Weekly Hot List Highlights: The 'Trump trade' is back on! The US dollar and gold break negative correlation!
"Trump trade" restarts, gold, US dollar, and US stocks surge! Supply concerns are replaced by slowing demand, causing oil prices to plummet. Continuously heavyweight bullish news catalyze market enthusiasm, with "bullish on Chinese stocks" entering the hot trading list... What exciting market trends did you miss out on this week?
500 billion convenient business processes and operational details for exchange are all here! 20 brokerages and funds are ready.
The interest rate bonds obtained through swap transactions can only be pledged and cannot be sold; the pledge rate should not exceed 90% in principle. ChinaBond Inclusion monitoring is implemented, and the replenishment line is set at no less than 75%.
In September, the month-on-month decline in house prices in 70 cities narrowed, indicating a stronger signal of real estate stabilization.
①In September, the sales prices of residential commodities are still in a downward trend, but the downward trend has slightly slowed down, showing some initial signs of improvement; ②Analysts predict that in October, the price decline of new and second-hand houses in 70 cities will further narrow.
Central Bank's major announcement! Reserve ratio cut, interest rate cut, officially launching share buyback and shareholding refinancing.
Pan Gongsheng stated that it is expected to carefully assess the market liquidity situation before the end of the year, and opportunistically further lower the deposit reserve ratio by 0.25-0.5 percentage points; reduce the open market 7-day reverse repurchase operation rate by 0.2 percentage points.
Futu Morning Post | The US economy remains strong! Expectations for a Fed rate cut this year suffered another blow; the Dow continues to hit record highs! Taiwan Semiconductor surges nearly 10% after earnings, with a market cap exceeding $1 trillion.
After hours, it rose nearly 5%! Netflix's Q3 revenue and profits both exceed expectations, with unexpectedly more paying users; Insider: Tesla's FSD has not yet been approved for entry into China, Musk has sought to obtain some data.
sunac's 20% discount rights issue "extends life", who is the brave "white knight"?
Under the bullish policy stimulus, sunac has been crazy about issuing additional shares to 'extend its life'.
Policy is bullish, why did the real estate sector fall instead? Public interpretation of the meeting of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development and other five departments.
Why did the real estate sector fall despite the bullish news? Discuss the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development's new policy of 'two increases' that is popular among public funds. Institutions point out that the combination of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development meeting and fiscal debt policy reflects the strength of the policies.
Shanghai has introduced a new housing provident fund policy, lowering the threshold for second home improvement demand.
①The commercial loan interest rate for the second housing in Shanghai is higher than that of the provident fund loan. Most home buyers will choose a combination loan to alleviate the monthly payment pressure. Therefore, adjusting the down payment ratio of the provident fund loan in Shanghai will play a role in reducing the 'onboarding' threshold for this type of demand. ②Analysts believe that the starting point of Shanghai's provident fund policy is to match the down payment ratio policy of commercial loans, in order to further stimulate the vitality of improving housing demand.
4 trillion crediting, one million sets of urban village renovations. Five departments jointly promote the stabilization of the real estate market with a heavyweight "combination of punches".
Five departments jointly exerting force, the real estate market's "combination punch" is coming in full force, parallel to the restructuring of millions of urban villages and a 4 trillion crediting scale, which will further boost confidence in the real estate market. Ni Hong expressed full confidence in the stabilizing real estate market. "China's real estate, under a series of policy influences, has undergone continuous adjustments over three years, and the market has already begun to stabilize. The relevant data for October will definitely be positive and optimistic."
In history, how much investment was driven by the "monetization settlement"?
According to swhy, from 2015 to 2018, the cumulative scale of the special loans for shantytown renovation reached 4.53 trillion yuan, with estimated cumulative central subsidies/local self-owned funds of 0.63 trillion yuan, and other types of resource sources (including commercial bank loans, shantytown renovation special bonds) 1.09 trillion yuan, with a total investment of 6.26 trillion yuan.
Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: The real estate market has bottomed out, with positive and optimistic data in October.
On October 17, the State Council Information Office held a press conference on promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.
China Real Estate News Commentary: From 'fighting well' to 'winning well' in protecting housing, a one-word difference reveals a major direction.
It's about real estate! Five departments make a significant statement, with the "white list" increasing to 4 trillion yuan.
The State Council Information Office held a press conference at 10 a.m. this morning to introduce the relevant situation of promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.
Preview of the press conference! Concerning the real estate market, five central departments will attend together.
The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference at 10:00 a.m. this morning (17th) to introduce the relevant situations of promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, with Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development Ni Hong, as well as officials from the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Natural Resources, China's central banks, and the State Administration of Financial Supervision and Management. CCTV reporters on site will send back observational reports.
Green finance empowers enterprises' low-carbon transformation, and the scale of Baoshan's green low-carbon industry in Shanghai will exceed one trillion.
Shanghai Asset Management Association hosted the Green Finance Forum, focusing on green productivity, low-carbon industry, carbon finance, and many other hot topics.
The tenth batch of national procurement reporting documents have been leaked, industry insiders: does not represent the final list of centralized procurement varieties. The competition intensity will reach new heights.
①A few days ago, a leaked document of the tenth batch of national procurement reporting list circulated within the industry. Today, when reporters verified with the relevant department, they indicated that it is an internal document not for public disclosure, and the formal centralized procurement document will be released publicly in the future; ② Several industry experts have informed reporters that this reporting list does not represent the final procurement list, but the competitive landscape of the tenth batch of national procurement will start with at least seven companies; ③ The competition for the tenth batch of national procurement will be particularly intense.
International Energy Agency predicts peak demand for fossil fuels, global energy prices welcome a downward cycle.
The International Energy Agency predicts in its annual long-term report that as the global energy consumer pattern changes, we are entering an era of lower energy prices.
关于房地产市场!重要会议预告已经发布。
On the evening of October 15, the State Council Information Office announced that a press conference will be held at 10:00 a.m. on October 17, 2024 (Thursday), with Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development Ni Hong and officials from the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Natural Resources, the People's Bank of China, and the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission introducing the relevant situation of promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, and answering questions from reporters.
Daily real estate industry dynamics summary (2024-10-15)
Chengdu has issued a notice on policies related to promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, which mentions that newly purchased commercial housing (excluding targeted sales projects) and second-hand housing within the scope can be listed for trading after obtaining the "Real Estate Certificate". Previously purchased housing that has already been included in the re-trading management scope will continue to be executed according to the original policy. The signing and filing time is the criterion for newly purchased commercial housing, while the real estate transfer registration time is the criterion for newly purchased second-hand housing. (Released by Chengdu)
Zhongzhi Research Institute: The new policies will continue to take effect in the short term, and the second-hand housing market in core cities is expected to stabilize.
Multiple bullish factors drive a significant increase in market activity during the National Day holiday. The number of second-hand house viewings in core cities has generally increased significantly compared to before the holiday. It is expected that with policy support, residents' confidence in home purchases will recover to some extent. In the short term, the new policies will continue to show results, and the second-hand housing market in core cities is expected to stabilize.