VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
- 11.750
- -0.090-0.76%
Biden speaks again: The Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates!
①Biden expects the Fed to continue cutting interest rates; ②He said the Fed's 0.5 percentage point rate cut on Wednesday "is good news for consumers".
US Stock Market Outlook | US Stock Market's 'Triple Witching Day' is coming! $5.1 trillion options are expiring; change of leadership, Nike's pre-market surge of nearly 8%
US stocks hit a new high! The highest target on Wall Street: the S&P 500 could soar to 6100 points by the end of the year; FedEx shares fell nearly 13% before the market opened, narrowing the range of full-year profit estimates.
S&P welcomes its 39th new high of the year! The surprise rate cut, though late, has arrived. What will drive the new surge in the US stock market?
In the early morning of September 19th, the Federal Reserve violently initiated a 50 basis point interest rate cut, while the unexpectedly low number of initial jobless claims announced on Thursday further strengthened confidence in a soft landing of the US economy.
This week's hot US stocks | Chinese concept stocks surge! Li Auto Inc and jd.com lead the way; with the Federal Reserve interest rate cut implemented, the financial crediting sector benefits and rises.
usa's used car dealer Carvana has risen for four consecutive days this week, with a cumulative increase of over 20%, also setting a new high for the year, with a total increase of 222.5% this year.
Daily option tracking | The 'Seven Sisters' party! Tesla, Nvidia, and other call options prices skyrocket, with the highest profit exceeding 9 times.
Apple rose nearly 4% in the previous trading day, the put/call ratio slightly increased to 0.8, options volume slightly increased to 1.475 million contracts; On the options chain, the sentiment between bulls and bears is intense, with the highest volume being calls with a strike price of $230 expiring today, with 0.105 million contracts.
Top strategist: Will the economic data make Powell breathe a sigh of relief and bring about a "rebirth" in the market?
Yardeni Research's Chief Market Strategist stated that in fact, the US manufacturing sector has been improving on its own, and the unemployment data is the best since before the summer. The Federal Reserve does not appear to be falling behind the situation.
Can the Federal Reserve complete its mission? The next six months are crucial for investors!
The BofA Global team believes that this round of Fed easing cycle has no direct correlation with any recent ones, and is not even the 'soft landing' scenario in 1995 that investors and the Fed hope to replicate.
Has the Fed's interest rate cut come too late? "Bond King" Gundlach: The US economy may already be in a recession.
Although the US stock market is delighted by the significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, "bond king" Jeff Gundlach still believes that the Fed's interest rate cut came too late; Gundlach believes that the continuously increasing number of unemployed in the United States indicates that the US economy has entered a recession.
Did you really think there was only one dissenting vote? There may be far more Federal Reserve officials opposed to a large interest rate cut than you imagine.
① The Federal Reserve launched this round of easing cycle with a bold 50 basis point rate cut on Wednesday; ② From their forecasts on the dot plot interest rate path, this move may have only received strong support from a slim majority of the 19 Fed policymakers.
Another "Triple Witching Day" for US stocks! After the interest rate cut frenzy, Wall Street faces a $5.1 trillion test.
The market is at a critical moment of pricing, coinciding with the "Triple Witching" of the U.S. stock market!
Futu Morning Post | US Stock Carnival! Yellen praised the interest rate cut as injecting a “positive sign” into the US economy; Chinese securities have exploded! The general index surged by more than 4%
Yellen praised the interest rate cut as a "positive sign" for the US economy, emphasizing that the primary task is to ensure that the job market "remains strong"; Summers, the former US Treasury Secretary and whistleblower on high inflation, said that the future interest rate cut is expected to be less than the Federal Reserve's forecast.
Top 20 turnover | Tesla soared over 7%, with a high target of $310 from Morgan Stanley; Bitcoin rose above $0.062 million, and the holding stock MicroStrategy surged over 9%
On Thursday, Nvidia, ranked first in trading volume in the U.S. stock market, rose by 3.97%, with a trading volume of $34.744 billion. Tesla, ranked second, rose by 7.36%, with a trading volume of $24.69 billion. Apple, ranked third, rose by 3.71%, with a trading volume of $15.249 billion. MicroStrategy, ranked twelfth, rose by 9.04%, with a trading volume of $2.917 billion.
U.S. stocks hit a new high again! Wall Street's highest target: s&p 500 is expected to soar to 6100 points by the end of the year.
S&P, Dow both hit record highs, Wall Street traders bet that the Federal Reserve will achieve a soft landing, and the crazy rise of US stocks is far from over.
Will the volatility come back? Goldman Sachs expects increased risk and recommends buying VIX call options.
According to Goldman Sachs' model estimation, based on the current macro environment, the VIX level should be 24.5, significantly higher than the current level; and over the past 30 years, the VIX has averaged a 6% increase from September to October each year; the US stock market also faces macro/macro catalysts such as the election, Fed meeting, and October earnings season.
Why did the US stock market rebound on Thursday? The hope of a soft landing, the trading characteristics of Powell, and the catalyst of zero-date options.
Unemployment data strengthens confidence in a soft landing; the market's immediate trend after the Federal Reserve announces interest rate cuts is often unstable and irrational; since Powell took office, the stock market usually declines in the last hour of Federal Reserve decision days; market maker funds flow analysis shows that on Thursday, the S&P was supported at 5700 points, driven mainly by zero-date options 0DTE positions.
US "initial claims" data hits a four-month low, enhancing the Fed's vision of a "soft landing"
① In the week ending September 14, the number of people who applied for unemployment benefits for the first time after seasonal adjustment was 0.219 million, the lowest figure since May 25 this year; ② Jefferies Financial analyst wrote that although this number has been gradually increasing this year, the increase is very moderate and it is difficult to be seen as a sign of economic contraction.
The Federal Reserve's first rate cut in four years, with Bank of America predicting a further 75 basis point cut before the end of the year.
Bank of America Global Research Company said on Wednesday (September 18th) that it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 basis points for the remaining time this year, which is higher than previously estimated. Bank of America also pointed out that the Federal Reserve may further reduce interest rates by 125 basis points by 2025. On the same day, Goldman Sachs predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points multiple times until mid-2025.
Is the Federal Reserve starting an interest rate cut cycle on the cusp of a wave, possibly revealing the outcome of the election in advance?
Taking history as a lesson, in an election year with declining interest rates, the probability of the incumbent president or challenger winning is greater.
5.1 trillion US dollars of options will expire! The "Triple Witching Hour" of US stocks will hit tomorrow night, what impact will it have on the market?
According to derivative analysis company Asym 500 estimates, approximately $5.1 trillion of index, stocks, and ETF options will expire on Friday.
US stock market preview | All three major futures indexes rose, Nasdaq futures rose more than 2%; technology stocks and Chinese concept stocks rose collectively before the market, Alibaba rose more than 4%, Nvidia and Tesla rose more than 3%
Bitcoin surpassed $63,000 today, with pre-market gains in crypto-related stocks. MSTR and MARA rose over 5%; Tesla rose nearly 3% pre-market, with Robotaxi set to debut soon, and bullish views from Wall Street institutions.