Is it stable? The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates next month has reached 80%.
① Last night, the completely market-expected usa October CPI data did not cause much of a stir in the market; ② However, the data performance still boosted market confidence in the Fed's interest rate cut next month, and stimulated a rebound in short-term US government bonds.
Former US Treasury Secretary warns Trump: Do not fulfill campaign promises, or else face inflationary impact.
Summers stated that if Trump fulfills his campaign promises, inflation will be even worse than when it reached a 40-year high last time.
Is it time to cool down the 'Trump trade'? Hedge fund big shots: US stocks won't skyrocket!
① Nielsen Peltz, the CEO of the hedge fund company Trian Partners and billionaire investor, is confident about the incoming Trump administration; however, he believes that the stock market rebound will not last. ② Peltz stated in an interview on Wednesday that investors are caught up in speculation and the market will gradually cool down.
Bank of America survey: After Trump's victory, U.S. stocks are expected to be the best assets in 2025!
① A Bank of America survey shows that fund managers expect that us stocks will become the best performing assets next year, driven by the business-friendly policies of the Trump administration; ② They also expect that the small cap index Russell 2000 will perform the best next year, as its lack of international exposure minimizes the risk of increased overall import tariffs.
Risk ignored by US stocks? JPMorgan Asset Management: Trump's tariff plan may trigger stagflation issues.
David Kelly, Chief Global Market Strategist at jpmorgan asset management, stated that Trump's radical tariff plan could slow down the global economy and pose upward pressure on inflation in the usa.
The Republican Party won a majority of seats in the House, but the slim advantage brings challenges.
House Republicans are expected to win a majority of seats in the next Congress, giving them unified control that allows Trump to have more say in budget and tax battles. However, given that the Republican majority is expected to be narrow and internal consensus may be difficult to achieve, this could hinder their efforts to advance Trump's agenda.