Sentiment Taut
From the perspective of Fed Governor Waller, CPI indicates that inflation is moving in the wrong direction.
According to the so-called Waller rule, the breadth of inflation is increasing.
U.S. stock market morning | The three major indexes weakened slightly, Adobe fell over 12% after earnings; popular China Concept Stocks rose against the trend, with MINISO up more than 5%.
On the evening of December 12, Peking time, US stocks opened mixed on Thursday. Adobe's Earnings Reports were disappointing, leading to a sharp decline in stock price. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the USA unexpectedly increased last week, and the PPI for November rose more than expected. The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the fourth time this year.
Annual review | The top ten explosive stocks in the US stock market for 2024 have been released! Applovin emerges as the dark horse of the year in AI, MSTR astonishes the market with a fivefold increase for the year, and Tesla makes a comeback in the last
As of the market close on December 11, the S&P 500 Index has risen by 27% year-to-date, surpassing 6,000 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index has accumulated a rise of over 33%, reaching a milestone of 0.02 million points, exceeding market expectations.