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Home Prices Set to Rise in Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia in 2025
The transaction of second-hand houses in Hong Kong is slowing down, and the CSI has once again fallen below the 50-point threshold.
Yang Mingyi, Senior Joint Director of the research department of CRIC, pointed out that the CRIC Broker Index CSI (residential sale price) latest report is 49.36 points, a decrease of 1.79 points from last week's 51.15 points.
Standard & Poor's expects that Hong Kong property prices will stabilize next year, raising the sales volume forecast for new projects to 0.02 million units.
Rating agency Standard & Poor's released a report stating that after a nearly 30% decline in high Hong Kong property prices in 2021, they are expected to stabilize next year. However, local developers are still struggling, mainly due to high inventory, and the recognition of residential projects purchased during the period of high land prices will further pressure profit margins. Nevertheless, Standard & Poor's believes that with the government relaxing housing market measures and interest rates trending downwards, they have revised their forecast for next year's new home sales volume to 0.02 million units. In addition, Standard & Poor's expects that the future three to four years' new supply may exceed 80% of the government's ten-year private residential supply target.
Express News | Standard & Poor's has raised its forecast for the residential sales volume in Hong Kong in 2025, expecting housing prices to stabilize.
Express News | Hong Kong's second-hand property price index rose by 1.24% on a week-on-week basis.
HKMA: Interest rates may remain at relatively high levels for a period of time.
The Federal Reserve in the USA cut interest rates by 0.25 basis points. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority stated that as expected by the market, the Fed further lowered interest rates, implementing a looser monetary policy. However, the future pace of rate cuts depends on the economic data in the USA, which will be affected by fiscal and economic trade policies, thus there are still many variables. Additionally, since the monetary policy environments of major economies are not necessarily fully synchronized, the risk of global market volatility is worth noting. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority mentioned that the financial and monetary markets in Hong Kong are operating smoothly, with stable market liquidity and a stable exchange rate of the Hong Kong dollar. The Hong Kong dollar's interbank interest rates are generally approaching the US dollar rates under the linked exchange rate system, while shorter-term interbank rates.
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