Futu Morning Post | Interest rate cut expectations heat up, S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs again; "Congress Mountain Female Stock God" Pelosi strikes again! Betting on Broadcom and Nvidia.
Fed minutes: Waiting for more information to gain confidence in rate cuts, with the majority of officials believing that the economy is gradually cooling; U.S. June ISM services unexpectedly fell sharply below expectations, with the rate of contraction the fastest in four years.
Are there risks of the US stock market returning to the 1930s?
Richard Bernstein believes that although the current US stock market appears to be full of bubbles and rises highly concentrated in large cap stocks, considering that current corporate profits are accelerating and the banking system is performing well, it is unlikely to trigger another economic crisis.
US stocks rose slightly in early trading, with the three major indexes up. Tesla rose by nearly 4%, and the second-generation humanoid robot Optimus will make its debut for the first time. US stocks will close early today and will be closed tomorrow.
The US stock market opened mostly flat on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 index closing above 5,500 points for the first time in the previous trading day. The private sector employment in the US increased by only 150,000 in June according to ADP report, lower than expected and indicating a gradual cooling of labor demand. The US stock market will close early today and the trading volume is expected to be light.
Unexpected decline! ADP added 150,000 jobs in the United States in June, the lowest level in four months.
Services once again became the industry with the most new job openings. In June, the ADP services industry added 136,000 jobs, far exceeding the 14,000 jobs in manufacturing.
US Stock Market Outlook | Unexpected Slump! US 'Small Non-Farms' Reach Four-Month Low; Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes to be Released Tonight, US Stock Market will Close Early Due to the Holiday.
"Fed Pronouncements": Powell talks about progress in inflation, bringing rate cuts back into view; did the market become conservative? Strategist: The Fed is expected to cut interest rates three times this year! Growth tech stocks fluctuate before the market, Tesla rises nearly 2%, while Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia fall slightly.
Futu Morning News | Technology stocks continue to soar! Tesla rose more than 10%, Apple and Amazon hit new highs together; Powell's latest statement: Significant progress in reducing inflation.
Biden will meet with Democratic governors to seek support, and several popular candidates for succession will attend. Tesla delivered 444,000 vehicles in the second quarter, higher than expected in the market. Apple is expected to gain a seat on the OpenAI board of directors as an observer.
Is the US labor market showing signs of losing momentum? Investors are closely watching two key reports this week.
The hot labor market has always been a key obstacle preventing the Fed from cutting interest rates.
US stocks in early trading | The three major indexes fluctuated slightly, with the Nasdaq slightly up; large technology stocks rose and fell, with Tesla up more than 7% and Nvidia down more than 1%.
The U.S. stock market opened lower on Tuesday, with major indices partially giving back the gains from the previous trading day. Investors are watching labor market data and a speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
A leading dove at the U.S. Federal Reserve has spoken out: policymakers should be prepared for interest rate cuts!
Gorsby believes that the inflation rate in the USA will reach 2%, and points out that there have been warning signs in the job market...
US Stock Market Preview | Powell's speech tonight is heart-wrenching; Q2 deliveries are higher than expected, Tesla's pre-market rises more than 4%.
It is recommended to take profits! Morgan Stanley: It's time to unwind short positions in US bonds; the US chip industry faces a labor shortage, and the Biden administration is investing heavily to address it; Maersk CEO: the interruption of Red Sea shipping will continue until the third quarter of this year; Tesla's Chinese deliveries in June decreased by 24% year-on-year, and its global production for the second quarter will be announced later.
Should one consider buying small cap stocks in the US at the moment?
Large cap stocks in the US stock market have much higher valuations than small cap stocks. As of the end of May, the median P/E ratio for the top 10% of stocks by market capitalization in the S&P 500 index was 21.9, while the median P/E ratio for the bottom 10% of stocks by market capitalization during the same period was 15.3, a discount of about 30% compared to the former.
US Stock Market Outlook: Three major futures indexes are slightly up before opening. Powell's heavyweight non-farm data will be released this week; Goldman Sachs warns that hedge funds are selling and shorting US stocks at the fastest pace in two years.
70 percent of the public question Biden's ability, but core members within the Democratic Party still support him: Biden should not withdraw from the race. Morgan Stanley says Trump's prospects have boosted yields on U.S. bonds, and the steepening yield curve makes trade more attractive. Tesla is about to announce Q2 delivery data and is expected to show a consecutive decline for the second quarter.
Futu Morning News | Key events in U.S. stocks! Russell Index Annual Rebalancing Effective on Monday; First Debate a "Performance Disaster," U.S. Legislators Call for Biden's Impeachment.
Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs bearish on US stocks; US stocks closed the first half of the year with a 14% increase, of which 60% came from the five major technology stocks, with Nvidia alone contributing more than 30%; The EU is increasing its scrutiny of AI giants, with OpenAI, Microsoft, and Google among them.
Weekly outlook | Powell's big attack with non-farmers may provide new monetary policy signals; US stocks will be closed for a day and a half starting Wednesday
The market will also look for further clues about the health of the US employment market from Tuesday's JOLTS vacancies, Wednesday's 'small non-farm' ADP employment figures for June, and initial jobless claims data.
Weekend reading | A precious interview with the "father of growth stock investment" Fisher: How to be a rare long-term investor?
In fact, Buffett himself has also stated that his investment style is 15% Fisher and 85% Graham.
US Stock Market Preview | US May core PCE annual rate drops to a new three-year low, three major futures indexes slightly up.
The first half of the year has been a strong period for the US stock market and it will face three major challenges in the future; Nike's pre-market trading fell nearly 15%, and the company's fourth quarter revenue fell short of expectations.
One graphic to understand | the June bull and bear stocklist of U.S. stocks is released! Optional consumer and technology sectors are performing strongly, Arm rose more than 38%, and Adobe rose nearly 23%.
The three major US stock indexes rose collectively this month, putting a perfect end to the first half of the year. Large-cap tech stocks continued their rally, driving the Nasdaq up by 6.71% this month, the best performer. The S&P 500 rose 3.89% this month and the Dow Jones rose 1.23%.
Futu Early Report | The first debate of the 2024 US election is about to begin! Focusing on these four major issues; all eyes on it! The Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicators will be released tonight.
Bowman reiterated that he is not prepared to cut interest rates until more pronounced inflation recedes; Bank of America: If the yen falls to 164.5, the risk of Japanese authorities intervening in the market will increase; The US Senate committee has launched an investigation into 18 oil producers.
IMF has once again strongly criticized the United States, discussing deficits, debt, trade, and banks.
On Thursday, International Monetary Fund (IMF) made unusually harsh criticism against its largest shareholder, the United States, involving the US deficit, debt, trade rules, and banking regulations. IMF stated that the US deficit is too large, and the country is burdened with too much debt, and warned of the dangers of the country's increasingly aggressive trade policies. In its annual assessment of the US economy, IMF staff stated that a large fiscal deficit has led to a sustained rise in the ratio of public debt to GDP. The continued expansion of trade restrictions and insufficient progress in addressing the vulnerabilities exposed by the 2023 banking collapse pose significant downside risks.
Preview of US Stocks | All three futures indices weaken collectively, Micron drops over 5% pre-market; Betting on a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve! Inflow of funds into the popular "TLT Treasury Bond ETF" sets a record.
Tesla has no rivals in the EV field! Stifel, an American investment bank, highly recommends it as a technology giant, with a target price of up to 265 US dollars. Trump's media technology group rose more than 4% before the market opened, as the first television debate between Trump and Biden is about to take place. Novo Nordisk: will restrict the sales of Semaglutide in China.