The Fed paused rate cuts as betting on rate hikes heats up! Traders expect an 80% probability of a pause in January next year, with Goldman Sachs expecting a slowdown in rate cuts.
Cme tools show that the probability of pausing rate cuts in December is about 35% in the futures market this Friday, and the probability of pausing in January next year is about 78%. The probabilities announced by the Federal Reserve before the rate cuts on Thursday are 33% and 67% respectively. Goldman Sachs currently predicts rate cuts of 25 basis points in June and September next year, compared to the previous forecast of May and June.
Trading Volume TOP20 | Tesla soared 29% this week, Musk may become a member of the Trump administration; Coinbase closed up nearly 6%.
Eli Lilly and Co, ranked sixth in US stocks trading volume, rose by 4.27%, with a turnover of $5.981 billion; Applovin, an online gaming and advertising company, ranked eleventh, rose by 17.64%, with a turnover of $4.146 billion; Upstart, an ai-driven lending institution, ranked sixteenth, increased by 46.02%, with a turnover of $3.072 billion.
U.S. stocks closed | The three major indexes hit record highs together! Tesla rose more than 8%, market cap exceeded 1 trillion U.S. dollars.
Trump Media Technology Group rebounded by more than 15%; NVIDIA hit a new intraday high before falling back, ending its five consecutive gains.
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Will the interest rate be cut by 25 basis points next month? Analyst: No one can say for sure what the next move by the Federal Reserve will be.
The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, but there is more uncertainty about the speed of future rate cuts, and the market has reduced bets on another rate cut in December. Based on current observations, the dot plot forecast for September seems to have become a 'joke'.
US stock market morning session | The three major indexes rose together, with Tesla up more than 3%, breaking through the $300 mark; Chinese concept stocks generally trended lower, with ke holdings down more than 6%.
On the evening of the 8th peking time, the US stock market opened with mixed gains and losses on Friday. After Trump's victory, investors are weighing the possibility of the Republican Party simultaneously controlling both houses of Congress in the usa, and are paying attention to the latest rate cut measures of the Federal Reserve and the future interest rate path.
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Trump's presidency accelerates the bull market in US stocks! Wall Street investment banks: next year, the s&p 500 is expected to reach 6600 points.
①Analyst Julian Emmanuel of Evercore ISI stated that the US stock market bull market is still in its early stages, and the upward momentum will accelerate during the upcoming Trump presidency; ②Emmanuel expects the S&P 500 index to reach 6600 points by the end of next June, which means there is still an 11% upside potential for the index from the current level.
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