"Trump trade" fizzled out, what is the market worried about?
The market is concerned that if Trump really fulfills his campaign promises, especially on tariff policy, the usa may see larger deficits and soaring inflation, immigrant workers being deported, which could lead to a significant decline in economic growth.
Market doubts policy difficult to implement, traders' enthusiasm for the "Trump trade" cools down.
After initially rushing into the 'Trump trade', some investors in certain asset classes are gradually lowering their enthusiasm, as they question whether Trump will pursue his ambitious tariff proposals as the President of the USA.
Schroder Investment: How will Trump's victory affect the global economy and stock market?
He promised further tax cuts and regulatory easing, while imposing additional tariffs and tightening immigration policies, this series of policies will have a re-inflationary effect on the economy of the usa.
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Trump is making a comeback, Goldman Sachs has lowered economic growth expectations for countries in Europe such as Germany and the United Kingdom.
①Goldman Sachs predicts that Trump's protectionist policies will harm Europe's economy, especially Germany; ②Goldman Sachs has lowered its economic growth expectations for Europe, expecting trade tensions to affect European exports and economic growth; ③Trump's questioning of NATO's role may lead European countries to increase defense spending, affecting business confidence.
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Trump's re-election dividend: small-cap stocks may become investment winners, dividend-paying stocks benefit from policy bullishness.
When investors consider the potential impact of Trump defeating Harris, they should not overlook dividend stocks.
Trump's victory sparked a frenzy of rotation in US stocks: bank stocks soared, stock indices rose by more than 10%, energy stocks surged, and photovoltaic stocks collapsed.
Benefiting from expectations of relaxed financial regulation, major US banks such as Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley all rose by more than 10%; renewable energy stocks plummeted, with solar energy stocks like Sunrun falling by at least 10%; Bitcoin hitting a record high drove up the overall crypto concept stocks, with the largest US crypto exchange Coinbase closing up by 31%.
USA Election: The overall situation is settled, what lies ahead?
Trump leads in all 7 swing states. The Republican Party controls the Senate and is highly likely to control the House of Representatives. Such a significant lead indicates a rightward shift in the American political spectrum, with Republican political influence rising. American society may once again shift from 'pursuing fairness' to 'pursuing efficiency.'
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Goldman Sachs quick take on Trump's victory: will only slightly reduce taxes, limited impact of tariffs on the economy.
Goldman Sachs believes that if the Republican Party wins a slim majority in the House of Representatives, the expected tax reduction is only expected to account for a fraction of a percentage point of GDP, mainly targeting individual income taxes rather than corporate taxes; in terms of tariffs, automotive tariffs will become a focus and moderately drag on GDP; in terms of regulations, the Trump administration may take a more lenient approach.
Trump returns to the White House! Looking back at his previous term, which type of assets performed the best?
In the face of the upcoming "Trump 2.0" era, considering the similarities in his campaign policies with the previous term, investors may find insights from history: which type of assets performed best during Trump's first term?
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U.S. Stock Market Outlook: Trump wins, market shifts entirely to Trump trade! DJT soars 37% pre-market, Tesla rises over 12%
Delisting crisis worsens! super micro computer Q2 guidance falls short of expectations, annual report release time still uncertain; The next step for the Federal Reserve: Trump's influence is far greater than Powell's.
Opinion | After Trump's election victory, what other issues are worth paying attention to?
Of course, after 'completing the drama', what's worth paying attention to are the unresolved questions after the election: the most pressing one is the control of the other half of Congress, the House of Representatives, which will directly impact the progress of inflation in the USA, and the external environment China will face next year. Another issue is Trump's real policy demands. We still believe that there might be discrepancies between Trump's policy layout during the new term and his statements during the campaign, so it's crucial to seize the time window after the election for hints from the presidential speeches and personnel nominations.
[Real-time Tracking of the Election] Trump officially wins the usa election.
On November 5th, USA will hold the 60th presidential election, the current vice president Harris and former president Trump will officially compete. Finance Associated Press will track and report the latest developments of this election, so please stay tuned.