US stock preview | The Federal Reserve interest rate meeting is coming tonight; pre-market trading surged nearly 53%! USA space concept stock LUNR won a contract worth nearly 5 billion US dollars.
Apple has been surpassed by Xiaomi again after 3 years, falling to the third largest mobile phone brand in the world in August; United States Steel rose nearly 4% in pre-market trading, and the CEO said he is confident that the acquisition deal will eventually be approved by the US government; Another major bank is strongly bullish on gold: it will rise to $2900 next year.
Bullish on US stocks | More policy support! Li Auto Inc. jumped over 12% overnight; Rate cut expectations boost credit card companies to hit new historical highs.
Heavy investment! Blackrock joined hands with Microsoft to bet on the AI track, reaching the $900 mark overnight and hitting a new historical high, with a 1.04% increase; target price was raised by major bank analysts! Applovin, a mobile advertising technology company, soared more than 6% overnight, surging more than 40% in the past 5 trading days, and has risen more than 200% so far this year, creating a new historical high again.
Daily options tracking | Bullish signals everywhere! Intel's multiple call options have doubled in premium and surged; Gold ETF trading is hot, with the call-to-put ratio climbing to 63%.
Tesla's trading volume yesterday surged 30% compared to the previous trading day, reaching 1.22 million shares. The call option chain skyrocketed to 65%. Among the options chain, the long positions occupy the main position, with the largest volume being the call option with a strike price of $235 expiring this Friday, with a volume of 0.1 million shares.
Tonight, the world is paying close attention! The "giant ship" of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will officially set sail.
①For the global financial markets, tonight is destined to be a sleepless night... ②As scheduled, the Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce the September interest rate decision at 2:00 AM Beijing time on Thursday; ③It is generally expected in the industry that the Federal Reserve will announce the first rate cut in 4 years at this meeting, with little suspense, but at the same time, this is also the most 'mysterious' or uncertain Federal Reserve interest rate night in recent years.
The historically 'most difficult to predict' Federal Reserve meeting is here! Dalio supports the CEO of Morgan Stanley: the magnitude of the interest rate cut is not important.
① Dalio emphasized that in the long run, the Fed's actions this week will ultimately "have no impact"; ② According to him, based on the overall situation of the US economy, a slight interest rate cut by the Fed this week, with a magnitude of 25 basis points, is appropriate.
How much will the Federal Reserve cut tonight? New Bond King: 50 basis points, Dalio: 25 basis points, Damon: None of this matters.
Before, the new bond king called for support for a 50 basis point rate cut, the Fed is already 'behind the curve'; while Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater, stated that 'a 25 basis point rate cut is the right move', JPMorgan CEO Dimon has taken a 'cool' attitude: 'Whether it's a 25 basis point cut or a 50 basis point cut, this move 'will not be earth-shattering'.
The Fed's interest rate cut is coming tonight! Wall Street economists: It will start the era of dollar depreciation.
On Thursday morning Beijing time, the global market will witness a significant moment: the announcement of the September interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Point72 Asset Management's strategist and economist Sofia Delrosso believes that this rate cut by the Fed will be a major moment, marking the official entry of the US dollar into a downward trend and providing a boost to the economies in other parts of the world.
Futu Morning News | Rate cut countdown! US stocks continue to break records; Bank of America: Long the seven giants of US stocks is still the most crowded trade.
"New美联储通讯社": The situation is complex, and there are still doubts about the magnitude of the Fed's first rate cut; if the Fed's first cut is done "properly", the record-breaking betting on a significant rate cut may face huge risks; Apple's iPhone 16 series pre-order sales in the first weekend fell short of expectations, analysts: the long-term outlook remains optimistic.
Top 20 transaction volume | Microsoft rose nearly 1%, planning to buy back up to 60 billion US dollars and increase dividend; Walmart fell more than 2%, has cleared all the shares of Dada holdings.
Microsoft, the top trading volume in the US stock market on Tuesday, fell by 1.02%, with a trading volume of $26.993 billion. Tesla, the second place, rose by 0.48%, with a trading volume of $15.367 billion. Apple, the third place, rose by 0.22%, with a trading volume of $9.84 billion.
US stocks in early trading | The three major indexes rose collectively, Chinese concept stocks and technology stocks strengthened collectively, Li Auto Inc rose nearly 9%, Tesla rose over 3%.
USA retail sales exceeded expectations in August, indicating that the consumer situation in the USA remains healthy. The Federal Reserve will begin its two-day monetary policy meeting today and announce the meeting results tomorrow. Wedbush brokerage stated that AI stocks like Nvidia will benefit from the Fed's rate cut.
Preview of US stocks | August retail sales data exceeds expectations, three major futures indices slightly rise; Bullish news frequently! Intel pre-market up nearly 7%.
Microsoft is giving out "red envelopes": dividend increase of 10%, planning to repurchase up to 60 billion US dollars; "New Fed Communication Agency" reiterated uncertainty: the magnitude of the first interest rate cut is still suspenseful.
Futu Morning Post | Senators jointly write to Powell, urging a 75 basis point rate cut this week; Intel to customize AI chips for amazon, with stock soaring over 11% after hours.
Barclays argues that if Trump implements unilateral forex intervention to weaken the US dollar, the cost will be too high; Ultraman has left the OpenAI safety and security committee, which will be chaired by Zico Kolter.
US stock market preview | Three major futures show mixed trends, Apple falls more than 2% before the market; Has the expectation of interest rate cuts changed again? Multiple senior central bank journalists speak out: There should be a 50 basis point rate
Trump Media Technology Group's pre-market rose nearly 2%, Trump suspected of being targeted for "assassination attempt" again; Intel pre-market rose more than 1%, news said it received a $3.5 billion subsidy to produce chips for the U.S. military; U.S. stocks survived the "summer storm", but this time it all relied on "S&P 493".
The US stock market survived the "summer storm", but this time it relied entirely on the "S&P 493".
Since mid-July, the seven major technology stocks in the US stock market have fallen by 5.3%, while the S&P 500 index has fallen by less than 1%. The rise of other companies outside the 'Big Seven' has offset most of the decline in technology stocks, with the real estate and utilities sectors both rising by 11%.
After two reports shook the market last week, another senior central bank journalist has spoken out: interest rates should be cut by 50 basis points!
Senior reporter Greg Ip believes that the current actual short-term interest rate has reached 3.2% to 3.5%, while the "neutral" actual interest rate range considered by the Federal Reserve officials is only 0.5% to 1.5%. The Federal Reserve should start cutting interest rates in July. If this time they only cut by 25 basis points, and if there are more weak data released in the future, the Federal Reserve will fall further behind market expectations.
Critical moment! Trump suspected of another assassination attempt, Harris: Absolutely intolerable!
On Sunday Eastern Time, US Republican presidential candidate Trump encountered a "suspected assassination attempt" at his golf club in West Palm Beach, Florida. After the incident, Trump is currently unharmed, and the suspect has been arrested. The FBI is investigating. Just 9 weeks ago, Trump narrowly escaped another assassination attempt.
Futu Express | Will the Fed's 'first cut' be fifty-fifty on the scale? This week will reveal the answer; the rate cut expectations trigger a 'golden tsunami'! Gold continues to refresh its highs.
Consumer confidence in the United States has risen to a new high since May, but remains cautious. For the first time in history, hedge funds have a net short position on Brent crude oil. Will the AI boom turn around? S&P Global predicts that NVIDIA's stock price could rise for at least another year.
Is the Fed about to take major action? The market is betting on a 50 basis point rate cut, causing a frenzy in the technology and cryptocurrency markets!
This week, enthusiasm in the technology, cryptos, and junk bonds markets has once again heated up, boosting the confidence of fund managers, as they expect policymakers to potentially rare cut interest rates by half a percentage point.
The suspense of the Fed interest rate cut will be revealed next week! The interest rate dot plot and the expected unemployment rate are eagerly awaited by everyone.
According to a survey of economists, the Fed is very likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next meeting and the following two meetings.
Others fear my greed! The emotional reversal suggests that September is the golden opportunity to lay out US stocks!
Analysts say that investors tend to be overly optimistic when the market is booming and overly pessimistic when the market is declining. This is why sentiment readings are considered to be contrarian indicators.