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Entering the Christmas month! The Christmas market may continue to drive the U.S. stock market to new highs, with these sectors expected to become the "hottest opportunities"
Historically, in the seven trading days after Christmas, which include the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year, investors tend to be more bullish, with a high probability of an uptrend in the U.S. stock market. This seven-day period is known as the 'Santa Claus rally.' Data shows that over the past 70 years, there has been an 80% chance of the S&P 500 index rising during these seven trading days.
Full text of "The Influential Committee Member" Waller's speech: What determines whether the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates or chooses to skip?
The speed and timing of interest rate cuts will be determined by the economic conditions encountered along the way; the balance in the labor market indicates that current policies still provide restrictive support for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates. If decision-makers' estimates for the interest rate target range by the end of next year are close to accurate, it is likely that the process of achieving this goal will involve skipping interest rate cuts multiple times.
A once-in-a-century event! U.S. stocks are expected to rise more than 20% for two consecutive years, and Wall Street is betting on new highs by the end of the year.
① On Monday this week, the s&p 500 index set a new record, and Wall Street investment banks predict that U.S. stocks will continue to rise by the end of the year; ② If the s&p 500 index continues to rise this month, it will have increased more than 20% for two consecutive years, a scenario that has only occurred three times in the past century.
Federal Reserve officials are dovish, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted, reigniting hopes for a rate cut in December.
USA Treasury bonds regained lost ground in early trading on Monday, and market sentiment was further boosted towards the end of the day in New York, as a key official from the Federal Reserve opened the door to further easing monetary policy later this month.
Fed officials "signal": Powell tends to cut interest rates in December, but warns that the anti-inflation process may "stall".
Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that he is currently inclined to continue lowering interest rates in December, but would consider pausing if inflation data unexpectedly rises and changes his forecast for inflation trends. Regarding whether to support a rate cut in December, this year's voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic mentioned that he is open to the decision-making for December; although the data has fluctuated, inflation is continuing to decline towards the 2% target.
VTI ETF Climbs 0.2%