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CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in September? The key data is still yet to come!
After the non-farm data was released, the market priced in a 70% chance of a rate cut by the Fed in September. Analysts pointed out that "the key is another round of data".
After a closer look at the US non-farm payrolls report, I was sweating with shock as the data for the first two months was unexpectedly slashed by 0.11 million.
① The seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population in the United States increased by 0.206 million people in June, exceeding the market's expected 0.19 million people; ② The report revised the May data from 0.272 million people to 0.218 million people, and April from 0.165 million people to 0.108 million people.
US stock pre-market: the three major indices have mixed gains and losses, with large tech stocks generally rising, with Tesla, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft all up more than 1%; China concept stocks fell across the board, with Xpeng down nearly 10% and NIO
The US stock market opened flat on Friday, and the three major stock indexes in the US will all record gains this week. The number of new non-farm jobs added in June in the United States fell sharply, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.1%, reinforcing the reason for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
Fed's Williams: Progress on Inflation, Job Not Yet Done.
Williams pointed out during his activities in India that he "has confidence" that the Fed is on track to achieve its 2% inflation target.
No hope of US Treasury bond rebound? The market is focused on the election, betting that yields will remain high.
Concerns about the expansion of the US fiscal deficit and the increasing government debt burden after Trump's election may limit the rebound of bonds, while the Fed's increasing proximity to interest rate cuts may put pressure on the rise of long-term US debt.
Express News | Fed's Loudspeaker: Unemployment rate shows US economy becoming increasingly close to recession.
Express News | USA non-farm payroll employment numbers for April and May were revised down by 0.111 million people.
U.S. stock market preview: Heavyweight news! Non-farm data exceeds expectations, and the three major equity index futures jump; Fed "top three": there is still a long way to go to maintain the 2% inflation target.
The US earnings season will kick off next week, putting the US stock market to the test; the increase in US currency supply indicates a reversal of the concentration trend in the US stock market, and mid-small cap stocks may have opportunities; over 1 million chips will be shipped! Nvidia's sales in China are expected to reach $12 billion this year.
Express News | US Jun. Non-Farm Payrolls +206000 Vs +190000 Forecast, Prior +218000; US Jun. Unemployment Rate 4.1% Vs 4.0% Forecast, Prior 4.0%
Express News | Before the non-farm payroll announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 91.2%.
Will tonight's non-farm payroll pave the way for the Fed's rate cut in September?
Some economists believe that the labor market in the USA has not driven inflation upward...
With the economic slowdown prevailing across America, the expectation of interest rate cut once again dominates the US stock market.
Global investors' pessimistic sentiment towards the short-term outlook of the US stock market has eased this week, mainly due to the significant increase in expectations for two rate cuts, one in September and another later this year, after the release of recent US economic data.
Non-farm Countdown! Pay attention to this key warning signal.
Economists don't expect a cliff-like drop in US employment growth, but non-farm payroll may release a warning signal...
This week's bull stock in the US | Electric vehicle stocks collectively soar! Tesla's rise exceeded 24%, Ideanomics rose nearly 16%; Broadcom rose nearly 8%, and received the layout of "Congress Mountain Stock God" Pelosi.
This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.48% to close at 39,308 points; during the same period, the S&P 500 index rose by 1.4% to close at 5,537.02 points; and the Nasdaq index rose by 2.57% to close at 18,188.3 points.
The Federal Reserve's dovish tone is rising! During the interest rate cut cycle, which assets are worth paying attention to?
Based on the June dot plot, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates only once. Nevertheless, 7 Wall Street banks expect the Fed to cut interest rates twice this year, a total of 50bps. Looking at the time of the first rate cut, more than half of institutions anticipate it will happen in September.
The non-farm data may add to the chill in the job market! Will the interest rate cut in September be the final decision?
Goldman Sachs bluntly stated that employment growth will be very bad, and unemployment rates and wage growth are also of great concern! Will Powell's words come true? The risk of gold is biased towards upward movement, and the bulls once again set their sights on 2400...
Will there be any surprises in the non-farm data? The first major US data release day of the second half of the year has arrived.
If we were to discuss the most unpredictable economic indicators in the US market this year, non-farm payroll data would definitely make the list. Tonight marks the first non-farm evening of the second half of the year. What kind of surprises will this night bring? Will the data performance be unexpected once again?
"Trump 2.0" may be coming soon! Which major assets will "dance" and which will "lie flat"?
As traders assume that Trump's return to the White House is a basic market expectation, how should investors act?
Tonight, the Non-Farm Payrolls report will be released. Employment growth in the United States may slow down significantly, and the economy may enter a recession.
There are signs that the labor market in the USA is slowing down, and it may even deteriorate, so the June non-farm employment report is more significant.
Biden in danger? Disney heir and other "bigwigs" are pressuring him: no re-election, no money!
Abigail Disney plans to suspend donations to Democrats before Biden drops out; Biden says he has no plans to withdraw from the race.