Yen surges! Has the Bank of Japan decided not to raise interest rates?
Officials from the Bank of Japan believe that there is almost no cost in waiting for the next rate hike, and the yen plummeted upon hearing this.....
Is an interest rate hike being hinted at? The Bank of Japan has unusually scheduled a speech and press conference for January.
Analysis suggests that regional speeches generally provide council members with more freedom to express their views on mmf policy, and also give central banks the opportunity to allow market participants to adjust their expectations. An increasing number of economists expect that the central bank will raise interest rates at the January meeting.
Japan's basic salary increase in October reached a record high, creating conditions for the central bank to raise interest rates again.
Japan's official employees' basic wage increase hit a record high, further indicating that the Japanese economy is moving towards a positive cyclical development, which will support market speculation on the recent interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan.
Raising the income tax threshold, japan once again proposed a large-scale stimulus plan, and the market is increasingly believing in a rate hike in December.
Japan's individual income tax threshold will be significantly raised from the current $6,640 to $11,500. Analysts believe that this measure will inject more disposable income into the Japanese economy, easing long-term pressures such as population decline and aging. However, there are also opponents who believe that this is a reckless fiscal expansion, which may exacerbate income inequality, lead to rapid inflation, and possibly pave the way for a rate hike in December.
Japan plans to launch a multi-trillion yen economic stimulus package, with a focus on investing in the chip and AI sectors.
① Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba will launch a 21.9 trillion yen economic stimulus plan to address challenges such as inflation and wage growth, with cabinet approval expected on Friday; ② The plan includes support for the continuous growth of wages in japan, investments in the semiconductors and ai sectors, and the restoration of subsidies for henry hub natural gas and electricity starting from January next year.
Strong exports to China drove Japan's overall exports in October to exceed expectations by more than 3%.
Led by the growth in shipments of chip manufacturing equipment and medical supplies; Japan's exports to China and other Asian countries increased, while exports to the United States and Europe declined.