Express News | US Oct. Non-Farm Payrolls +12000 Vs +113000 Forecast, Prior +223000; US Oct. Unemployment Rate 4.1% Vs 4.1% Forecast, Prior 4.1%
Every Options Tracking | Nvidia plunged nearly 5% overnight, a put contract made nearly 3 times the profit; bears still hold the upper hand! The 'audit storm' of the super micro computer continues to ferment, multiple put contracts doubled.
Pre-market up over 5%! Intel's Q3 datacenter revenue exceeded expectations, with options volume surging 110% to 0.71 million contracts, implied volatility rising to the highest percentile level within the year. Looking at the options chain, the most active trades are calls expiring on December 20 with strike prices of $25 and $30, both trading over 0.02 million contracts.
Hawkish signals hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts? Tonight's non-farm data may provide the final clue for the Fed's actions next week.
Strong non-farm data will enhance the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to possibly pause rate cuts early next year.
The Fed may not have gotten what they wanted most, but the PCE data is not enough to change the rate cut outcome this month.
The Federal Reserve may not have received the inflation data it wanted on Thursday, but many economists believe that the new reading of the price indicator most favored by the Federal Reserve may still be sufficient to prompt the Federal Reserve to "cut interest rates by 25 basis points" in a step-by-step manner at its policy meeting next week.
Legendary investor once again sounds the alarm: "AI bubble" will eventually burst, leading to a collapse in the US stock market!
①Legendary investor Grantham believes that ai is a bubble, similar to past technology frenzies; ②he predicts that the US stock market will plummet significantly, but the development of ai will bring long-term transformative effects.
How were major asset classes interpreted during the 2016 election?
CITIC Securities: Recently, there has been a lot of discussion in the market about how global asset classes will evolve if Trump is re-elected. We refer to the market performance when Trump unexpectedly won in 2016 for comparative analysis. Before the 2016 election, the capital markets were dominated by risk aversion sentiment, with gold > USD and US bonds > stocks and agricultural commodities; after the election, risk assets rebounded overall, long-term interest rates continued to rise, the USD index continued its strong trend, while gold experienced a short-term decline.