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CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Entering the Christmas month! The Christmas market may continue to drive the U.S. stock market to new highs, with these sectors expected to become the "hottest opportunities"
Historically, in the seven trading days after Christmas, which include the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year, investors tend to be more bullish, with a high probability of an uptrend in the U.S. stock market. This seven-day period is known as the 'Santa Claus rally.' Data shows that over the past 70 years, there has been an 80% chance of the S&P 500 index rising during these seven trading days.
US stock market early trading | Nasdaq up nearly 1%! Growth tech and semiconductor stocks are generally rising, taiwan semiconductor, marvell technology up over 4%, super micro computer surged over 12%
On the evening of the 2nd Beijing time, the US stock market opened slightly higher on Monday. As the US stock market enters the last month of the year, the market this week is focused on the US November non-farm payrolls, Trump administration policies, and the Fed's interest rate path.
US Stock Futures Reveal Market Has Room to Run
US stocks outlook | Most of the popular China concept stocks are rising before the market opens, with Miniso surging 16%; Bank of America's 2025 investment strategy is here! Bullish on small cap stocks.
Tesla rose 1.8% in pre-market trading, starting to launch the latest version of FSD, V13.2; the small cap drone stock UMAC surged over 21% in pre-market, with Trump's eldest son joining the company's advisory board; the record rise in the US stock market lays the foundation for an increase in December, and market sentiment is optimistic.
BofA Merrill Lynch's Hartnett Outlook 2025: Q1 US Dollar, US stocks, Q2 non-US stocks, gold and commodities for the whole year, US bonds bottoming at 5%.
Hartnett advises to take a chance in 2025, buy 'usa prosperity' in Q1, especially small cap stocks; buy non-US stocks in Q2, betting on Europe/Asia moving towards easing; inflation may rise higher than expected, bullish on csi commodity equity index, US bond yields reaching 5% is a huge opportunity, buy chinese stocks to hedge the AI bubble.
Daily options tracking | Multiple Tesla end-of-the-world call options are nearing a doubling, exposing the latest progress of siasun robot&automation; nvidia states that it is accelerating chip supply, and a big client splurged 9 million dollars on calls.
Two bitcoin ETF options with volume entered the top 20 ETFs, last Friday, BITO options traded 4.0783 million contracts, surpassing QQQ to take second place.
US Stock Nuggets | Black Friday sales are hot with surprises! Shopify and Mastercard hit new highs for the year; receiving strong government subsidies, Rocket Lab surged over 6% last Friday.
In the field of AI, apple is reportedly planning a major overhaul of Siri, with a rise of over 1% in the previous trading day and a cumulative increase of over 3% in the week. The stock price hit a new all-time high again.
Trump's 100-day plan is in place! All Republicans are paving the way for tax cuts.
①Trump has not taken office yet, but has already promised many bold reforms, including a large-scale tax reduction plan; ②Republicans are crafting a hundred-day agenda, focusing on extending a $4 trillion tax reduction plan, lowering corporate tax rates, and eliminating consumption taxes, among others. ③Tax reduction policies may increase pressure on the US fiscal deficit, but Republicans believe that tax cuts can promote economic growth, thereby reducing deficit pressures.
How will the US stock market perform in December? The answer lies in historical data! Here are 5 things worth investors' attention.
Aristotle once said, "To appreciate the beauty of snowflakes, one must endure the cold of winter." So, as the US stock market is about to enter the end of the year, in what manner will investors be able to appreciate a magnificent snowy landscape?
Another relative of Trump has been reemployed! The father of the son-in-law will serve as a senior advisor for Arab and Middle Eastern affairs.
On Sunday, the elected president of the usa, Trump, stated that he would appoint Lebanese-American businessman Massad Blos as his senior advisor for Arab and Middle Eastern affairs; Blos is the father of Trump's youngest son-in-law. This means that Trump’s foreign policy team has added another person with a familial relationship.
Non-farm 'quality inspector' strikes hard! Will Trump's trade be overturned?
Trump's trade is about to undergo a quality check with non-farm, which is very crucial for the Federal Reserve.
Super week is approaching! Will the "Non-Farm Payrolls + Powell" set the tone for the global market by the end of the year?
A series of labor market data, including the crucial November non-farm payroll report released on Friday, will have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting plans; numerous Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Powell, will also deliver speeches this week, which will be particularly critical in the context of recent expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon and then slow down.
The record rise of the US stock market lays the foundation for an increase in December, with Wall Street filled with optimism.
Due to recent outstanding performances and historical trends boosting market sentiment, this year may have even greater upward potential.
Futu Morning Post | S&P hits historic new highs again! It is challenging the strongest annual increase after the millennium; American drone small cap stocks ride on the 'Donald Trump concept', soaring more than 9 times in November.
To add fuel to the December actions, the Governor of the Bank of Japan mentioned that the wage trend is key to raising interest rates; The hottest asset after the US election: the US bitcoin ETF single-month net capital inflow hits a record; It is said that Meta is planning to build a global underwater communication network, with a total investment amount possibly exceeding $10 billion.
One week outlook | Powell and a group of Fed officials will speak intensively; Non-farm payrolls are coming! Will it reshape the market's rate cut expectations?
November's key employment data in the USA, as well as the ISM manufacturing and service activity surveys, will be closely watched as an economic indicator for the USA; ECB President Lagarde's recent statements may signal the pace of future interest rate cuts.
Elon Musk suddenly sent a major signal! He is preparing to "abolish the Federal Reserve" to address the United States federal deficit……
Elon Musk proposed to include Ron Paul in the government efficiency department, who has long been against excessive government spending and actively advocated for abolishing the Federal Reserve. A director of a precious metals trading company stated that this move aims to rescue the federal deficit of the USA.
Trump's Plans Risk Inflating Bullish Stock Market Into a Bubble
US stock market morning session | S&P 500 index hits another all-time high! Semiconductor sector surges! ASML Holding, Applied Materials both rise more than 3%; appointing Trump's eldest son as advisor, drone concept stock UMAC soars 40%
Growth tech stocks are strong, with Tesla up nearly 2%, nvidia up 1.4%, AMD up 0.76%; uranium mining stocks collectively rise, UUUU up over 8%.
usa stocks fund crazy attracting 12.78 billion US dollars, continuously receiving inflow for the fourth week.
In the week ending November 27, investors in the usa invested a large amount of money into stocks funds, thanks to the appointment of new officials in Trump's administration and the decline in usa treasury yields, which alleviated concerns about the outlook for growth stocks.
After December, will the Federal Reserve change its interest rate cut pace?
Wall Street economists generally believe that the rapid pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will not continue into 2025, and may instead become a rate cut at every other meeting.