Pork prices have fallen for three consecutive months. Has the economic cycle failed?
Recently, pork prices have shown a continuous downward trend, and the industry’s prosperity cycle not only failed to continue but is also showing signs of gradual collapse. The Wind Pork Industry Index has significantly underperformed the market.
Costs for 90% of pig enterprises have dropped to the range of 14 yuan: many companies say there is still room for cost reduction. Will profits stabilize next year? | Industry Observation
1. The cost of 90% of the listed pig companies has dropped to the range of 14 yuan per kilogram, including five companies such as Sunlon, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuff Group, which have dropped to the range of 13 yuan per kilogram; 2. Several listed pig companies have indicated that there is still some room for cost reduction in the fourth quarter and next year; 3. Industry insiders believe that the cost reduction achievements have become a moat for the long-term development of pig companies, helping companies expand their profit margins and enhance their risk resistance capabilities.
In the fourth quarter, the pig prices staged an ultimate showdown between bulls and bears, determining whether the pig industry will be "fat or thin" next year. | Industry Observation
①The pork price has been falling continuously for two months in the traditional high season, with a decline of over 20%; ②Behind the decline, there is an increase in slaughtered pigs corresponding to the expansion of piglets, as well as a concentrated slaughter of secondary fattening pigs, jointly forming downward pressure; ③If the pork price in the fourth quarter is not prosperous in the 'peak season', the pig cycle may end directly if the uptrend in the pig cycle is realized, the pig enterprises and the breeding industry still have the hope of a 'good year' in 2025.
Demand for earthmoving machinery rises, domestic sales of excavators in September increase by more than 20%, will infrastructure recovery be boosted by debt restructuring? | Industry News
① In September, domestic excavator sales increased by nearly 20% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of double-digit positive growth in domestic sales. ② With the gradual implementation of equipment renewal subsidies and the accelerated construction of major domestic infrastructure projects, the industry is expected to gradually emerge from the downturn.
Pork prices are skyrocketing, combined with a bull market 'pouring wealth from the sky', pig enterprises are expected to regain their king status.
After a period of correction, the pork prices are showing a "thunderous takeoff" trend.
In September, the group's pig farming enterprises actively slaughtered, and the profitability of Q4 breeding may continue | Industry Trends
1. The pig price continues to rebound, combined with continuous cost decline, leading to a simultaneous increase in volume and price of pig enterprises in the third quarter. 2. In September, the average sales price of the group's pig enterprises ranged between 18.6 yuan/kg and 19 yuan/kg, with the majority of pig enterprises' breeding costs around 14 yuan/kg, and the profitability of breeding companies is considerable. 3. It is widely believed in the industry that there is still profit space expected for pig enterprises in the fourth quarter.