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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in September? The key data is still yet to come!
After the non-farm data was released, the market priced in a 70% chance of a rate cut by the Fed in September. Analysts pointed out that "the key is another round of data".
After a closer look at the US non-farm payrolls report, I was sweating with shock as the data for the first two months was unexpectedly slashed by 0.11 million.
① The seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population in the United States increased by 0.206 million people in June, exceeding the market's expected 0.19 million people; ② The report revised the May data from 0.272 million people to 0.218 million people, and April from 0.165 million people to 0.108 million people.
US stock pre-market: the three major indices have mixed gains and losses, with large tech stocks generally rising, with Tesla, Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft all up more than 1%; China concept stocks fell across the board, with Xpeng down nearly 10% and NIO
The US stock market opened flat on Friday, and the three major stock indexes in the US will all record gains this week. The number of new non-farm jobs added in June in the United States fell sharply, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.1%, reinforcing the reason for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
Fed's Williams: Progress on Inflation, Job Not Yet Done.
Williams pointed out during his activities in India that he "has confidence" that the Fed is on track to achieve its 2% inflation target.
No hope of US Treasury bond rebound? The market is focused on the election, betting that yields will remain high.
Concerns about the expansion of the US fiscal deficit and the increasing government debt burden after Trump's election may limit the rebound of bonds, while the Fed's increasing proximity to interest rate cuts may put pressure on the rise of long-term US debt.
Express News | Fed's Loudspeaker: Unemployment rate shows US economy becoming increasingly close to recession.