How to conduct 'Trump trade' in the market?
Taking everything into consideration, the 'Trump trade' leads to rising US bond yields, a stronger US dollar, and a higher certainty of bitcoin increasing, which trades more on the upside against US stocks and copper prices, while leaning bearish on gold, with uncertain impacts on oil prices. Based on the trading results from the previous market, the 'Trump trade' is not 'bearish for copper and oil, bullish for gold', indicating a certain divergence from the judgment based on policies.
Democrats can't laugh! The latest polls show Republicans will sweep both the Senate and the House of Representatives.
①The latest polls and market forecasts both show that the Republican Party will win a majority of seats in both the Senate and the House of Representatives; ②If this prediction comes true, then even if the Democratic candidate Harris wins, she will only serve as a "lame duck president" constrained by Congress.
There is a high probability of Trump returning to the White House! The estimated valuation of his social media exceeds that of the biggest competitor X.
① Thanks to the recent sharp rise in the stock price of the Trump Media Technology Group, the latest valuation of Trump's self-created social media platform, Truth Social, has exceeded that of X, which is owned by Musk; ② As of Tuesday, the stock price of Truth Social's parent company, the Trump Media Technology Group, has skyrocketed 333% from the low point reached at the end of September, with a valuation climbing to 10.6 billion US dollars.
This 'pure donald trump concept stock' tripled in October.
As the USA election day approaches, investors especially retail investors are betting heavily on Trump winning, Trump Media Company triggered trading halts five times in intraday trading on Tuesday, with the stock price soaring 220% this month.
Taking a big gamble on the USA election! Overseas political gambling markets are thriving like never before, with the mainstream prediction platforms soaring in popularity.
1. The US presidential election has turned into a large-scale gambling event, and the gambling market has experienced unprecedented prosperity; 2. Some prediction platforms that allow users to bet on politics, such as Polymarket and Kalshi, have seen explosive growth in popularity; 3. In October, the betting amount on the Polymarket website was close to 2 billion US dollars, about four times the 0.533 billion US dollars in September.
Futu Morning Post | Global asset frenzy! Nasdaq, gold hit record highs, bitcoin nearing historical highs; Cloud business strong growth! Google up nearly 6% after hours.
Da Ma: US stocks have not fully priced in a Trump victory; The "fear index" VIX has turned net long for the first time since 2018; AMD fell more than 7% after-hours, fourth-quarter revenue outlook fell short of analyst's expectations.