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CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Will a big mystery of the US economy be revealed soon? The answer may lie in the non-farm payroll data!
Economists debate: Is the US labor market normalizing, or is it an indication that the economy is about to slow down?
In the next three weeks, the "Trump trade" will be crucial.
JPMorgan stated that if Biden's support rate in swing states falls significantly in the next three weeks, he will face huge pressure to withdraw. If Biden is forced to step down, the preferred replacement is Vice President Kamala Harris.
How does Wall Street predict the strongest global theme for the second half of the year, with expectations of a rate cut, election suspense, and the trend of US stocks?
As the global central bank interest rate cuts arrive, major events such as inflation rebound, the U.S. presidential election, and earnings season tests may all intensify volatility risks, but they also bring many opportunities for positioning.
The US Federal Reserve has been slow to cut interest rates, and the size of the US money market has surpassed 6.15 trillion US dollars, reaching a new high.
In the week ending on the 2nd, there was a inflow of approximately $51.2 billion into the US fund market, the largest inflow in three months. Some analysts pointed out that as long as the Federal Reserve continues to hold steady, funds will continue to flow into currency funds.
The minutes of the June meeting mentioned three times that the Fed really lacks confidence in rate cuts.
Some FOMC members pointed out that if the job vacancy rate drops to 4.5%, it may have already approached or exceeded certain thresholds, meaning that the future unemployment rate will rise more sharply. Most members believe that as the economy gradually cools down, the huge economic pressures faced by low-income households are a major concern for the Fed.
Express News | Reminder: The US stock market will be closed on July 4th for Independence Day.
'Congressional stock god' takes action! Pelosi purchases call options on Broadcom, 10,000 shares of Nvidia, sells Tesla and Visa.
Analysis shows that if Nvidia continues to perform well in the second half of the year, even if the increase is only half of that in the first half of the year, Pelosi's new purchase of 10,000 shares will bring her about $1 million in profits, which is more than five times her annual salary.
Futu Morning Post | Interest rate cut expectations heat up, S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs again; "Congress Mountain Female Stock God" Pelosi strikes again! Betting on Broadcom and Nvidia.
Fed minutes: Waiting for more information to gain confidence in rate cuts, with the majority of officials believing that the economy is gradually cooling; U.S. June ISM services unexpectedly fell sharply below expectations, with the rate of contraction the fastest in four years.
"Dr. Doom" predicts that if Trump is elected, the US stock market may suffer from a "violent blow" in a trade war!
'Doomsday Doctor' pointed out that a potential trade war would push up import prices, leading to higher inflation.
Top 20 trading volume | Tesla rose more than 6% to a six-month high, with its stock price up for seven consecutive days; Nvidia closed up nearly 5%, with a large number of new AI GPUs to be delivered in Q3.
Tesla, the top traded stock in U.S. on Wednesday, rose by 6.54% with a trading volume of $40.351 billion. NVIDIA, the second most traded stock, rose by 4.57%, with a volume of $27.019 billion, while Apple, the third most traded stock, rose by 0.58% with a volume of $8.246 billion.
Are there risks of the US stock market returning to the 1930s?
Richard Bernstein believes that although the current US stock market appears to be full of bubbles and rises highly concentrated in large cap stocks, considering that current corporate profits are accelerating and the banking system is performing well, it is unlikely to trigger another economic crisis.
US stocks rose slightly in early trading, with the three major indexes up. Tesla rose by nearly 4%, and the second-generation humanoid robot Optimus will make its debut for the first time. US stocks will close early today and will be closed tomorrow.
The US stock market opened mostly flat on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 index closing above 5,500 points for the first time in the previous trading day. The private sector employment in the US increased by only 150,000 in June according to ADP report, lower than expected and indicating a gradual cooling of labor demand. The US stock market will close early today and the trading volume is expected to be light.
Goldman Sachs warns that if Trump takes office, the Fed may raise interest rates an extra 5 times.
Goldman Sachs predicts that, in the USA, due to the significant inflation effect, interest rates may rise by 130 basis points.
"Little Non-Farm" and initial claim data again bring bullish news! Gold surges above the $2350 mark.
The US labor market is responding to Powell's comments...
Unexpected decline! ADP added 150,000 jobs in the United States in June, the lowest level in four months.
Services once again became the industry with the most new job openings. In June, the ADP services industry added 136,000 jobs, far exceeding the 14,000 jobs in manufacturing.
US Stock Market Outlook | Unexpected Slump! US 'Small Non-Farms' Reach Four-Month Low; Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes to be Released Tonight, US Stock Market will Close Early Due to the Holiday.
"Fed Pronouncements": Powell talks about progress in inflation, bringing rate cuts back into view; did the market become conservative? Strategist: The Fed is expected to cut interest rates three times this year! Growth tech stocks fluctuate before the market, Tesla rises nearly 2%, while Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia fall slightly.
Express News | US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims 238000 Vs 235000 Forecast, Prior 234000
Express News | USA's quick evaluation of June's ADP data.
Express News | In June, the employment increased by 150,000 in the USA's ADP, which is lower than expected.
Will the US labor market remain strong? Can Friday's non-farm payrolls bring a 'surprise'?
Market attention is increasingly turning to the labor market. Will non-farm payrolls break the deadlock this week?