Weekly Outlook | Key data such as CPI and PPI from the USA will be released, which may continue to bring volatility to the market; the Q4 Earnings Reports season for US stocks officially begins, with large bank stocks and Taiwan Semiconductor among those
China will announce the GDP growth rate for the entire year of 2024, the year-on-year GDP for the fourth quarter, the total GDP for the year 2024, the year-on-year retail sales of consumer goods for December, and the year-on-year added value of industrial enterprises above designated size for December.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path has changed! Wall Street is beginning to discuss whether to pause rate cuts or not cut at all.
A "surprising" non-farm payroll report caused a sudden change in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path.
The U.S. stock market has "returned to the state before the election overnight". What comes next?
Some Analysts are concerned that US Treasury yields may continue to soar. On the other hand, inflation in the USA exceeding expectations might lead the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate cuts or even raise rates, further impacting the US stock market.
What will happen on the first day of Trump's presidency?
Over the weekend, multiple significant pieces of news about Trump were reported!
Has the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle possibly ended.
In December, the non-farm payroll employment in the USA exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate was also lower than expected. The "New Federal Reserve News Agency" commented that the employment report shuts the door on a rate cut in January.
Liquidity "stress test": When will the Federal Reserve end the reduction of its balance sheet?
SWHY believes that the "normalization" of the Federal Reserve's unconventional MMF policy has a certain order, but it cannot be mechanically referenced to historical experience, as the opening of the interest rate cut cycle does not necessarily mean that the end of balance sheet reduction is just around the corner. The guiding principle for the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction is to change the state of reserve supply from "excess" to "adequate," which means that it should end the reduction before reaching a "shortage."
After the non-farm payroll report hit hard, Wall Street is "dizzy": Is the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate cuts, or completely not lowering them at all?
① The unexpectedly high figures have prompted Wall Street Analysts to adjust their determinations on the USA Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts; ② A relatively unified opinion is that there is no possibility of an interest rate cut in this month's meeting, nor is it very likely in March, with significant differences in determinations afterward; ③ At this critical moment, USA Consumer inflation expectations have sharply risen, and Biden has again demonstrated the White House's ability to stir up the Energy market before leaving office.
On the eve of a big drop on Friday, David Einhorn, who became famous for profiting during the Lehman crisis, stated that the structure of the U.S. stock market is collapsing.
David Einhorn stated that due to the rise of passive investing and investors placing more importance on price rather than value, overvalued Stocks become even more overvalued and undervalued Stocks become even more undervalued. This phenomenon distorts market value and plants significant hidden risks.
"Returning to the pre-liberation era overnight"! The U.S. stock market has erased its gains after the election, and the employment report worries Wall Street about a "double loss" in stocks and bonds.
Measured by the performance of the largest Global ETF tracking the S&P and long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, the total returns of U.S. stocks and bonds have been negative for five consecutive weeks, marking the longest streak of negative returns since September 2023. Friday's non-farm payroll report raised concerns among traders about the Federal Reserve closing the door on this round of easing.
Traders Push Back Rate-cut Expectations for 2025 After Hot December Jobs Report
U.S. stock market early session | The three major Indexes all declined, with the Nasdaq down over 2%; Technology stocks plummeted, with AMD falling more than 5%; Blue-chip stocks surged against the trend! Pharmacy stock WBA rose over 25%.
On the evening of October 10 in Peking, US stocks opened lower on Friday. The surge in US bond yields put pressure on the stock indices, with the 30-year US bond yield rising to 5%. The non-farm payroll data for December significantly exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate fell, leading investors to lower their expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
December US Nonfarm Payrolls Rise More Than Expected, Unemployment Rate Slows
U.S. Stock Outlook | Non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, leading to a short-term plunge in the three major futures indices; high-performing stocks surged, with pharmacy stock WBA rising over 13% in pre-market, and Delta Air Lines climbing over 9%
NVIDIA slightly fell before the market opened, and AMD dropped over 2% before the market opened, as the USA plans to tighten the export of AI Chips from NVIDIA and AMD; several Federal Reserve voting members have spoken out, hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts; sources say that the USA Treasury is expected to release a statement detailing new sanctions on Russian oil later on Friday.
The Global Technology feast CES "money-making gift package" is coming! A summary of five major investment opportunities.
This year's largest Technology event has brought us many interesting new products. This article mainly reviews for mooers the major trends in consumer electronics investment focused on at the CES 2025.
This week's U.S. stock market winners | The technology event CES ignited stock prices! Micron Technology rose over 10% during the week; is the pullback a buying opportunity? The second-hand car platform Carvana saw a rebound this week.
This week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.23%, closing at 42,635.2 points; during the same period, the S&P 500 Index fell by 0.41%, closing at 5,918.25 points; the Nasdaq fell by 0.73%, closing at 19,478.88 points.
The USA Senate plans to hold a confirmation hearing for Treasury Secretary nominee Basant on January 16.
According to three sources, the Senate Finance Committee plans to hold a hearing on January 16 regarding the nomination of Scott Bessenet as the Secretary of the Treasury by the USA's incoming President Trump.
Morgan Stanley's outlook for the top ten investment trends in 2025: the revival of nuclear energy, the AI revolution in the financial Industry, quantum computing, oral weight loss medications...
Morgan Stanley pointed out that historically, popular themes with strong profit momentum tend to have a strong sustainability, such as AI, defense spending, and obesity drugs; negative prices and quantum computing are expected to emerge as new investment hotspots.
The first "non-farm payroll night" of 2025: Will the first data shock wave of the new year arrive?
① The U.S. Department of Labor will release the non-farm employment data for December tonight at 21:30 Beijing time. ② Against the backdrop of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield heading towards five, which serves as the 'anchor for global asset pricing,' the impact of tonight's data on the global market will undoubtedly be significant...
The biggest obstacle to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2025: inflation and Trump.
The anti-inflation process has stagnated, and meanwhile, under Republican control, several Congressional agendas will further increase inflation.
Futu Morning Brief | Is there a signal to "pause interest rate cuts"? Federal Reserve officials speak out collectively; Elon Musk live streams at CES, discussing ambitious plans, Tesla's robots are set to expand production by a hundredfold.
HSBC expects the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index to rise by 21% this year and has raised its year-end target; Tencent has continuously reduced its shareholding in WEIMOB INC and UBTECH, cashing out 1.67 billion Hong Kong dollars, with WEIMOB INC responding.