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U.S. stock market early session | The Nasdaq rose slightly, reaching a new high during the session! Most Cryptos concept stocks increased, with RIOT rising by 6%.
On the evening of the 13th in Peking, the US stock market opened higher on Friday. After Broadcom released its Earnings Reports, its stock price surged, leading to a widespread increase in Technology stocks. The USA's import price Index for November was higher than expected. The market focus shifts to next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week seems very likely! The market is focusing on the latest economic forecast.
Investors generally believe that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the meeting on December 17-18, and will focus more on the new economic forecasts released by decision-makers at the same time they make their decision.
Trump discusses the possibility of war between the US and Iran: anything is possible, the situation is very unstable.
① The elected President Trump of the USA stated in a recent interview that he does not rule out the possibility of war between the USA and Iran; ② According to previous media reports, Trump will continue to exert maximum pressure on Iran during his second term.
US Stock Outlook | Is the unemployment rate in the USA showing warning signs? Societe Generale warns: there will be a risk of recession next year; AI chip stocks are soaring in pre-market, Broadcom has risen over 17% after earnings.
Meta has released a new AI model that will enhance the Metaverse experience; with multiple Bullish factors combined, Taiwan Semiconductor rose over 2% in pre-market trading; Eli Lilly and Co's Mounjaro has replaced Novo-Nordisk A/S's Wegovy, becoming the new favorite weight loss drug in the United Kingdom.
Daily Options Tracking | Broadcom surged over 14% before the market opens! Multiple Call orders are being placed in advance; the popularity of the Bitcoin mining company RIOT suddenly increased! The Options market is bullish up to 20 dollars.
Overnight, the Nasdaq fell from its historical Top Reversal, and major Technology stocks in the US generally declined, with a decrease in trading activity in the Options Chain. NVIDIA dropped over 1%, with Options Volume falling to 2.7 million contracts, while the Call ratio slightly decreased to 66.6%. On the Options Chain, the Calls expiring today with strike prices of $140/$138/$137 were the most popular, each with a Volume of over 0.11 million contracts.
Can global central banks transition from draining to releasing liquidity, allowing the stock market to surge again?
If the drying up of liquidity has not posed a significant obstacle to the market this year, will the improvement of liquidity next year become a tailwind for driving the market?
Criticism from two Democrats: Musk's Government Efficiency Department is "doomed to fail."
In the view of Democrats, Musk's DOGE Department of Government Efficiency is destined to fail because it focuses on the wrong objectives, employs the wrong methods, and has leadership issues. They believe that if DOGE wants to make a contribution, it should abandon its absolute monetary goals and instead focus on improving the Institutions' efficiency of government projects.
The short sellers in the US stock market have almost all turned bullish! Now only two Institutions remain bearish.
Wall Street is generally optimistic about the US stock market in 2025. Will these two Institutions become the "right minority"?
Futu Morning News | The Central Economic Work Conference has set the tone! Next year, the fiscal deficit rate needs to be increased; Broadcom soared over 15% after hours! Q4 profit exceeded expectations.
Inflation unexpectedly accelerates! In November, the USA PPI month-on-month growth rate reached the highest increase since June; AI transformation faces challenges! Adobe's performance forecast fell short of expectations, dropping more than 13% after the earnings report.
From the perspective of Fed Governor Waller, CPI indicates that inflation is moving in the wrong direction.
According to the so-called Waller rule, the breadth of inflation is increasing.
U.S. stock market morning | The three major indexes weakened slightly, Adobe fell over 12% after earnings; popular China Concept Stocks rose against the trend, with MINISO up more than 5%.
On the evening of December 12, Peking time, US stocks opened mixed on Thursday. Adobe's Earnings Reports were disappointing, leading to a sharp decline in stock price. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the USA unexpectedly increased last week, and the PPI for November rose more than expected. The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the fourth time this year.
Annual review | The top ten explosive stocks in the US stock market for 2024 have been released! Applovin emerges as the dark horse of the year in AI, MSTR astonishes the market with a fivefold increase for the year, and Tesla makes a comeback in the last
As of the market close on December 11, the S&P 500 Index has risen by 27% year-to-date, surpassing 6,000 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index has accumulated a rise of over 33%, reaching a milestone of 0.02 million points, exceeding market expectations.
US stock market outlook | The three major futures indices show slight weakness, with both PPI and initial jobless claims data exceeding expectations; poor earnings guidance leads to Adobe dropping over 10% in pre-market trading.
Central Economic Work Conference: Implement more proactive and effective macro policies to expand domestic demand; not swayed by CPI, the U.S. bond market is more concerned with employment data; The Kroger rose more than 2.4% in pre-market trading and announced it would repurchase 7.5 billion dollars in stocks after the merger deal with Albertsons Companies fell through.
Express News | Central Economic Work Conference: Implement a more proactive macro policy, expand domestic demand, promote the integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation development, and stabilize the property and stock markets.
Daily Options tracking | Google surged for two consecutive days! The highest increase for call options was nearly 14 times; Tesla's stock price reached an all-time high, and Options trading continued to be explosive.
NVIDIA rose over 3%, with Options trading on that day reaching 3.1893 million contracts, and the proportion of Call Options has been increasing for several days, currently at 68.5%. Among these, the Call Options with a strike price of $140 expiring on December 13 had the highest Volume, with 0.269 million contracts traded.
The worst start to a new fiscal year! The budget deficit in the USA is soaring.
Government spending in the USA has surged, and Musk's government efficiency department is expected to accomplish great things, but any cuts to spending could provoke resistance...
US Stock Market Gold Mining | Five major Technology giants soar together! Tesla joins hands with Google, Amazon, and others to create historical highs; Broadcom jumps over 6%, partnering with Apple to produce AI Chips, the market focuses on tonight's perf
Unexpectedly turned a profit, GameStop's performance exceeded Wall Street expectations, soaring over 7% after the announcement; semiconductor materials and equipment company Astera reached a new high, with an increase of 240% since going public this year.
Futu Morning Post | Pushing US Stocks to Reach New Highs? Trump will ring the opening bell for the NYSE on Thursday; star tech stocks hit new highs, and Bitcoin will rise to 0.1 million dollars
The AI transformation was bumpy, and Adobe's revenue outlook for 2025 fell below expectations, falling more than 8% after the market; Apple launched Siri integrated with ChatGPT, and it is reported that the iPhone SE 4 will be released around March next year.
NASDAQ reaches 20,000 point milestone! Tesla led a group of tech giants to reach new highs. Has the Christmas market started?
Historically, every year on the seven trading days after Christmas, that is, the five trading days at the end of the year and the first two trading days of the following year, investors tend to go long, and US stocks are likely to rise. This seven-day market is called the “Christmas market.” The data shows that in the past 70 years, the S&P 500 index has an 80% chance of rising in these seven trading days.
The USA CPI is as expected; did the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December become stable?
The latest CPI report indicates that inflation is not worse than expected, and analysts believe this paves the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.