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CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Weekend reading | The US election voting day is approaching! Three perspectives on the impact fluctuations.
Overall, the US economy is currently on a steady landing trajectory, with a slowdown but not too rapid decline. This process may be completed during the next presidential term, and the impact from the economic cycle may still be more powerful than the president's policy in the trend over the next four years.
US stocks early market | Non-farm data does not change the rise of US stocks, with all three major indices collectively surging; growth tech stocks erase yesterday's slump, amazon soars 6% approaching historical highs.
Apple fell by 0.54%, profits were dragged down by a hundred billion in back taxes; Intel rose by 5%, fourth quarter revenue and adjusted earnings per share guidance exceeded expectations.
Express News | usa October ISM Manufacturing PMI was 46.5, lower than market expectations.
Viewpoint | The decline in technology stocks in the usa brings buying opportunities.
Recently, the technology sector has shown weakness, but it has not encountered any major troubles.
"Super huge upset"! Non-farm payroll employment in October increased by only 0.012 million, will the Fed cut interest rates next week?
The USA non-farm payrolls added only 0.012 million jobs, a figure possibly affected by hurricanes and strikes, leading traders to increase bets on a 25 basis point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in November...
Express News | Goldman Sachs: Non-farm data indicates that the Federal Reserve will continue its loose cycle next week.
US stock market outlook: Non-farm data cools significantly! Expectations of interest rate cuts increase for the year; Amazon and Intel performance exceed expectations, easing the downward trend of growth tech stocks yesterday.
Apple's iPhone revenue turned around last quarter, but sales in China were lackluster, dropping nearly 2% pre-market; Buffett has continuously increased his shareholding in Sirius XM, raising his stake to 33%.
Express News | usa non-farm payrolls increased by 0.012 million in October, significantly below expectations.
Every Options Tracking | Nvidia plunged nearly 5% overnight, a put contract made nearly 3 times the profit; bears still hold the upper hand! The 'audit storm' of the super micro computer continues to ferment, multiple put contracts doubled.
Pre-market up over 5%! Intel's Q3 datacenter revenue exceeded expectations, with options volume surging 110% to 0.71 million contracts, implied volatility rising to the highest percentile level within the year. Looking at the options chain, the most active trades are calls expiring on December 20 with strike prices of $25 and $30, both trading over 0.02 million contracts.
ETF tracking | Volatility double long ETF rose by 16%; Leveraged long ETF for super micro computer plummeted over 70% in two days
On Thursday, October 31, the three major stock indexes in the United States all fell. The s&p 500 index closed down 108.22 points, a decrease of 1.86%, to 5705.45 points. The October cumulative decline was 0.99, ending the continuous rise since May. The dow jones industrial average fell 378.08 points, a decrease of 0.90%, to 41763.46 points. The October cumulative decline was 1.34%, ending the uptrend since May. The nasdaq composite index, mainly composed of technology stocks, also closed lower.
Trump and Harris Plans Could Stoke Inflation. That Means a More Hawkish Fed
Hawkish signals hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts? Tonight's non-farm data may provide the final clue for the Fed's actions next week.
Strong non-farm data will enhance the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to possibly pause rate cuts early next year.
Election night trading guide: key time points, key focus points, will there be any delays?
Goldman Sachs recently released a research report stating that the market has overestimated the risks of uncertainty caused by delayed election results. Goldman Sachs indicated that the speed of counting votes in this election may accelerate, and it may not be as close as reflected in the polls. The trading in the financial markets may reflect the election results on the evening of the election day or the next morning, with the key results of the county-level elections becoming the focus of the market. Although there may be some fluctuations in the first few hours of the election night, it will soon return to normal levels.
"Trump trade" and dealing with "Trump trade"
Analysis suggests that, in response to potential tariff shocks, it may be appropriate to adjust the exchange rates of the Renminbi to cope, and it is recommended to avoid some heavy asset enterprises. Potential tariffs may lead to a contraction in external demand, prompting a stronger focus on stimulating domestic demand, potentially elevating consumer to an unprecedented level in financial stimulus.
US stocks closed: All 'Seven Giants' suffered heavy losses, with the S&P and Nasdaq posting their largest declines in nearly two months.
1. PHLX Semiconductor Index fell more than 4%; 2. The China concept stock Jinlong Index fell by 1.3%; 3. Apple's Greater China revenue fell short of expectations; 4. Guo Mingchi: the possibility of Super Micro Computer being suspended or delisted is increasing.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Sinks Over 200 Points on Risk Aversion
US Stocks Feel Selling Pressure
US Payrolls, Oct: Blame It on the Rain – TDS
US stock market early trading | Trump's media technology group triggered another circuit breaker during the session, now down 10%; china concept stocks fall, alibaba, pdd holdings down more than 1%
Meta fell nearly 3%, the metaverse division continued to suffer serious losses in the third quarter, raising the full-year capital expenditure guidance; Estee Lauder narrowed its decline to 18%, the company withdrew its 2025 fiscal year outlook and lowered its dividend.
Core PCE annual rate slightly exceeded expectations in September, but does the Fed's interest rate cut expectations remain unchanged for this year?
USA's core PCE annual rate slightly exceeded expectations, initial jobless claims declined, the market still bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November.