The U.S. stock market has recorded its best two-year performance since 1998. What should be focused on in 2025?
U.S. stocks have surged for two consecutive years, with the S&P 500 Index recording its strongest two-year gain since 1997-1998, which has made professional investors increasingly optimistic. However, some industry insiders warn not to expect the same upward trend in U.S. stocks to repeat itself in 2025, as it may face challenges.
U.S. stocks close | U.S. stocks wrap up 2024! The S&P 500 has risen over 20% for two consecutive years, but it has experienced its longest year-end decline in fifty-eight years.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell for four consecutive days, with NVIDIA dropping over 2% and Tesla dropping over 3%. The China concept Index rose 1% in the morning, performing well throughout the day, with PDD Holdings increasing by nearly 3%. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury initially fell then rose, the dollar reached a two-year high, Bitcoin tested $0.096 million before retreating, and the offshore yuan briefly pressured down to 7.37 yuan, marking a two-year low.
U.S. stock market early session | 2024 is the last trading day for U.S. stocks! All three major Indices rebounded collectively, with Tesla rising nearly 1%; China Concept Stocks surged, with Xiaopeng Autos up nearly 5%.
U.S. stocks opened slightly higher on Tuesday, with major indices expected to achieve significant gains this year, and the S&P Index may rise over 20% for the second consecutive year. In 2024, investor enthusiasm for interest rate cuts, economic growth, and AI drives the S&P 500 Index to rise over 20% for the second year in a row.
The AI boom and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are driving the USA stock market to reach new highs in 2024.
On Tuesday (December 31), USA Equity Index futures rose slightly on the last Trade day of 2024, continuing the bull market that started over two years ago. This trend is supported by signs of economic resilience post-pandemic, expectations of lower borrowing costs, and growth driven by AI. The S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq are close to historical highs and are expected to close higher for the second consecutive year.
U.S. stock market preview | Tesla rebounds over 1% in pre-market! The Shanghai energy storage factory has begun trial production; Faraday Future surges nearly 30% in pre-market, after skyrocketing 78% yesterday.
For the first time in history! The USA ETF assets surpassed 10 trillion dollars; the market truth that subverts cognition: the yield curve is steep, which is indeed a Bullish for the seven giants of the USA stock market.
The "Trump 2.0" will officially begin! What important dates are there in January in the USA political scene?
① With the official commencement of the new government and the new members of Congress gradually taking their oaths of office, the next month will feature several significant days for the political landscape in the USA. ② Many industry insiders have already circled several dates on the January Calendar: January 3rd, January 6th, January 20th...
Daily Options Tracking | Bitcoin has fallen continuously! MSTR plunged 8% overnight, with multiple put options expiring on Friday doubling profit; NVIDIA saw a bearish L last night with over 21 million dollars involved.
Tesla faced a three-day decline, with a further drop of 3% overnight; last night, the largest Tesla Options transaction amounted to 8.8513 million dollars, which was in a bearish direction.
Is the stock market "falling endlessly"? Profitability is the key to reversing the trend!
If profits continue to grow, even if valuations no longer seem cheap, the S&P 500 Index may still continue to rise.
U.S. Futures Fall, European Stocks Mostly Down
U.S. stocks show signs of "fatigue" at the end of the year; what will happen next year? Experts say the January inflation report may be the key!
① After achieving double-digit growth in the USA stock market in 2024, it showed signs of fatigue towards the end of the year, and a year-end rebound did not occur. Renowned Analyst Gene Munster believes the market is tense and is looking for reasons to retreat; ② he thinks that the inflation report set to be released in January could become a key turning point. In this regard, Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel also expressed agreement.
It is unusual! The Santa Claus rally has not yet started, and there are frequent warning signals in the U.S. stock market.
There are reasons to be concerned; the latest wave of selling pressure may be a prelude to greater turmoil.
Allianz's chief economist: Next year, the Federal Reserve has two bad choices.
The Federal Reserve faces a choice: either accept inflation above the target or risk dragging the economy into recession by lowering inflation.
The disruptive market truth: the U.S. Treasury yield curve is steep, but in reality, it is the "exclusive Bullish" of the seven tech giants in U.S. stocks.
The flattening of the yield curve may indicate a continued pullback of the seven major Technology giants in the US stock market.
Goldman Sachs 'Ten Questions' for Trump 2.0: Where is the USA economy and the Federal Reserve headed in 2025?
Goldman Sachs Analysts emphasize that as the new year begins, the fundamentals of the USA economy are expected to remain robust.
Key manufacturing indicators in the USA have collapsed! The Chicago PMI unexpectedly plummeted to near the lows experienced during the pandemic.
In December, the Chicago PMI in the USA was 36.9, significantly below the expected 43, with the previous value in November being 40.2. Given the dismal Chicago PMI data, the upcoming critical ISM manufacturing PMI to be released later this week may also be disappointing. The unexpected sharp decline in the Chicago PMI has led to an expansion in the gains of US Treasury prices during the day, and the drop in US stock prices has also widened at one point.
Futu Morning Report | The target point for the end of next year is 6,500 points! Citi urges to seize the opportunity of S&P 500's pullback; on the eve of New Year's Day, Hong Kong stocks will be closed this afternoon.
The US stock market will close on January 9 to mourn former President Carter, a tradition that has been in place for a century; it is expected that the US East Coast will be colder than usual in January, and the price of Henry Hub Natural Gas skyrocketed by 20%; the antitrust investigation passed, and NVIDIA officially completed its acquisition of the AI startup Run:ai.
Top 20 by transaction volume | Tesla fell over 3%, with a transaction volume exceeding 27 billion USD; Bitcoin briefly dropped below 92,000 USD, MicroStrategy fell over 8%.
On Monday, the top traded stock in the US was Tesla, which closed down 3.30% with a trading volume of 26.673 billion dollars. The second was NVIDIA, which closed up 0.35% with a trading volume of 23.068 billion dollars. The third was Apple, which closed down 1.33% with a trading volume of 8.953 billion dollars.
What happened? The Christmas rally in U.S. stocks encountered setbacks, with Goldman Sachs warning that headwinds have exceeded tailwinds in the past two days.
Goldman Sachs estimates that recent rebalancing by retirement funds involved selling 27 million dollars in stocks, noting that retirement funds often begin a portion of their rebalancing trades one or two days in advance. Last Friday's sell-off, accompanied by rising US Treasury yields, was a strong signal indicating that this rebalancing is occurring, and the decline in US stocks last Friday is expected to trigger more CTA sell-offs in the coming days.
The U.S. stock market will be closed on January 9 to mourn former president Carter's passing, a tradition that has been in place for a hundred years.
① The U.S. stock market will be closed on January 9 next year to mourn former President Carter; ② Closing the market to commemorate former presidents is also a tradition in the American Financial market that has lasted for over a hundred years; ③ It is reported that the Bonds market will close early at 2 PM on January 9.
Nasdaq Composite Leads Indexes Lower in Tech Pullback-- WSJ