How "Trump 2.0" governs will depend entirely on how the U.S. stock market performs? Understand in one article.
①Trump will start his second term from January next year, and the market's response to his economic agenda is complex; ②Analysts say that the US stock market may be an important means to check Trump, and he may remain vigilant against negative market reactions.
From supporting Mans to stopping Pompeo, what makes this time more impactful is Trump's eldest son: Donald Trump Jr.!
Now, Little Donald has more influence than Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
Futu Morning News | Official announcement! Trump nominates Benset to serve as usa Secretary of the Treasury; Goldman Sachs is bullish on US stocks: the s&p 500 will rise to 7000 points.
Goldman Sachs 2025 csi commodity equity index outlook: Long gold is the "Top Trade", oil & gas prices may see a "temporary uptrend"; USA PMI in November hit the fastest level since April 2022, factories increase purchases of imported inputs; USA election settled, consumer confidence lower than expected, long-term inflation expectations breaking through the range top.
The Federal Reserve's relief plan during the pandemic is now becoming a burden for companies, with a wave of loan defaults beginning to appear.
According to media reports, although most of the total loan amount of $17.5 billion for the 'Ordinary Business Loan Program' has been repaid, as of October 31 of this year, there are still $1.23 billion in interest and principal in default. The government regulatory agency responsible for overseeing the program expects that borrowing enterprises still face two major challenges, including a massive one-time repayment of up to 70% due next year and high interest rates, leading to a significant increase in the default rate.
Beware of the debt storm! The number one financial stability risk in the Federal Reserve survey is now "it"...
The semi-annual financial stability report released by the Federal Reserve on that day showed that concerns about the sustainability of US fiscal debt topped the list in this survey, followed by escalating tensions in the Middle East and policy uncertainty. This survey was conducted by New York Fed staff between the end of August and the end of October, with respondents including professionals from brokerage firms, funds, consulting companies, institutions, and academia.
The core logic behind the rise of the US stock market: the market bets that Trump will not allow the stock market to fall!
The U.S. stock market expects that after Trump takes office, he will introduce a series of bullish policies, including significant reductions in corporate tax rates and relaxing financial regulations, which further strengthens the market influence of the "Trump put options."